Chase Day 5 Discussion - Big Bend (texas)

[Paul Sherman]

It was only a brief Love In with the Aliens in New Mexico but 14th sees us going back to Texas and the Big Bend and Permian Basin Desert Region for more big skies and Tornado Chances (5% Today)

Should once again be some Supercell Structures and Very Large Hail.

Cannot wait for it and neither can the Guys.

Paul S

[Nick F]

Should be some cracking scenery for storms to pass over, road options could be rather limited though and hope the streaming holds up in this remote area.

[Nick F]

SPC indicate a higher risk of a tornado today too:

FORECAST SOUNDINGS LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA

SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE

RATES ABOVE 700 MB APPROACHING 8.0 C/KM. IN ADDITION...STRONG DEEP

LAYER SHEAR IS FORECAST WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR IN 50 TO 60 KT RANGE. THIS

ENVIRONMENT SHOULD EASILY SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. AN

ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO COULD ALSO OCCUR AROUND OR JUST TO THE EAST

OF THE BIG BEND WHERE HODOGRAPHS ARE LOOPED IN THE LOWEST 3 KM. WIND

DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS AND COULD INCREASE

DURING THE EVENING IF A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT CAN ORGANIZE.

[davelp]

Sooo much going on, Really great start to the season for you guys. Loving the pictures. Hopefully today will produce more of the same.