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East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion

Methuselah

By Methuselah
in Spring Weather Discussion

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Kold i'm starting to wonder if the low pressure center is actually developing over wales , if you look at the wind direction there is a circulation there. Here though west . south westerlies

Yep there has been a low there nowe for a good few hours however this is slowly decaying, as I said before lowest pressures now actually sinking south from the West Midlands, just waiting for the first easterly wind to show sign of a closing circulation. The low over NW/W Wales should by elongating and decaying.

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John Snow Explorer

John Snow

Posted
  • Location: Coulsdon, Surrey
  • Location: Coulsdon, Surrey
Posted

Where is all this heavy snow for tonight coming from ?

If it is that band over Manchester and Yorkshire coming south it seems on the radars to be moving west not south

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

Lol well i did try to send a message earlier but the forum had another little overload/crash! we had a very light snow flurry but gone now. looks like nothing else is about radar wise for a few hours now, fingers and all else crossed!

Thanks Jason. This thread moves so quickly I almost missed your reply!

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ribster Aficionado

ribster

Posted
  • Location: South-West Norfolk
  • Location: South-West Norfolk
Posted

I think we can take that with a pinch of salt (if there's any left). They said that last week for this coming week.

Don't see why, as we speak, most of the country is getting battered, had 4 hours of continuous light snow here this morning (Norwich).

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chilly milly Experienced

chilly milly

Posted
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
Posted

Looking at the Meteox satellite it looks to me like the first band of snow is going to pass through mainly south of London and counties south of London. The second band appears to be narrowing and splitting as is progresses. I've looked at the 3hr loop and the projected next 3hr loop.

http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&soort=loop3uur&URL

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

Yep there has been a low there nowe for a good few hours however this is slowly decaying, as I said before lowest pressures now actually sinking south from the West Midlands, just waiting for the first easterly wind to show sign of a closing circulation. The low over NW/W Wales should by elongating and decaying.

Is there a chance of this not occuring?

Anyone noticed those beefy showers in the channel? :bomb:

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Where is all this heavy snow for tonight coming from ?

I desperately want to say 'from the sky' but I shall resist....... :whistling:

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted (edited)

BTW the circulation over Wales is a mid level circulation not a surface feature, in other words the surface pressures do not and obs suggests its not quite at the surface. Lowest pressure close to B'ham at the moment down at 1001mbs.

I suspect the lower pressures over the Midlands is because of the low forming.

Edited by kold weather
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The Giant Daddy Jackpot Rookie

The Giant Daddy Jackpot

Posted
  • Location: West Devon
  • Weather Preferences: We've hit the giant daddy jackpot!
  • Location: West Devon
Posted

Don't see why, as we speak, most of the country is getting battered, had 4 hours of continuous light snow here this morning (Norwich).

Sorry, ribster, I meant the last sentence in the MET outlook. :whistling:

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

I desperately want to say 'from the sky' but I shall resist....... :whistling:

From the clouds in the sky :pardon::cray:

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John Snow Explorer

John Snow

Posted
  • Location: Coulsdon, Surrey
  • Location: Coulsdon, Surrey
Posted

I desperately want to say 'from the sky' but I shall resist....... :whistling:

LOL

But yeah unless there is some streamer that I haven't seen on the radars coming tonight I just don't see that stuff in the NW and N coming south and that band in Wales/Birmingham looks a bit weak

Hope I am wrong and we are cut off tomorrow but can't help but think the Met are ramping too much

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

but can't help but think the Met are ramping too much

Possibly being a little cautious? :rolleyes:

I really wouldn't worry about where and when in this thread, just how deep :cold:

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Damp and dreary Enthusiast

Damp and dreary

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
  • Weather Preferences: rubbish boring weather
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
Posted

Is there a chance of this not occuring?

Anyone noticed those beefy showers in the channel? :rolleyes:

I have been mentioning them for the last hour mate, running into the Eastbourne coast now. :-)

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Blizzard_of_Oz Apprentice

Blizzard_of_Oz

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted

Hertfordshie council have been told to expect 20-25cm of snow later tonight into tomorrow. With further snowfall all day tomorrow.

Just announced on local radio - Mercury.

I thought Herts was to west? Have things changed

Hertfordshire Hedgehogs: Be prepared for the 1 cm of Snow lol, imo if it does the turnaround we could well be in the firing line too early to call yet, keep watching the radar.

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Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted (edited)

Kold.

Thanks for the reply earlier.

One other thing.

Is there a chance the 12z could have things further east?

Forget the models today mate.

It's a nowcast situation. Get on the radar and hope... :rolleyes:

Hey, maybe if we all inhale at the same time, we could suck the snow this way? :cold:

Edited by LeighShrimper
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Tom D Apprentice

Tom D

Posted
  • Location: Ware, Herts
  • Location: Ware, Herts
Posted

Hertfordshire Hedgehogs: Be prepared for the 1 cm of Snow lol, imo if it does the turnaround we could well be in the firing line too early to call yet, keep watching the radar.

The BBC forecast I just saw shows the snow pivoting around us, so accumulations in the Home Counties might be some of the smallest across southern England come Thursday. :rolleyes:

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chilly milly Experienced

chilly milly

Posted
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
Posted

The BBC forecast I just saw shows the snow pivoting around us, so accumulations in the Home Counties might be some of the smallest across southern England come Thursday. :good:

Yes just saw that too. Not looking that great.

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nej1965 Newbie

nej1965

Posted
  • Location: Dunstable, Beds
  • Location: Dunstable, Beds
Posted

The BBC forecast I just saw shows the snow pivoting around us, so accumulations in the Home Counties might be some of the smallest across southern England come Thursday. :good:

Hmph :good::drinks:

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Jan_Bromley Enthusiast

Jan_Bromley

Posted
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
  • Location: Bromley, Kent
Posted

Kold.

Thanks for the reply earlier.

One other thing.

Is there a chance the 12z could have things further east?

the GFS runs have been binned. too unreliable. ECM is the way to go at the moment. optimus Prime said this on the model thread

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

BBC1 1.27

Tomorrow looks nice for all Suffolk/Herts southwards

Yeah I'm a little surprised by how far north the Beeb get that zone of snow however if that does happen then London, Essex and Kent and all areas west would see 10-15cms quite probably which would be a rather impressive upgrade from yesterday...though I actually think thats OTT for our region!

Still would be nice wouldn't it!

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Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted

Yeah I'm a little surprised by how far north the Beeb get that zone of snow however if that does happen then London, Essex and Kent and all areas west would see 10-15cms quite probably which would be a rather impressive upgrade from yesterday...though I actually think thats OTT for our region!

Still would be nice wouldn't it!

It would indeed.

I still think we'll get something tonight.

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janetmh71 Newbie

janetmh71

Posted
  • Location: Nr Wisbech, Cambs
  • Location: Nr Wisbech, Cambs
Posted

Looks like North cambs and west norfolk are going to miss out on a lot of the snow from this system.

Oh well . . not for us this time it seems

Janet

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Guest FireStorm

Guest FireStorm

Posted
Posted

I Think im thankful not to be having the snow in Gtr Manchester with the ambulance restricting all but the most serious 999 calls. The lesser extent ones are not being responded to.

I'm not even looking in the model discussion thread today OR at the models except maybe a sneaky peak this evening. After the confusion each model run gave I'll stick to raintoday site :)

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