3rd/4th November 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast Discussion And Reports

[Coast]

A few sferics have kicked off way down off Saint Nazaire and a few more inland across Dijon. Sun is out here in Sussex now and very pleasantly warm - maybe this could add some heat to the potential for today?

[MP-R]

The risk has somewhat decreased for here by the looks of it but I won't say anything just yet. Some heavy showers overnight but not what was forecast last night. Wouldn't be surprised if the ruddy rain in the east and the legacy of cloud to the west inhibited a lot activity further west.

Cbs in the distance to the south though and dad who is in Christchurch at the moment has told us there was thunder overnight there. Fingers crossed again.

[Purplepixii]

Very heavy rain now and overnight but I never heard any thunder (nor did Hubby). Slight chance of storms today but I wont get my hopes up

[helendraw]

Hi, I m very new to your site,but think its brilliant and really informative. I am in SURREY in Englefield Green right on the Surrey/Berkshire border. It rained really hard here most of the night and is still raining at 9.20 am but looking a bit brighter now.We are right at the top of a pretty high hill but reports of flooding are coming through. Many Thanks for a great site.

Edited November 4, 2011 by helendraw

[A.J]

Sadly those torrential downpours the NAE Predicted first thing never materialised. Perhaps too much cloud from that Eastern rain. However there looks to be some showers getting going in the West now.

Yep, definitely too much cloud overspill from that frontal wave last night, still managed one decent downpour around 1am...The good news is that frontal wave is pushing north and eastwards now, the low cloud and detrius is starting to break up, and sunshine is starting to filter through. Plenty of convection occuring further south over the west country, so at the moment, things are looking rather good for us

Hi, I m very new to your site,but think its brilliant and really informative. I am in SURREY in Englefield Green right on the Surrey/Berkshire border. It rained really hard here most of the night and is still raining at 9.20 am but looking a bit brighter now.We are right at the top of a pretty high hill but reports of flooding are coming through. Many Thanks for a great site.

Welcome to the forum, always nice to see new faces I would imagine that there is a good chance of catching a thundery shower later on today in your area, good luck!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Just had yet more rain and I am soaked..Been for a drive and lots of roads flooded..Water coming up out of man holes..Wonder what today brings..

[richep]

Showers seem to be gaining intensity as they reach the south coast, heading towards my area. Bridgwater Carnival today. Should be interesting.

[Nick F]

Skies brightening up here nicely with pleny of strong Tcu updrafts around.

[helendraw]

Thanks for the welcome, shame we didnt have a storm, struggled to stay awake till 3 this morning but not even as much as a rumble. Miss the real cracker shows we used to have. now if we are lucky its one flash and rumble of thunder and thats it lol Maybe we might be luckier later on today.

[dallas]

Just running the radar, and you can already see what looks like innocuous clumps grow and intensify quite quickly

[Lynxus]

Id be interested in the South and SW at the moment.

Fair amount of PPN moving north while you can clearly see an airmass moving east.

Looks like its intensifying as its hitting land. So , Exeter / Devon / Somerset / Bristol Etc id be interested in.

Edited November 4, 2011 by Lynxus

[bobbydog]

so much for hoping the rain would miss me, it was torrential all night!! no storms but we must have had all of october's rain saved up for last night!!

[kold weather]

Got some light shower activity moving through here, nothing like yesterday though!

A few decent cells in the SW this morning though...

[gottolovethisweather]

Well it rained well in Newbury overnight with a peak rate of 44mm/hr although it sounded heavier still. We were actually on the extreme western edge of the main band but nevertheless still managed 4 or 5 Thunderclaps. The height of my activity shows up well by re-running the NW radar around 3am time. The air pressure fell to 988.9hpa around this period as well.

Cheers

gottolovethisweather

Edited November 4, 2011 by gottolovethisweather

[*Stormforce~beka*]

Oh I so remember as a kid!! It would rumble round and round all night long. I thought wowser this is like the good olden days then had to pinch myself thinking what the hell it's November!LOL.Yea that rain was scary at points. I was at the window watching it all. The flashing went on for ages as a high based storm was gorgeous gorgeous gorgeous. But the thunder wasn't constant so every now and then you would get a bolt with no warning and scare the bejessssssis outta you!! lol.

This is calssic overnight MCS stuff that used to happen quite regularly during our summers, not in November! Very topsy turvy seasons this year, with summer in April and late Sept/early Oct and autumn in summer.

Heard very heavy rain in the night though no thunder.

Netweather storm forecast for today: http://www.netweathe...convective;sess=

[bobbydog]

decent train of showers over the south west and now showers are popping up over the south east and in the channel

[lewisosd]

Hi guys. Just a quick flick through. Stuck inside classrooms all day so not a chance to read through all the posts to see whats happening today. Would be grateful if anyone can post a quick update as to what potential in the East for today and tonight.

Cheers

Lewis

[Stormyking]

Man I kept seeing the Lightning from the storms you guys had but was so distant, they only missed me by a fraction hopefully today will produce lots of showers developing in the channel to my south moving my way so my fingers are crossed

[Coast]

Sferic activity still confined to the Bay of Biscay by the looks of things - is there enough going on in the atmosphere for anything to happen in the UK this afternoon?

[Mapantz]

I think the radar needs calibrating or something. According to the postcode zoom for my area, i'm under a red to white blob, had a couple of drops that lasted less than 15 seconds, and the sun is out. Doesn't seem right to me! :wacko:

[SteveB]

Don't think so, showers are fading quickly as they move further in land by the look of things.

[A.J]

Sferic activity still confined to the Bay of Biscay by the looks of things - is there enough going on in the atmosphere for anything to happen in the UK this afternoon?

Just had a quick look at the 'big 3' parameters, and I'd say Somerset/Avon/Dorset are the breeding grounds this afternoon, and if I were north and north east of these areas I'd be happy....decent SBCAPE, Lift & steep Lapse Rates in place, steering winds are SSW, so any showers/storms breaking out to drift slowly NNE

[Raidan]

Nice to see Bristol gets a mention of a place of interest today but to be honest its just light showers here nothing else,Would be nice to see a storm but i think at the moment it looks unlikely.

[Chris K]

Some slow moving clouds beginning to tower as they move northwards from Bristol towards where I live. Though I have only had a bit of light rain so far as Raidan said above. Not looking too good for storms at the moment. Hopefully things start developing this afternoon - it is feeling pretty humid out there!!

[Mapantz]

I think i'm in the only dry spot of Dorset right now. It's passing me by about quarter of a mile to my West.

Edited November 4, 2011 by Mapantz