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Record Breaking Russian Heat


reef

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Already experiencing one of the three hottest summers on record, yet again this week Russia is expected to have temperatures some 12C above average. The average max/min temperatures in July in Moscow are 23C/12C, yet according to the BBC forecast temperatures are expected to reach 36C by day and drop no lower than 25C by night.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/58?&search=moscow&itemsPerPage=10&region=world

Interestingly, before this summer the record was 33.7C set in 1951, but 35C was reached on Saturday, so its possible the record could go again less than a week later:

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20100718/159851235.html

35-36C forecast for Friday to Monday and dropping no lower than 25C by night. The GFS also shows 22C 850hPa air over there during the middle of next week too, with temperatures approaching 38-40C for widespread parts of Russia west of the Urals.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1562.png

Exceptional heat for those parts causing quite a lot of misery.

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

Interestingly, before this summer the record was 33.7C set in 1951, but 35C was reached on Saturday, so its possible the record could go again less than a week later:

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20100718/159851235.html

if you read the article i dont know whether it states it was the warmest july 17th on record or the record was broken on july 17th?

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

Already experiencing one of the three hottest summers on record, yet again this week Russia is expected to have temperatures some 12C above average. The average max/min temperatures in July in Moscow are 23C/12C, yet according to the BBC forecast temperatures are expected to reach 36C by day and drop no lower than 25C by night.

http://news.bbc.co.u...10&region=world

Interestingly, before this summer the record was 33.7C set in 1951, but 35C was reached on Saturday, so its possible the record could go again less than a week later:

.

You are talking about a particular record for a day ie 17 July being broken

A quick google will give you August 1920 with temps of 36.8c + for Moscow

However still something of note for Eastern Russia

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Makes sense, 33.7C did sound pretty low.

Still a notable spell though and a good chance that the 1920 record could go in the next week.

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

On the Russian heat goes, 38c today in Moscow, and past 5 days reaching above 35c!

My link

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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

Heats spread into Finland, hotter in parts of the Arctic Circle the next few days than the UK's been since 2006!

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Surely this is an unprecendented hot month in Moscow:

Moscow extreme heat

Today is the eighth day to be above 35c!

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

Surely this is an unprecendented hot month in Moscow:

Moscow extreme heat

Today is the eighth day to be above 35c!

its crazy....forecast to stay in the high 30's right into middle of next week!

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Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

The WeatherOnline site uses data from the same Moscow site that is used for monthly averages in Weather Log each month, and a quick browse through the archives suggests that the WeatherOnline data is genuine and highly consistent with the monthly averages seen in Weather Log.

Since 1993, Moscow's hottest July was in 2001: max 28.4 (+5.3), min 17.8 (+4.3). July 2002 was a close approach- max 28.2 (+5.1) min 16.3 (+2.8 ).

July 2010's stats, meanwhile, look set to come out something like this:

Max 31.7 (+8.6) min 19.4 (+5.9)

It's nothing short of insane! For comparison, August 2003 produced positive mean temperature anomalies of 4-6C over much of France and western & southern Germany- here we're talking an anomaly of over +7C.

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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
OAO AvtoVAZ, Russia’s largest automaker, suspended production because of record heat in Togliatti, southern Russia, the carmaker said in an e-mailed statement late July 30.

Production will remain suspended from today through Aug. 8, as temperatures are expected to exceed 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit), according to the statement.

“Despite significant demand for Lada cars, it is not possible to continue producing vehicles in such weather conditions,†the automaker said. “The shutdown for one week is an optimal way to keep the health and further the working efficiency of employees.â€

www.bloomberg.com/news

Moscow. Wildfires raging in central Russia due to abnormally hot weather have claimed 34 lives, left 2,210 people homeless and caused damages worth over 4.6 billion rubles ($150 million), Russian authorities reported, cited by Itar Tass.

“According to current data 34 people have died in the firesâ€, chief of the National Centre for Crisis Situations Response Vladimir Stepanov said.

www.focus-fen.net

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  • 3 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm242.gif

What a difference a month makes, looks quite cool now.

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  • 2 weeks later...

