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February CET


leicsnow

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Posted
  • Location: Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy Winters and cool, wet Summers
  • Location: Leicestershire

Just thought I'd start the new upcoming monthly CET topic.

What's your punt? Mines 4.5.

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

Just thought I'd start the new upcoming monthly CET topic.

What's your punt? Mines 4.5.

Pointless to guess now going to wait to see what happens post T144

50/50 cold to very cold or average cant see it being mild (at present)

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Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

0.3C.

One of the coldest on record. Just watch.

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Posted
  • Location: Normanton ,West Yorkshire 41m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Mild Spring , hot summer , crisp autumn and snowy cold winters
  • Location: Normanton ,West Yorkshire 41m asl

1.4 or below would be just lovely :D

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

Blocking to be in the wrong place so another mild month 5.5C

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Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl

-1.1C

Nah, just kidding, I will go for 4.0c, since all my other below average guesses have been wrong.

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

I will go for 2.2c please.

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

settled ish first half, but not cold like 14-17 Jan, Atlantic dominated 2nd half, 5.1C

something like 2.0C first half, 7.1C 2nd half

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Too early to call but I'm preety confident it will turn out to be appreciably the coldest month of the winter - not a tough job by any means I hear many say..

As it often the case the atlantic will be much quieter than it was in Dec and Jan - and blocking much more in evidence, it has potential to be the coldest since 1991.

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Posted
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Anything but mild south-westeries in winter
  • Location: Whitkirk, Leeds 86m asl

I hope it's as snowy too..

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Posted
  • Location: South Essex
  • Location: South Essex

I'll punt at 5.9

First half just above normal, but notable warmth in the last week of the month heralding an early spring.

Winter overall in the V Mild category (not as warm as 88/89), perhaps coming in at 3rd or 4th mildest.

Talk about sticking my neck out... :shok:

Edit: Hope I'm very wrong of course!!!!!!!

Edited by Jason M
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Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snowy Weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.

Does anyone know what the greatest difference between a mild January and a cold February in the CET series?

Have a look at 1969 GP. Jan 5.5c, Feb 1.0. Happened when a western based neg.NAO in Jan, switched to an eastern based one in Feb.

Regards,

Tom.

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

what about 1983?...wasnt it something like 6.7 Jan to 1.7 Feb?..probably wrong..but do remember that swing.

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Posted
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire

Does anyone know what the greatest difference between a mild January and a cold February in the CET series?

The largest collapse on record in the CET from January to February was in 1983, when the CET went from 6.7 in Jan 1983 to 1.7 in Feb 1983. Whilst winter 1982-83 was close to average overall, it was a record winter in terms of seeing the greatest fall in the CET from January to February on record.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Feb 1983 proof if ever needed a very mild Jan can't be preceded by a cold February. I suspect 1956 saw quite a difference between Jan and Feb as well.

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)

Prediction: 2.5*C

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

The mildness has to end at some point right? 2.1C for me thanks

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Posted
  • Location: leeds
  • Location: leeds

If we get this block, in place, I reckon a severe cold month. My punt is -0.8c please. I may have to revise if the models back track, but we all know tomorrow is the decider with the undercutting. Once we get that or if we do(looks very likely), we could be in for some very severe weather down the line.

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