Chase Day 2 Discussion - S Texas

[Paul Sherman]

Another day of Possible Chasing in Deepest South Texas, Risk is not as great as yesterday with the Parent Low way up near the Texas & Oklahoma Border, so weaker flow aloft and only scattered Storms likely.

With 1 eye on New Mexico tomorrow and subsequent days will see how the day pans out to the west of the risk zone but not expecting too much action down here today, might see some brief Supercellular Structure but Mainly Large Hail and damaging winds the risks today.

Paul S

[Dorsetbred]

Opportunity for some upslope development tomorrow in W TX and NM, might be worth hanging around for

[ItIsGee]

Hi! what time are you due to live stream?

[Dorsetbred]

Now

[Dorsetbred]

NE Texas now gone for a Severe thunderstorm warning

[dallas]

Will there a GPS marker on the map again?

[Dorsetbred]

Yeah I miss that, trying to figure the where and the direction

[dallas]

Feed is good

[Paul]

We may bring back the GPS soon, will chat to Paul about it.

Live stream is online

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=chaselive;sess=

[dallas]

looks a cracking day for a drive

[LeeKay]

Thanks for the GPS request Paul. New stream is even better this season.

[Nick F]

MD for central/south Texas:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0787

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0213 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX VICINITY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 111913Z - 112115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SLOWLY INCREASING CONVECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX AREA

MAY EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO REVEAL

INCREASING CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF TX...WITHIN

CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD SURROUNDING THE NWRN TX UPPER LOW. WHILE

CAPPING S OF THE HILL COUNTRY CONTINUES TO HINDER

CONVECTION...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS N TX OVER THE PAST COUPLE

OF HOURS...AND EXPECT THIS DEVELOPMENT TO INCREASE SWD ACROSS

CENTRAL TX AS HEATING/DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES.

UNLIKE AREAS FARTHER N...STRONGER BELT OF FLOW CIRCLING THE UPPER

LOW RESIDES ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX REGION...WHICH -- IN CONJUNCTION

WITH THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THIS AREA --

SUGGEST GREATER SEVERE THREAT. WHILE TIMING AND LOCATION REMAIN

DIFFICULT TO SPECIFY DUE TO LACK OF A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE FOCUSING

MECHANISM...THE ENTIRE CENTRAL TX AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED

FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE THIS AFTERNOON.

[D-J-V]

Good evening guys, quick update from us stateside:

After a late night last night, we checked out at a 11am and headed to Padre Island to see if we could spot any convection coming on to the gulf, after a quick swim we headed out of Corpus Christi with the aim of heading to Victoria. After stopping for lunch we noticed a CU field starting to form and some turkey towers going up and down. Checking all obs, vis sats and the SPC we noticed storms starting to fire on a convergence zone. We are currently heading northwards to pick off any storms that come off this. We can't go too far east today otherwise we will put ourselves out of position for the risks in New Mexico tomorrow.

Keep checking the stream, I will update the ticker on a regular basis, enjoy your Friday evenings!

[dallas]

Getting dark there, feed is good

[dallas]

feed gone

[D-J-V]

Hi Guys,

I know Paul S will do a full report for you a bit later but we managed to get on a rotating cell here is a quick time lapse. On a day were we did not expect to see anything this was a bit of a treat. Paul almost decided not to chase these but a bit of peer pressure did the trick

Full update to follow!

[ian cameron]

well guys even with little on offer you seem to get the goods hope your all having a blast

[D-J-V]

Couple more shots to keep you entertained when you wake up! We are still on the road but where are we headed!!?

Captions Please lmao

[Dorsetbred]

Couple more shots to keep you entertained when you wake up! We are still on the road but where are we headed!!?

Captions Please lmao

"Bird Brain"

[D-J-V]

well guys even with little on offer you seem to get the goods hope your all having a blast

We are smashing it! Paul told me about the 'rave' in Nebraska what a b***ch!

[davelp]

Good one. Hope for lots more action for you. Need more pictures.

[stevofunnelcl]

Great start for Tour 2. Awesome images

This made me smile

How did they do it, back in ye olde days

http://www.flame.org/~cdoswell/chasesums/funposter.html

[Cookie]

Nice Video