The WeatherOnline site uses data from the same Moscow site that is used for monthly averages in Weather Log each month, and a quick browse through the archives suggests that the WeatherOnline data is genuine and highly consistent with the monthly averages seen in Weather Log.

Since 1993, Moscow's hottest July was in 2001: max 28.4 (+5.3), min 17.8 (+4.3). July 2002 was a close approach- max 28.2 (+5.1) min 16.3 (+2.8 ).

July 2010's stats, meanwhile, look set to come out something like this:

Max 31.7 (+8.6) min 19.4 (+5.9)

It's nothing short of insane! For comparison, August 2003 produced positive mean temperature anomalies of 4-6C over much of France and western & southern Germany- here we're talking an anomaly of over +7C.

It is not clear the WeatherOnline uses the data from that site?

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

They showed on BBC 24 at 2am the other day , I’m sure its been repeated how the Jet Stream had caused hot air to move up from Iran/Iraq etc

The Jet stream had shifted from its normal position, and had so for quite a while.

I wonder if we will see more sustain violent shifts in the jet stream world wide in future years.

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They showed on BBC 24 at 2am the other day , I’m sure its been repeated how the Jet Stream had caused hot air to move up from Iran/Iraq etc

The Jet stream had shifted from its normal position, and had so for quite a while.

I wonder if we will see more sustain violent shifts in the jet stream world wide in future years.

Compare to the calendar norms ("average of the weather days") in Kairo and in Dubai for last year (even longer) we see no one serious positive anomaly almost in any day of hundreds and hundreds days:

from

http://www.pogoda.ru.net/monitor.php?id=62366&month=8&year=2010

to

http://www.pogoda.ru.net/monitor.php?id=62366&month=1&year=2010

and from

http://www.pogoda.ru.net/monitor.php?id=62366&month=12&year=2009

to

http://www.pogoda.ru.net/monitor.php?id=62366&month=9&year=2009

for Cairo

(pls, retype "month=xx" in address)

For Dubai :

http://www.pogoda.ru.net/monitor.php?id=41194&month=8&year=2010

(the scheme is the same)

___________________________________________

You could make an assumption in the spring that the anomalous behavior of thermal cyclone in any way affect the climate of central Russia (and phenological observations in the spring in Moscow talking about the same).

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Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......

They showed on BBC 24 at 2am the other day , I’m sure its been repeated how the Jet Stream had caused hot air to move up from Iran/Iraq etc

The Jet stream had shifted from its normal position, and had so for quite a while.

I wonder if we will see more sustain violent shifts in the jet stream world wide in future years.

If we are witnessing the start of an 'Arctic Amplification' signal then the move towards the Arctic Di-pole is supposed to lead to a more 'sluggish' polar jet with greater amplification and less speed. If this is so the the sinusoidal nature of the Jet will ,eventually, put us under it throughout a summer period (like 76' or 03'?). I do not know ,apart from shifting the Jet north, what the 'end result' of the Arctic Amplification is?

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  • 2 months later...
Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

It certainly looks likely to have been the warmest first half of November in 130 years in Moscow, associated with general anomalous warmth across inland Eurasia. The new November record high of 14.5C on the 11th shows up also at Weatheronline's records for Moscow:

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?LANG=en&PLZ=_____&PLZN=_____&WMO=27612&ART=MAX&CONT=euro&R=150&LEVEL=150&REGION=0004&LAND=__&MM=11&YY=2010&WEEK=4&NOREGION=1&MOD=&TMX=&TMN=&SON=&PRE=&MONAT=&OFFS=&SORT=

Looking at that graph, the mean maximum has been around 9C and the minimum 4C, giving a mean of approximately 6.5C, some 6 or 7C above the long-term normal for the first half of November.

However I think it's almost certainly not going to be the warmest November on record, because temperatures look like being upwards of a few degrees down on the long-term normal in Moscow during the last third of the month, putting it below November 1996 which had a mean anomaly of +5C for the month.

Re. July 2010, the confirmed figures for Moscow were: mean max 32.0 (+8.9), min 19.4 (+5.9), so the maximum was 0.3C higher than I'd estimated, and certainly by far the hottest calendar month recorded there.

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