Winter 2011/12 Cet Guess Game!

[Robbie Garrett]

-1.00C for this Winter, with December or January breaking the January 1795 CET Record.

Go...

[Isolated Frost]

December 3.8C

January 2.9C

February 4.9C

Winter 3.9C, fairly cool with some mild weather to begin all months and some milder weather during February, some potent arctic spells in mid-December and mid-January.

[Radiating Dendrite]

Decmber 3.2

January 1.8

February 4.3

Overall CET 3.3c

Nice and chilly but not extreme.

[Stormyking]

December: 4.1c

January: 2.5c

February: 2.3c

I am going for a mildish december, but I reckon there will a cold spell at the end with some snow across many parts.

For January I reckon it will be quite a cold month with cold snaps through out the month with snow and Ice, but there will be the odd milder interlude.

For February, I reckon this will be the coldest month especially the first 2 weeks with snow showers across alot of the country, but towards the end of february I reckon it will get milder witht Atlantic pushing in!!!

[A Winter's Tale]

December: 2.6c

January: 3.2c

Febuary: 3.8c

Winter = 3.1c

[summer blizzard]

At this stage i would go along the lines of..

December: 4C

January: 3C

February: 5C

I will however change this.

[Aaron]

December 4c

January 2C

February 2C

Guess 2c would be below average at the CET sight.. even though it would be around average here.

[Snowstorm1]

December: -0.7c

January: 0.7c

February: 2.2c

Winter = 1.2c

Another Bone Chilling One filled with lots of snow !

[cheeky_monkey]

Dec -9.0c

Jan -16.4c

Feb -15.6c

Winter = -13,7c

i going for an average Dec..followed by a cold January and very cold Feb...above average snowfall.

[Radiating Dendrite]

Dec -9.0c

Jan -16.4c

Feb -15.6c

Winter = -13,7c

i going for an average Dec..followed by a cold January and very cold Feb...above average snowfall.

What do you average in April and October out of interest?

[greybing]

...

Dec -9.0c

Jan -16.4c

Feb -15.6c

Winter = -13,7c

i going for an average Dec..followed by a cold January and very cold Feb...above average snowfall.

average?

[cheeky_monkey]

What do you average in April and October out of interest?

Strangely they are both the same...average for October = 4.3c..April = 4.3c

...

average?

in fact im underselling Dec..the average for Dec= -11.3c

[Radiating Dendrite]

...

average?

I think you check out where he lives!

Strangely they are both the same...average for October = 4.3c..April = 4.3c

in fact im underselling Dec..the average for Dec= -11.3c

Thought they would be a bit lower.

Must be quite a warm up (relatively) during March and vice versa November.

[cheeky_monkey]

I think you check out where he lives!

Thought they would be a bit lower.

Must be quite a warm up (relatively) during March and vice versa November.

not this spring..it was the coldest march for 90 yrs and came in at -10.7c..April was cold too at +0.9c

[Summer Sun]

My Guess

December + 3.7

January + 3.9

February + 6.1

Overall a below averge percipitation winter and a mild one.

[Robbie Garrett]

Imagine 25*C in December, now that'd be nice!!

[Radiating Dendrite]

Imagine 25*C in December, now that'd be nice!!

Yep, with a - before it!

[greybing]

Strangely they are both the same...average for October = 4.3c..April = 4.3c

in fact im underselling Dec..the average for Dec= -11.3c

Sorry ,I failed to notice cheeky monkey that you have residence in Alberta......sorry again.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Dec 3.6°C

Jan 5.1°C

Feb 6.5°C

[Aaron]

People are certainly being cautious/pessimistic about winter, huh!?

[Isolated Frost]

Just to clear this up cheeky_monkey - it's Central England Temperature, not Central Edmonton temperature

Haha!

[Kiwi]

December +2.0

January +1.5

February +3.5

December and January to bring us some decent cold weather....and some special snowfall coming from a few channel lows

[cyclonic happiness]

December +0.6

January +0.2

February +5.1

I think as with the past few years the very cold weather will be early to mid winter and the back end of the winter will be very mild.

[stewfox]

People are certainly being cautious/pessimistic about winter, huh!?

Every one is going for below average ?

Teleconnection signals and detailed reviews of the scientfic methodology I use are giving two vary contrasting scenarios at present which I find having study meteorology for 30 years hard to fathom.

As at 28th Sept 2011 we have (looking at coffee bean distribution in my coffee cup)

Dec CET 8.2 c .................beating the 1974 , 1934 record. Moaning threads going into melt down

Jan CET 7.3c.................. near record breaking with only 2 air frosts. 3 people on line in model thread on 25th Jan 2012 with to T24 to T384 showing

mild mush

Feb CET 7.5c ..................near record breaking only 2 air frosts.

Looking at my tea leaves tonight in the same cup its a very different story and we will need firming up nearer the time.

DEC CET -1c ................ A record, think of the elderly (if its really bad do something)

Jan CET -3.4c ...............beating 1795 with record breaking cold nights

Feb CET -1c .................. on par with 1684

Artic ice and Guld Stream threads go into over drive.

Clealry both can't be right probably somewhere in the middle ?

[Aaron]

Every one is going for below average.

I have been close in 2 out of about 24 CET monthly predictions based on my understanding of long range forcasting (or my guesses) so lets hope I maintain that record. This is based looking at coffee bean distribution in my cup.

Dec CET 8.2 c .................beating the 1974 , 1934 record. Moaning threads going into melt down

Jan CET 7.3c.................. near record breaking with only 2 air frosts. 3 people on line in model thread on 25th Jan 2012 with T384 showing mild mush

Feb CET 7.5 .....................near record breaking only 2 air frosts.

Looking at my tea leafs its a different story

DEC CET -1c A record, think of the elderly (if its really bad do something)

Jan CET -3.4c beating 1795 with record breaking cold nights

Feb CET -1c on par with 1684

Artic ice and Guld Stream threads go into over drive.

Hm.. a CET of 5C in December and 3.7C in January does not seem too below average!