South West England Cold Spell Discussion:

[dogs32]

Wow,,, I am going to yours for dinner? lol

lol....

..stake tonight...

Aspire..no proof in the pudding

Edited January 11, 2010 by dogs32

[Valhalla]

Light snow here well at least its snow.

I confirm, light snow in Bristol

[Bristawl Si]

All

Nick F has just posted one of his excellent updates blog - see the Model Discussion Thread for the link.

Could be complications Wednesday with forecasts, which may help or hinder!

[cirendaz]

i watched bbc news 24 at around 6pm, a reporter (cant remmember name) stood at top of gloucester (assume at birdlip) saying major snow fall hitting gloucestershire this time tomorrow 6pm tues, people already panic buying ready for major snowfall.

better stock up on milk and bread then

[dogs32]

Nick's Blog here..

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/59644-new-year-cold-spell/page__pid__1738646__st__17entry1738646

i watched bbc news 24 at around 6pm, a reporter (cant remmember name) stood at top of gloucester (assume at birdlip) saying major snow fall hitting gloucestershire this time tomorrow 6pm tues, people already panic buying ready for major snowfall.

better stock up on milk and bread then

:D so the main band will hit Glos

Edited January 11, 2010 by dogs32

[alijoe]

lol....

..stake tonight...

Aspire..no proof in the pudding

lol... well is it stake (not sure I fancy that) but if it Steak then I am on my way.... I will bring a bottle. lol or two...

[dogs32]

lol... well is it stake (not sure I fancy that) but if it Steak then I am on my way.... I will bring a bottle. lol or two...

lol...I like wine

[aspire27]

Aspire , show me the downgrade.

I haven't been here, been working

edit or James

Easy.

The 14.30 forecast showed lots more snow further north.

GFS 3.30pm =

18.30 forecast, much less snow totals north of Bristol.

Much less snow totals IMBY too.

[Bristawl Si]

Nick's Blog here..

http://forum.netweat...7entry1738646

so the main band will hit Glos

Thanks Dogs - i didn't know how to add the link! What a Numpty i am!

S.Glos you reckon - whow! I'm supposed to catch early train Thursday morn to London for a work project - will it still be chaos then?!

[aspire27]

i watched bbc news 24 at around 6pm, a reporter (cant remmember name) stood at top of gloucester (assume at birdlip) saying major snow fall hitting gloucestershire this time tomorrow 6pm tues, people already panic buying ready for major snowfall.

better stock up on milk and bread then

If you watch the forecast snow dosent reach you until 3.00am, then it starts to die away and fizzle out.

We will just have to watch that radar.

This time tomorrow no snow over Gloucester.

Early today it was forecast to hit Bristol at rush hour...not any more.

Early hours for Bristol too.

[Jayfromcardiff]

If you watch the forecast snow dosent reach you until 3.00am, then it starts to die away and fizzle out.

We will just have to watch that radar.

This time tomorrow no snow over Gloucester.

Early today it was forecast to hit Bristol at rush hour...not any more.

Early hours for Bristol too.

I saw that too.

[dogs32]

I wont take any chart like Gospel!!

But just sit back and chill out

good luck all...

[Evening thunder]

Well I for one will be happy if this event hits Devon mainly..

Too many times have I had pouring rain while I watch areas 50-100 miles NE of me getting hit by the snow! It's my turn for once

Anyway not getting at anyone but its not the end of the world (at least not for me!) if the main snow doesn't hit Glos or Bristol

Edited January 11, 2010 by StormMad26

[Marcus_surfer]

Hold onto your hats, it's going to be a bumpy ride tomorrow!

[cirendaz]

may be i miss heard,perhasp he was standing looking over gloucester in the forest of dean???? . either way i would prefer it not to snow heavy. Edited January 11, 2010 by shuggee

[nick sussex]

I think the thread is just a little too pessimistic regarding tomorrows events. We have seen over recent winters the odd Channel Low which has failed to deliver however the ingredients for a major winter storm are there. The cold surface pool which has been around for weeks, lots of precip, strong winds and the flow ahead of the low is crucially from the se to east which brings low dew points and drier air. The actual main low is likely to stick in the sw approaches near southern Ireland with the shortwave running east this will slow the precip which means you get prolonged snowfall.

The key thing to look at is temps over northern and eastern France as this is the sourcing of air ahead of the low,there is still some uncertainty with the extent of the heaviest precip but we should know more after the latest NAE model comes out.

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

did anyone see the points west forecast at around 7PM?

Did it show more/less snow than the lunchtime one, although it doesnt really matter!

[Sharkbait]

Anyone near this precipitation which has just appeared in Devon? Looks like rain...

Edited January 11, 2010 by potsy

[keithlucky]

I think the thread is just a little too pessimistic regarding tomorrows events. We have seen over recent winters the odd Channel Low which has failed to deliver however the ingredients for a major winter storm are there. The cold surface pool which has been around for weeks, lots of precip, strong winds and the flow ahead of the low is crucially from the se to east which brings low dew points and drier air. The actual main low is likely to stick in the sw approaches near southern Ireland with the shortwave running east this will slow the precip which means you get prolonged snowfall.

The key thing to look at is temps over northern and eastern France as this is the sourcing of air ahead of the low,there is still some uncertainty with the extent of the heaviest precip but we should know more after the latest NAE model comes out.

Thanks nick this is a classic s west snow event looks ever so promising seen this synoptics only 3 times in my life time producing 20foots snow drifts at least 12hrs of snow on the 3 occasions.

[dogs32]

I think the thread is just a little too pessimistic regarding tomorrows events. We have seen over recent winters the odd Channel Low which has failed to deliver however the ingredients for a major winter storm are there. The cold surface pool which has been around for weeks, lots of precip, strong winds and the flow ahead of the low is crucially from the se to east which brings low dew points and drier air. The actual main low is likely to stick in the sw approaches near southern Ireland with the shortwave running east this will slow the precip which means you get prolonged snowfall.

The key thing to look at is temps over northern and eastern France as this is the sourcing of air ahead of the low,there is still some uncertainty with the extent of the heaviest precip but we should know more after the latest NAE model comes out.

thx

nice post Nick. :unsure:

someone who talks sense

feel's like the Gladiator arena in here with Russel Crow.

[khodds]

Thanks nick this is a classic s west snow event looks ever so promising seen this synoptics only 3 times in my life time producing 20foots snow drifts at least 12hrs of snow on the 3 occasions.

The thing that is depressing me now is (and I know it hasn't even happened yet!) that its going to get milder afterwards, so it won't be around long. I think I just want it to be perfect! lol :unsure:

[leon]

Thanks nick this is a classic s west snow event looks ever so promising seen this synoptics only 3 times in my life time producing 20foots snow drifts at least 12hrs of snow on the 3 occasions.

When's the NAE model output?

Leon

[Lynxus]

Will there be blizzards and drifting snow in Cardiff?

lol

[bennytes]

Will there be blizzards and drifting snow in Cardiff?

not NOW, there won't! :lol:

[winger]

Blimey, what superb entertainment this discussion group provides. Who needs the telly? Hope and despair; competence and incompetence; cold air and hot air; sense and senselessness. Keep it coming!