South West Of England Regional Discussion Thread - Part 2

[Jayfromcardiff]

If you start work between 3am and 9am Friday morning in Bristol or Bath or Swindon or Gloucester or Cheltenham, then I wouldnt bother going in, just to be on the safe side!

What about here in Cardiff mate? i get the bus at 7.30am to work - would it be worth it?

[kumquat]

850'S within the front on the NAE out to 18z are a little lower. Not a bad sign....

850s even on 18z gfs are colder at an earlier timeframe further west by around 40 miles - heavier ppn also further west. Shaping up to look much more similar to NAE.

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Bout time the far south west got its own no chance of snow thread

[Paul T]

gfs showing some pretty heavy ppn early Friday....

Also some nice stalling over Wales and North East of the SW for circa 12 hours, almost just pivoting around the SW

[kumquat]

Have to admire Ian Ferguson for taking the time to answer all those tweets.

[Paul T]

NAE also reflects increase in ppn values out to mid day friday...gone from circa 4/5 (mm's if rain cm's if snow) to 7-10.

[dancing daisy]

He's not answered mine! To be fair I am on the borderline so it's all in the lap of the gods.

[AWD]

What about here in Cardiff mate? i get the bus at 7.30am to work - would it be worth it?

You will probably be alright mate, dont think its forecast to be snow that far West ( or at least not for too long )

Think Newport/Cwmbran/Magor/Chepstow area could be the Westward extent of snowfall! But you never know, nothing is set in stone until its falling from the sky!

[kumquat]

18z gfs brings snow into Devon and almost Cornwall through Friday - however, it's snow line is so different from NAE, I'd have to trust the higher res model at this stage.

[Paul T]

Friday 00:00 NAE is much the same: i have a feeling the 06:00 may look very tastey!

Edited February 8, 2012 by Paul T

[Will Farkin]

Friday 00:00 NAE is much the same: i have a feeling the 06:00 may look very tastey!

Where do you get these Nae charts?

[Frosty_wsm]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn6617.png

Well if those temps are anywhere near correct for midday saturday then any snow that does settle, wont be melting very fast! But I swear I saw temps of 4c or so for sat on ians' forecast earlier.

[Schmac]

Can I bank the 18z NAE please?...

[David-kig]

NAE isn't as good by midnight on i run but by 6am its covering a fair deal. most of somerset under a petty 2mm.= 2cm fall

Edited February 8, 2012 by David-kig

[Will Farkin]

How do you think we will fair in west wilt's? (warminster area)

[Paul T]

6AM Friday

[alex131297]

NAE isn't as good by midnight on i run but by 6am its covering a fair deal. most of somerset under a petty 2mm.= 2cm fall

how about bristol thats got to be a good 5-7cm

[AWD]

Looks Ok to me

NAE isn't as good by midnight on i run but by 6am its covering a fair deal. most of somerset under a petty 2mm.

[David-kig]

how about bristol thats got to be a good 5-7cm

yes it good there but talking, locally to me and other parts of somerset

[alex131297]

yes it good there but talking, locally to me and other parts of somerset

think we could see more but we will see!

[Wilxy]

Even at miday the latest NAE is a slight upgrade which is good not to much change hopefully that will continue.

[warren]

I wonder why it's so quite over in the models thread. Anything to do with this not being se event?

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

Not quite an ice day here, max of 0.0C.

At least the possible snow event is rain to snow as opposed to snow to rain. Hopefully it's cold enough to settle on wet ground.

[AWD]

Tonights NAE 18z run:

Interestingly, it keeps it as snow at midday Friday still across a good part of our region, albeit light snow!

Think this could be considered a slight upgrade compared to the 12z!

[kumquat]

5-10cm accumulations in the north east sector of the south west - BANK!