South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - July 20th 2012>

[Snowangel-MK]

All good things come to those who wait or so they say.....so here is the SE & EA summer at last thread (we hope)

Link to the old one here http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/73863-south-east-england-east-anglia-regional-discussion-july-12th-2012/

[Norfolk Sheep]

You little optimist

If it would just stay dry for 2 days I could get the grass cut and top some fields. It really has been awful for the last 3 days (barring Wed evening's TS)

[essex coast matt]

Very heavy rain just to the north of clacton, some places near colchester have had nearly an inch of rain so far today

[Steve C]

It has become very dark here. Kind of stuck at work, due to the poxy A12. Will watch what unfolds...

Recent radar.

[afcone]

It's gone very dark with an impressive black cloud overhead. Sadly I think the worst of it is going to pass me by to the north

[Snowangel-MK]

You little optimist

If it would just stay dry for 2 days I could get the grass cut and top some fields. It really has been awful for the last 3 days (barring Wed evening's TS)

Well it might be 3 hot days and a thunderstorm but right now I'd settle for that

[Guest archiesmummy]

One rumble of thunder.......that's all I have to say on the matter, I'll be ok....

[Mesoscale]

any information on those heavy line of showers? any lightning??

[john pike]

[Steve C]

any information on those heavy line of showers? any lightning??

Lightning indicator is showing a few strikes, but nothing major, south of Chelmsford.

Raining, but nothing major here, north of Chelmsford.

[fullerphotos]

Torrential rain and ts billericay just now

[anything-but]

Down in Dover now, had to ride back through that storm along the a2,bits by danson park and black prince were flooded. And now omw back home to medway I get to say hello to the storm again. :'(

[Keraunic]

Just thrown it down here and I thought I heard one rumble but it's doubtful. Could have been something on the river.

[Steve C]

Still stuck at work, as the thought of joining a 13 mile traffic queue isn't a great one. I've no easy option of avoiding it either.

Moderate rain here at the moment.

[Swave Snow]

Looks like another squall developing to the north west of London in the Bedford towards Oxford in a diagonal line,

lets see what happens

[Snowangel-MK]

Raining pouring here now....hope it clears up by 9pm or we won't be going to the fire festival

[Guest archiesmummy]

Raining pouring here now....hope it clears up by 9pm or we won't be going to the fire festival

Fingers crossed for you!

[Keraunic]

Raining pouring here now....hope it clears up by 9pm or we won't be going to the fire festival

Hope it clears for you Hun.

[Eskimo]

Could be a real lightning show next friday. A system moving up from Spain is really going to pack a punch if the charts verify. The southern half of the UK could get soaked with torrential rain/showers. With the residual warm air in place and the moist air moving up from the south meeting, thunderstorms could break out widely. CAPE forecasts at this range are indicating 1600 j/kg in the extreme south-east with 1000 j/kg indicated generally. Cooler air coming down from the North from a deepening low pressure system will hit this moist plume, where both of them meet might tell you where the heaviest of the rain will be, but at the moment...it's looking like a total washout.

[anything-but]

Did run back through that storm on the way home! Stopped and took a couple of pics....

Just about to pass under the storm front..

And looking back at it after getting a soaking underneath it...

Pics were taken just before/after the A2/M2 roundabout.

[Steve C]

Could be a real lightning show next friday. A system moving up from Spain is really going to pack a punch if the charts verify. The southern half of the UK could get soaked with torrential rain/showers. With the residual warm air in place and the moist air moving up from the south meeting, thunderstorms could break out widely. CAPE forecasts at this range are indicating 1600 j/kg in the extreme south-east with 1000 j/kg indicated generally. Cooler air coming down from the North from a deepening low pressure system will hit this moist plume, where both of them meet might tell you where the heaviest of the rain will be, but at the moment...it's looking like a total washout.

Stratford, I reckon.

[Eskimo]

Charts showing a lift index of -7 for the far south, -7 would bring very unstable air, severe thunderstorms would be a guarantee as long as all the mechanisms are in place.

[john pike]

cor nightime storm if that came off

that would make a change

[Steve C]

Yes, that looks good. Something to look forward to, even if it doesn't materialise.

[john pike]

now lets confuse everyone

fax chart

gfs rainfall

the fax has a 1026 high pressure above us

now if correct we may get a very light shower at best

and i would realistically expect it to be dry

and that is for tomorrow