Convective / Storm Chat And Discussion

[Lynxus]

Lynxus : if you're viewing Meteocentre it's had an error most of this week with lightning in the same place every day!

Naaa, Im using multiple sources..

Anyway..

fingers crossed whatever happens.

Edited May 6, 2011 by Lynxus

[conor123]

Fingers crossed for tonight, im hoping for a 30th April/1st May 2005 setup to happen as its not worlds apart from it, i remember the day had been rather hazy with a lot of cloud and scraped 20c (like today) and then some spectacular lightning storms moved up from the south around 2/3am.

[Thundery Shower]

Naaa, Im using multiple sources..

what you using EUCLID is pretty good, storms now approaching NW tip of france, checking the lastest meto office sat image looks like on the eastern storm is building.

[Gordon]

Just subscribed to NW Extra Radar for a month in anticipation of the weekend's events to come (Not really a fan of thunder infact I am rather petrified of storms if the truth be known) but this will help me to prepare

same here , was beginning to feel lonely around here

going to be a terrible couple of days for me I think whether I see a storm or not

[Casper]

Fingers crossed here in Swindon Wiltshire, we could be in the firing line from looking at the various forecasts and charts.

[A.J]

Fingers crossed they make it across the channel to us. Its been years since a decent storm!

I would say more than likely....They're likely to be elevated in nature, thus the channel will have negligable effect IMO....I'm plumping for an MCS to trundle through the heart of England overnight tonight, lots of mid-level instability thus elevated storms, with a nocturnal cooling effect reinvigorating overnight storms over land when factoring in the strengthening lower jet....If an MCS does develop, then hopefully, it will depart our shores readily early tomorrow morning so as to not leave crud and detritus which would otherwise hamper convection tomorrow

[richep]

Camera batteries on charge, now just wait.. Thats assuming anything tracks across somerset

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Why are net weather worried about the amount of rain that will fall in the South east? I live in North surrey near the borders of Berkshire and I can't see anything hitting us ? ?

[Paul]

Why are net weather worried about the amount of rain that will fall in the South east? I live in North surrey near the borders of Berkshire and I can't see anything hitting us ? ?

Maybe the wording needs updating as the worry is about the lack of rain, not the amount!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

oh okay cool well we need some rain 0.o

I just hope we see something in the way of rain :/

[Gordon]

just seen latest BBC forecast

they are forecasting this to move north over the western side of the country with only a few scattered showers further east

[Paul]

For those who haven't seen it yet - Michael Fish's weekend forecast:

[Jane Louise]

71% storm risk for me from 7pm onwards.

It feels very thundery here and the sky looks eerie. Everythings charged up, just waiting for my new phones sim card to come now I bought it especially for storm chasing Lol.

[Coast]

Everythings charged up

Let's hope that includes the atmosphere later!

[andymusic]

just seen latest BBC forecast

they are forecasting this to move north over the western side of the country with only a few scattered showers further east

Yeaaaaah - should be great fun for Wales then

Edited May 6, 2011 by andymusic

[Jane Louise]

Let's hope that includes the atmosphere later!

Lol it better be :lol:exciting times ahead

[Paul]

Latest NMM rainfall prediction for later this evening

Some juicy cape too!

[95 Degrees]

Why are net weather worried about the amount of rain that will fall in the South east? I live in North surrey near the borders of Berkshire and I can't see anything hitting us ? ?

Yeah it was a stange quote by them, I think they meant worried as in lack of rainfall, because their outlook seems to favour more rainfall further west with more CAPE there also, although the risk of rain for all parts of the country is there until sunday evening so it's touch and go how much we recieve

[Sprites]

Naaa, Im using multiple sources..

Anyway..

fingers crossed whatever happens.

Blitzortung is good if you use the areas option on the lower left, not so good for individual strikes.

[SteveB]

Nice long sunny spells here in the west country, hopefully aid convection later.

[Lauren]

Our storm risk has gone up to 45% on Saturday. Here's hoping.

[conor123]

The clouds dissolving in the south now which is a good sign, still cloudy here but the sun is breaking through the haze at times.

[Brad]

Hhmm looking at that rainfall prediction unless your in North Wales or the Irish sea all your see is a bit of light rain!

[Lauren]

Our storm risk has gone up to 45% on Saturday. Here's hoping.

Dammit! It's just gone down to 6%.

This isn't fair.

[NL]

Dammit! It's just gone down to 6%.

This isn't fair.

I wouldn't worry Lauren, the percentages will go up and down more times than a brides nightie..!! The position of the low out in the Atlantic and the position of the Euro High only need to move 50- 100 mile this way or 50-100 mile that and this will make a big difference where Td's will occur...