3 Counties And East Anglia Regional Discussion Thread

[Hughsey]

I would really like to see some flakes today although Im remaining sceptical, chances for friday looking better now for snow across much of the region albeit subject to change.

As for today, thickness looking good at 524dam but uppers said to be at -3 so not too good, may be ok to see some sleet today though which I would be happy with.

Netweather going for heavy precipitation, -6 degrees uppers and 524/523 thickness, 1 degree air temp would see some snow alright if that came off.

TWO also going for heavy snow between 3 and 9am on friday, possible albeit unlikely.

[full_frontal_occlusion]

Way too marginal and too many variables for this mornings suggestion of snow on Friday. All of the following need to be in place fro that to happen:

The track of the LP system today crossing north of Scotland and out into the North Atlantic, cyclogenesis out in the far Western Atlantic, secondary lows dragged around the main LP pulling in diluted PM -5 850hpa air on its flank as it passes through, dew points and wet bulb on the right side of 0C?

The ensembles show this marginality very clearly with a large spike in distribution for both precipitation and pressure on Thursday night / Friday. Which is also why the % probability stays on the <50% region.

If anything does come out of this, expect it to be sleety rain.

ffO.

[Snowangel-MK]

Great deal on Groupon today !

Shoe Ice Grips 76% off ....

http://www.groupon.c..._0_0_347&a=1664

Get prepared for winter that is finally about to hit the UK!

These slip-on shoe ice grips are the perfect way to ensure you can stay standing on snow-laden streets this winter.

I wonder if they could also be used to stop yourself blowing away :lol:

[Snow Obsession]

Hi everyone

I looked at the regional threads a couple of days ago and thought I was going to have to join in with the Kent lot (London and South East!). Glad to see the 3 counties has appeared again!

Looking forward to the excitement of lamp post watching with you all this winter...

(to MKsnowangel and Mrsf16 - I used to be Mrs M!)

[Snowangel-MK]

Hi everyone

I looked at the regional threads a couple of days ago and thought I was going to have to join in with the Kent lot (London and South East!). Glad to see the 3 counties has appeared again!

Looking forward to the excitement of lamp post watching with you all this winter...

(to MKsnowangel and Mrsf16 - I used to be Mrs M!)

Hello and welcome back to 3C & EA .... I like the new name :smiliz19:

[Snow Obsession]

Thanks MK! I was just looking at the Central Southern lot and I don't know if I should be there really - although it's a bit quiet there! I might have to float between the two...! It's just that I feel at home here and Bucks is one of the 3 counties. It's all too confusing!

Anyway, not much to report here - just a very cold wind and some rain earlier. Not even sleet

[WheresTheSnow]

When is the chance of seeing snow flakes today because at the moment it is clear skies, also for Thursday/Friday shows heavy rain for Watford, although Watford is more towards the south of 3 Counties.

[tinybill]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

if that right we can expect storms in about 1- hour as the storms are near luton going to have a look at the m 25 cams to see what happening their

[WheresTheSnow]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

if that right we can expect storms in about 1- hour as the storms are near luton going to have a look at the m 25 cams to see what happening their

Turning dark here, a few snow flakes maybe, feels cold?

[Vince Coombes]

yes can confirm snow has fallen here in Aylesbury this afternoon for the 1st time this winter ,quite large flakes too , temp fell from +4.8 to +1.3 during the heaviest snow , no settling occured . so today has exceeded my expectations by a long way .....good times

[WheresTheSnow]

yes can confirm snow has fallen here in Aylesbury this afternoon for the 1st time this winter ,quite large flakes too , temp fell from +4.8 to +1.3 during the heaviest snow , no settling occured . so today has exceeded my expectations by a long way .....good times

Lucky, started off with a bit of hail and faded it out into some light rain.

