Southwest & Central Southern England Regional Discussion

[Dorsetbred]

Almost popped double digits down here, cool (OR NOT) for December

[Dorsetbred]

Tesco's should remove all their snow shovels, and refill the boxes with welly boots

[SunnySouthCoast]

It is double digits here, for the fourth day in a row, 10.3C at the mo

[Raidan]

Thanks AWD for your very interesting and informational posts,long reads but worth it,I don't want snow as I hate the stuff for a number of reasons but have no problem with rain,just hope it don't flood here again and maybe with a little luck a rumble or two of thunder.

[fergieweather]

Thanks AWD for your very interesting and informational posts,long reads but worth it,I don't want snow as I hate the stuff for a number of reasons but have no problem with rain,just hope it don't flood here again and maybe with a little luck a rumble or two of thunder.

Sadly the rain & flood issue has latent threat of dominating headlines once again. On snow, at least no sign of that into next 10-15 days currently.

[Nights King]

well a dry coolish day here today which is a pleasant change. 5.1c

Not looking forward to all this rain however no flood risk here luckily well unless a 1000ft tidal wave moves in land. who knows maybe the 21st...

Shame we can't have a seasonal christmas though!

[Andy Bown]

A nice cold dry spell wouldn't go a miss in the south west.

We had that Monday-Thursday last week!!

[Wynn D Woo]

Thanks AWD for your very interesting and informational posts,long reads but worth it,I don't want snow as I hate the stuff for a number of reasons but have no problem with rain,just hope it don't flood here again and maybe with a little luck a rumble or two of thunder.

Im sick to death of the rain, I would settle for just plain old dry if we can't have the snow. Im seriously beginning to feel like a mop in in a pail of dirty water after this year!

[Coast]

You may want to look away at this point then:

[Mapantz]

Amber warnings for parts of Devon and Cornwall now.

[Summer Sun]

After last months terrible flooding in the south west the met office have issued an Amber severe weather warning for the south west on Wednesday and Thursday with another 20mm to 40mm likely

http://www.metoffice...-3.69&lat=50.95

There is also a yellow alert out for Saturday where another 20mm to 30mm of rain is expected

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=sw&tab=map&map=Warnings&fcTime=1355745660&zoom=7&lon=-3.69&lat=50.95

No where deserves this much rain I just hope 2013 brings some much needed drier and sunnier weather

Edited December 18, 2012 by Gavin.

[Coast]

Flood risk increases as heavy rain returns

After a relatively quiet and cold first half of December, the weather is going to turn much more unsettled from Wednesday onwards – bringing heavy rain and an increased risk of flooding. As always, the cause of this change is down to the position and speed of the jet stream. During the next five days, it is going to largely sit to the south of the UK, which means that low pressure systems will be steered towards us.

It’s not just the jet stream’s position that will play a part in our weather fortunes in the coming week, but also its speed. At times, it will reach around 200mph, which will increase the frequency at which areas of low pressure arrive on our shores. Autumn and winter is a time of year when much of the UK experiences greatest amounts of rainfall, so this in itself is not unusual. However, this year, the problem is that that it has been very wet. We’ve had the wettest April and June on record, followed by the wettest summer in a century, with downpours continuing into the autumn.

The abundance of rainfall has led to the ground in many areas becoming sodden with water. It simply doesn’t have the capacity to soak up more, if any, water at all. So rather than water going into the ground, it stays above it, causing surface water or river flooding. You only have to take a look at the Channel 4 News flood story archive to see how widespread and frequent flooding has been during the last six months.

Rainfall during next five days

The first area of low pressure will bring heavy rain and brisk winds to many places during Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. While there is a little uncertainty in exactly where the greatest amounts of rain will be, England, Wales and south east Scotland look most prone. Latest predictions from the weather computer models have 30-50mm falling widely in these areas over the next five days, with some places seeing as much as 70mm.

With so much rain expected to fall, it is worth keeping an eye on the latest flood warnings from the Environment Agency and Scottish Environment Protection Agency.

Is Christmas still looking green rather than white?

There is still a trend for Christmas day to be unsettled with brisk winds, rain or showers and average temperatures, which means away from mountain tops in Scotland, snow is looking unlikely. However, some of the weather computer models have shown hints of colder air

arriving later on Christmas day, but it’s not a strong signal and can’t be trusted just yet.

http://blogs.channel...in-returns/2664

Met Office warns of heavy rain

HEAVY rain warnings have been issued for the Isle of Wight by the Met Office.

The first 'be aware' warning is in force for all of tomorrow (Wednesday). The Met Office said: "A period of heavy rain, accompanied by strong southeasterly winds, is expected to move northeastwards across southwestern parts of England during the first part of Wednesday, with a risk of further heavy rain during the evening. Given that the ground is already saturated, the public should be aware of the risk of flooding."

A further warning covers the Island until 6pm on Thursday. The Met Office said: "An area of heavy rain is expected to spread northeastwards across parts of England and Wales during the first part of Thursday. " Given that the ground is already saturated in many areas, the public should be aware of the risk of flooding."

http://www.iwcp.co.u...rain-47471.aspx

Edited December 18, 2012 by Coast

[Coast]

I think this may be time for a new thread, with the threats now being highlighted from tomorrow onwards

http://forum.netweat...-19th-december/

Edited December 18, 2012 by Coast