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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

still only an advisory (yellow) from meto, very marginal, over 100m mainly, town centre 80m, Wildwood 103m, but temp bit high now at 1.2C

  • Replies 377
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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Ay up, this is an unexpected position for it to be in! Could get something out of this. Temperature and dew points both favourable here (0.2/-0.7) - bring it on!

Serendipity Enthusiast

Serendipity

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
Posted

Been raining here for about 30 minutes. In the last few minutes it has turned to sleet but very miserable and certainly not looking like a snowevent here despite quite heavy precipitation.

Essan Community Regular

Essan

Posted
  • Location: Evesham, Worcs, Albion
  • Location: Evesham, Worcs, Albion
Posted

Aye, turned to sleet here now as well. Question is, will it progress to snow before it dies out?

NorthantsSnow Apprentice

NorthantsSnow

Posted
  • Location: Northampton (90m ASL)
  • Location: Northampton (90m ASL)
Posted

Been raining here for about 30 minutes. In the last few minutes it has turned to sleet but very miserable and certainly not looking like a snowevent here despite quite heavy precipitation.

Tomorrow looks a little more promising for you and me. :rolleyes:

Ian Fergusson Newbie

Ian Fergusson

Posted
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
  • Location: Bradley Stoke, South Glos. & Panshanger, Herts
Posted

Tomorrow looks a little more promising for you and me. smile.gif

Yes, tomorrow has all manner of potential despite continued uncertainties - UKMO about to upgrade existing advisories to early warnings (later this morning). I'll keep you updated on the blog - see initial entry on tomorrow's prospects added a short while ago.

MKN Rising Star

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

looks like it will be here in 30mins. Looks like some heavy rain based on everyones updates, shame as im in perfect place for some fairly heavy precip for quite some time. Have to hope for better luck tommorow. I think 100m asl wont be enough for most people. 200m+ and people should be ok

TEITS Maestro

TEITS

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
Posted

Tomorrow looks a little more promising for you and me. :rolleyes:

Yep quiet intense precip progged.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs361.gif

Personally I would prefer the insurance of the LP to be tracking slightly further E. Remember the colder air is on the W flank of the LP.

My location is right on the edge. I feel those further W than me are less marginal.

Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Yes, tomorrow has all manner of potential despite continued uncertainties - UKMO about to upgrade existing advisories to early warnings (later this morning). I'll keep you updated on the blog - see initial entry on tomorrow's prospects added a short while ago.

Thanks for that Ian, even though my area isn't your forecasting region it still fills me with hope!

Back to now though, temperature not rising at all here and the precipitation is marching closer - could get quite interesting.

Serendipity Enthusiast

Serendipity

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
Posted

Yes, tomorrow has all manner of potential despite continued uncertainties - UKMO about to upgrade existing advisories to early warnings (later this morning). I'll keep you updated on the blog - see initial entry on tomorrow's prospects added a short while ago.

Thanks Ian - and guys we have snow here now. Too wet to settle but definitely snow.

Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Thanks Ian - and guys we have snow here now. Too wet to settle but definitely snow.

Very promising considering your height above sea level!

MKN Rising Star

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

Yep quiet intense precip progged.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs361.gif

Personally I would prefer the insurance of the LP to be tracking slightly further E. Remember the colder air is on the W flank of the LP.

My location is right on the edge. I feel those further W than me are less marginal.

The place i would have thought to get the hardest hit though will be that which finds itself just inside the snow zone, as they would surely be most likely to recieve heavier and more prolonged snowfall. The main concern for me is it being to far south.

Thanks Ian - and guys we have snow here now. Too wet to settle but definitely snow.

Thats really good news keep us informed. Whats the height around stratford? roughly 100ms here

just seen your asl :rolleyes:

Serendipity Enthusiast

Serendipity

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
Posted

Very promising considering your height above sea level!

Yes I would have thought settling snow further North is possible.