[Snowangel-MK]

Yellow Alert of Wind for East of England :

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Essex, Hertfordshire, Luton, Norfolk, Peterborough, Southend-on-Sea, Suffolk & Thurrock

valid from 1800 Thu 15 Dec to 2359 Fri 16 Dec

http://www.metoffice...184E2CFC2C_9_EE

[Heisenberg]

Yellow Alert of Wind for East of England :

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Essex, Hertfordshire, Luton, Norfolk, Peterborough, Southend-on-Sea, Suffolk & Thurrock

valid from 1800 Thu 15 Dec to 2359 Fri 16 Dec

http://www.metoffice...184E2CFC2C_9_EE

Hello my fellow EA and 3C folk.

So, Snow possible at the back end of the storm.....lovely..hope it comes off. So much uncertain at the moment with even the MetO struggling with the model shifts...lets wait,see and hope eh??

[nej1965]

Had reports of light snow in Dunstable and Totternhoe, heavy settling snow in Brackley, Oxon and light snow in Stony Stratford... can't see that it is going to come to anything but....

:clapping:

[Mrsf16]

Hi everyone

I looked at the regional threads a couple of days ago and thought I was going to have to join in with the Kent lot (London and South East!). Glad to see the 3 counties has appeared again!

Looking forward to the excitement of lamp post watching with you all this winter...

(to MKsnowangel and Mrsf16 - I used to be Mrs M!)

Welcome home hehehehe Lets hope you are our lucky charm! hehehe xxx

[Snowangel-MK]

Just had a very heavy sleety shower, the car windscreen is covered but nothing on the path !

[tinybill]

Yellow Alert of Wind for East of England :

Bedford, Cambridgeshire, Central Bedfordshire, Essex, Hertfordshire, Luton, Norfolk, Peterborough, Southend-on-Sea, Suffolk & Thurrock

valid from 1800 Thu 15 Dec to 2359 Fri 16 Dec

http://www.metoffice...184E2CFC2C_9_EE

still not sure are they|!!

[Ben_Cambs]

A cold day and windy. Plenty of heavy showers though nothing of a wintry variety here. Currently 2.8C.

I've been looking at the GFS runs of late, and at the moment, there is a possibility of some sleet or snow on Friday as the low moves away into the North sea. Not a huge risk atm, though something to keep on eye on.

[chilly milly]

Hello fellow EA and 3C people. Looking forward to this winter and hoping for something to remember between now and Easter.

Getting rather chilly here this evening.

[Snowangel-MK]

Nice to see so many familiar names finding there way back here....

...welcome to any newbies that might be lurking - don't be frightened to post and tell us who you are and where your from....we don't bite :smiliz19:

[saint]

We've had two heavy showers in St Albans today, both of which contained a mixture of sleet, hail and some snow. Which has certainly surprised me, as I didn't expect anything very wintry today!

[Mrsf16]

Can someone post what the forecast is currently for the weekend? Should we be concerned about the winds and possible snow? Or should I say HOW concerned shoudl we be? xxx

[shotski]

Wet snow in Leighton Buzzard today, ok maybe sleet on second thoughts. Good 2c

[Hughsey]

Can someone post what the forecast is currently for the weekend? Should we be concerned about the winds and possible snow? Or should I say HOW concerned shoudl we be? xxx

Im no expert but will go off what I reckon. The snow and wind risk is all dependant on where the low ends up. If the low ends up passing through the channel we will have little precipitation and slight winds, but if it heads through southern England we could see much stronger winds that are gale force with heavy rain and chance of some snow. As things stand I would not be concerned with the current output although there is a chance of some snow, and a chance of strong winds, hence the yellow warning for wind for the region. This event is worth keeping an eye on for sure.

My $0.02 with my basic knowledge.

[If Wishes made Weather]

Ok - so it looks like the possibilities are:

1 - if the low heads through the channel then we are on the nothern side. Depending upon how much warm air is wrapped up in the mix, we could see snow, chances increasing as the low moves East and the colder air moves down. If the low is too far South we will be too far North of the main precipitation band.

2 - If the low moves more on a more northerly tack (say exiting over the Wash), then this would put us in the windier section with winds southerly, and then backing West eventually Northerly.

The system derives its energy from the difference between the temperatures (and therefore relative humidity) over the western Atlantic where it will form. The more energy in the system the more precipitation and wind, but also the further north its track will be.