Chase Day 14 Discussion - Ks/ne/iowa/sd

[Paul Sherman]

Decent chance at a few Tornadoes today across the above mentioned areas, will be playing the triple point today and hoping something can stay discrete long enough before they get that familiar Cold Front Look about them.

So heading NE From Hays today and will refine a target in the next hour or so, but it "could" be somewhere in Nebraska.

Ouch

[Supercell]

Best of luck in Nebraska. You're going to need it. Maybe try and stray just outside the border lol

[Dorsetbred]

Tyson Darling has your number buddy

[Paul Sherman]

He wont catch me today Quent!

[D-J-V]

Happy Hunting!

Think I would go from Hays KS > York NE and see how things develop from there!

[Paul]

Team are on the road

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=chaselive;sess=

[Arron]

Heading north from Hays, KS towards Holdrege, NE. Will probably hop on the I80 and head east then

[dallas]

Just seen on SPC that there is a severe threat for this Sunday

[Dorsetbred]

Anybody got any ideas for today, it's looking difficult to call, as the front coming out of Colorado has really slowed, so even NE Colorado might fair better this afternoon.

As to Nebraska, any ideas??

[dallas]

i think there is a severe weather threat in the Omaha area of Nebraska this afternoon

[dallas]

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaa.gif

[Roger J Smith]

Complex evolution due to heat low in southwest KS. Main front will activate in eastern Nebraska late afternoon, with trailing wave activating near KS-CO border just south of NE border and by sunset there could be a line squall developing so numerous cells to chase, for me it would a trade-off between early development and later supercell potential that could be further west than chase location at that time if following eastern cells. Feel that Concordia KS to border south of McCook NE might be eventual ground zero for tornadic development around 01-02z. But further east will have earlier action and could also go tornadic (however, more likely rain-wrapped). Development will be volatile as cap breaks late, particularly the segment coming out of Colorado.

[Arron]

Change of initial plan, now heading west towards Wray, CO. Developing low in sw kansas is going to draw moisture up and looking at latest models we should get a few supercells from this

[Paul]

Aha, the classic chase day, a bit of round 'n round in circles

[Dorsetbred]

Thanks Roger it is looking more towards Colorado/ KS border for the activity. NWS is going for heavy rain tonight in Eastern KS, so would go along with you.

Colorado here we come, yipee, how I love that state

Change of initial plan, now heading west towards Wray, CO. Developing low in sw kansas is going to draw moisture up and looking at latest models we should get a few supercells from this

Yehaa, go get em boys...

Just one slight problem

Temps in Colorado, are really low.

67F with DP of 43F and falling

Needs some heat under it, to drive it really upwards.

Love the change of action,hope this will pay off.

[Paul]

While the team are on travel mode rather than chase mode, this made me laugh (cheers Tom and Jim )

Plenty of other video highlights from the chases so far here:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=storm-chase-highlights;sess=

[Roger J Smith]

Don't forget, some stations in Colorado are in the Rockies and very high up, so they are showing basically 700mb temps. I've seen reports of snow at Wolf Creek Pass when Kansas was under tornado warnings. The dynamics will come together later when the little bubble of higher pressure in eastern Colorado erodes -- this will end the north to northwest wind circulation around the heat low in Kansas, and allow the convection to explode over the border region. It sounds like the NW team are in good position, somewhere between McCook and Wray should be ideal (Benkelman NE to St Francis KS could see onset of severe storms).

[Arron]

Heading south and then west to get a look at a cell that's fired near Limon, CO

[A Winter's Tale]

The radar certainly looks interesting. Perhaps you can be in for something. Good Luck!

[Arron]

Target storm on stream now Closing in fast

[dallas]

Radar looks good, hope the feed comes back

[dallas]

nice one looking good now

[dallas]

Another lightning show.!

[dallas]

Argh that was freaky!!

Funny man in a chicken hat

[Arron]

He's a nutter! Heading to Lamar to get some food and check in. Will probably be an early start tomorrow as we've some driving to do