Snowmoon Rookie

Snowmoon

Posted
  • Location: Malvern, Worcs 840ft/256m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Malvern, Worcs 840ft/256m ASL
Posted

Snowing more heavily here now and settling.

TEITS Maestro

TEITS

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
Posted

Latest NAE chart for tomorrow.

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/02/17/basis06/ukuk/prty/10021900_1706.gif

As you can see the snow is on the N/W flank of the LP. At the moment precip amounts look to be between 15-20mm. Now you have to take into account the snow ratio so I would suggest around 10cm of snowfall possible, possibly slightly more in some higher areas.

Leicestershire seems in prime position..

Crimson_Sprite Rookie

Crimson_Sprite

Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, NY!! (151m) 496ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Supernova hot summers with mega lightning storms, and SNOWMAGGEDON WINTERS!
  • Location: Cambridge, NY!! (151m) 496ft ASL
Posted

Hi all, well the fog has just lifted in good ol' Notts, and its gray and a bit misty. Temp as of 9.30am is -0.4 but I know most definately we will get poopy rain today. I wish I lived like 3000ft up! laugh.gif

still hoping for snow though!!!!! even though its in utter vain!

Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
Posted

Latest NAE chart for tomorrow.

http://expert.weathe...021900_1706.gif

As you can see the snow is on the N/W flank of the LP. At the moment precip amounts look to be between 15-20mm. Now you have to take into account the snow ratio so I would suggest around 10cm of snowfall possible, possibly slightly more in some higher areas.

Leicestershire seems in prime position..

Sorry for butting in your thread TEITS :)

1mm of rain = 1cm of snow

15-20mm of rain = 15-20cm of snow. :p

NorthantsSnow Apprentice

NorthantsSnow

Posted
  • Location: Northampton (90m ASL)
  • Location: Northampton (90m ASL)
Posted

Latest NAE chart for tomorrow.

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/02/17/basis06/ukuk/prty/10021900_1706.gif

As you can see the snow is on the N/W flank of the LP. At the moment precip amounts look to be between 15-20mm. Now you have to take into account the snow ratio so I would suggest around 10cm of snowfall possible, possibly slightly more in some higher areas.

Leicestershire seems in prime position..

Looks similar to the UKMO solution posted on Ian's blog.

Game on? We're on the very eastern extent of the rain to snow line though.

TEITS Maestro

TEITS

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
Posted

Sorry for butting in your thread TEITS :)

1mm of rain = 1cm of snow

15-20mm of rain = 15-20cm of snow. :p

Yes but you need to take into account the snow ratio. What thia basically means is the colder the upper temps the higher the ratio. For example if we have -15C upper temps then 20mm of rainfall will give greater snowfalls compared to conditions tomorrow.

Snow moves E tomorrow as the LP tracks NE.

http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nae/2010/02/17/basis06/ukuk/prty/10021906_1706.gif

MKN Rising Star

MKN

Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
  • Location: Leicestershire (hinckley)
Posted

Sorry for butting in your thread TEITS :)

1mm of rain = 1cm of snow

15-20mm of rain = 15-20cm of snow. :p

Roughly speaking considering forecast temps half will melt.

very good forecast on news 24 just now :)

Serendipity Enthusiast

Serendipity

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
Posted

Snowing hard here now. still not settling due to how wet it all is but hope that gives people to my North some hope!

Hailsowen Newbie

Hailsowen

Posted
  • Location: Halesowen 146m/479ft-ASL
  • Location: Halesowen 146m/479ft-ASL
Posted

The lightest of snow here.

Crimson_Sprite Rookie

Crimson_Sprite

Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, NY!! (151m) 496ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Supernova hot summers with mega lightning storms, and SNOWMAGGEDON WINTERS!
  • Location: Cambridge, NY!! (151m) 496ft ASL
Posted

temps -0.1 now. I hope it doesnt climb much higher!!! Is it still raining in Northampton anyone? Leiceter-heads keep me informed when you guys get precip!!! Fingers crossed its got snow in it! If Stratford has some why cant we??? hahahahaha!!

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