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Tuesday 6th Sept - Storms, high winds and rain

Backtrack

By Backtrack
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Backtrack Accomplished

Backtrack

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
    • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
    Posted

    Hi guys,

    As you've probably noticed, there's a very stormy looking Tuesday coming up with high winds and plenty of rain about. Just a little something I whipped up to give a brief outline of what potential we have, enjoy. :)

    tues.png

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    Aaron Community Regular

    Aaron

    Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
    • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
    Posted

    Can't wait to be honest, a proper Autumn storm. good.gif

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    Backtrack Accomplished

    Backtrack

    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
    • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
    • Author
    Posted

    It's looking like a lively one, seems I may have missed out gale potential for the South though.

    oneey.png

    twoe.png

    threel.png

    I do hope the GFS have slightly overdone this run..because that looks very nasty for early friday morning for these parts.

    Personally, I don't think that will materialize. If it does it will be very nasty indeed. You would be looking at a sustained wind speed of 60mph. I think we should focus on Tuesday though, as it's more the amount of rain that warrants the warning rather than the wind. Friday is FI as far as I am concerned.

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    todd1970 Newbie

    todd1970

    Posted
  • Location: East Kilbride (Glasgow)
    • Location: East Kilbride (Glasgow)
    Posted

    It's looking like a lively one, seems I may have missed out gale potential for the South though.

    oneey.png

    twoe.png

    threel.png

    Personally, I don't think that will materialize. If it does it will be very nasty indeed. You would be looking at a sustained wind speed of 60mph. I think we should focus on Tuesday though, as it's more the amount of rain that warrants the warning rather than the wind. Friday is FI as far as I am concerned.

    I hope not lol..my back fence is already hanging off from the last storm..still waiting on it getting fixed...thats the closest ive seen the isobars for a long time. :/

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    Backtrack Accomplished

    Backtrack

    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
    • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
    • Author
    Posted

    I hope not lol..my back fence is already hanging off from the last storm..still waiting on it getting fixed...thats the closest ive seen the isobars for a long time. :/

    :lol:

    Looking relatively calm in Glasgow in terms of wind speed. It's really just the coastal fringes that are at risk from the higher winds.

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    ZONE 51 Community Regular

    ZONE 51

    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
    • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
    Posted

    potentially damaging gusts in a wide zone, the exposed south coast and hills also taking a battering, but the high risk areas this is a concern as mostly the time of year, this of course being leafed trees having more push on them, then we have other factors to worry about and these being water logged tree roots, then we have some areas with dry trees. so all a risk of fallen trees, in fact i would say the risk is high even in the 50mph zones in the south because of full leave trees.

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    ZONE 51 Community Regular

    ZONE 51

    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
    • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
    Posted

    widespread gales...

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    Aaron Community Regular

    Aaron

    Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
    • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
    Posted

    Forecast for Birmingham is 40 mph gusts on Tuesday with 37 mph on Monday.

    Looking very windy here too. Blackpool expected 58 mph gusts!

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    ZONE 51 Community Regular

    ZONE 51

    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
    • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
    Posted

    http://simple.wikipe.../Beaufort_scale - wind speed scale kph/mph/knots

    phone wires whistle or hum after 32mph more especially 38mph and once we get to that speed it starts to get rough

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    ZONE 51 Community Regular

    ZONE 51

    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
    • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
    Posted

    11090521_0400.gif

    11090603_0400.gif

    11090609_0400.gif

    11090612_0400.gif

    11090618_0400.gif

    11090700_0400.gif

    11090712_0400.gif

    DATA - GFS 00z - MONDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON

    11090621_2_0400.gif

    11090700_2_0400.gif

    need to keep watch on the convective and frontal gusts

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    Static Prevails Apprentice

    Static Prevails

    Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire
    • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire
    Posted

    Is there some actual weather coming to break this spell of mundane cloudiness? I sure hope so. Of course, my area will never be the most affected in this kind of set-up, seeing as we're sheltered by the Peak District to the west.

    Still, I should see some decent gusts and some needed rainfall.

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    Coast Veteran

    Coast

    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    Posted

    Upper air winds in Scotland and the North:

    MU_Aberdeen_avn.png

    MU_Manchester_avn.png

    Boundary layer winds quite high around Notts and Yorks:

    bltopwind.curr.1000lst.d2.png

    gfs_omega_eur60.png

    More sustained winds through the day in the South:

    MU_London_avn.png

    sfcwind0.curr.0700lst.d2.png

    sfcwind0.curr.1200lst.d2.png

    sfcwind.curr.1200lst.d2.png

    These are the charts of the day for me!!

    gfs_stp_eur60.png

    gfs_srh_eur60.png

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    Backtrack Accomplished

    Backtrack

    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
    • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
    • Author
    Posted

    Cheers for that great post there Coast. :)

    I'm going to wait until the 12z comes out, and I will update my warning map. I've underestimated the potentially damaging gusts along the Southern coastline.

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    summer blizzard Maestro

    summer blizzard

    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
    • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
    Posted

    very good looking storm coming. is friday still looking good as well. seems a very long time since a proper autumn storm.

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    Backtrack Accomplished

    Backtrack

    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
    • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
    • Author
    Posted

    very good looking storm coming. is friday still looking good as well. seems a very long time since a proper autumn storm.

    Nope, the low for Friday has disappeared on the 06z.

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    chionomaniac Maestro

    chionomaniac

    Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
    • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
    Posted

    something to keep an eye on but looks a bit further south then me atm!

    Your turn will come Richard!

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    Mesosphere Contributor

    Mesosphere

    Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
    • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
    Posted

    Should finish off the hanging baskets!

    laugh.png!

    Looking like being quite a windy day around these parts on Tuesday , wouldnt expect anything damaging as i'm quite far inland

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