South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ December 9th 2012>

[Jezzer]

Was Yamkin driving ?

I did think Yamkin might be behind the wheel!

[Pompski!]

Any snow/rain in the far East Anglia tonight? The radars show something falling from the sky. Any reports from Norfolk?

[Whereisthesnow?]

Just been in the model thread. Am I right in thinking the 'Beast' is back on?

[Gowon]

Just been in the model thread. Am I right in thinking the 'Beast' is back on?

Not until next week now

[Andi M]

I have no idea. Totally confused.

[Pompski!]

Just been in the model thread. Am I right in thinking the 'Beast' is back on?

Woah, patience is a virtue.

The models are steering towards a better outcome at the end of the week but an Easterly is by no means on the cards just yet. Lots to play for though and although we probably won't be looking at the kind of scenario we were all creaming over 48 hrs ago, it's looking like much still to play for.

[Dexter29]

Just been in the model thread. Am I right in thinking the 'Beast' is back on?

Could you imagine.

The cold air is pushing back over the UK at 168

Mighty cold air over Europe

[Ice Day]

Just been in the model thread. Am I right in thinking the 'Beast' is back on?

Emergency call for John Pike!

In my less than expert opinion, no it's not back on in the short term, but there are now some tentative signs of another crack middle of next week (where have we heard that before). Still, makes for interesting viewing!

[Whereisthesnow?]

Thanks everyone - exciting times nonetheless.

[Eskimo]

I wouldn't be so sure, the Atlantic rules the roost in this country usually and as we all know its very hard to stop that conveyor belt.

Just look how hard the past 5 weeks had been - models all projecting a hefty block and an easterly component to the weather only for the Atlantic to say " I don't think so, I'm the boss"

All that snow in Europe and even Amsterdam - we came so close it's sickening, they have had deep cold with snowcover even now but that still didnt allow it to pull west towards the UK. Hopefully a block can re-establish itself but as just proved the Atlantic is the master.

Not always though. (There's my straw clutch)

No pattern is stronger than another, time and time again we've had Atlantic dominated winters but that's because the Atlantic has been too powerful for any meaningful block to build. On the other hand powerful blocks can build and keep out the Atlantic just as easy, especially in 2010 (there are a lot of other examples) when lows kept smashing into a brick wall and literally smeared themselves around the block, remember cold is far denser than warmer air so in theory a blocking pattern should take longer to erode that a milder pattern.

Edited December 9, 2012 by PerfectStorm

[abruzzi spur]

With all this talk of the semi-legendary, very shy and rarely-spotted Beast from the East, I got thinking about other rhyming visitors to our shores, some more common than others:

The Pest from the West

The Low from Below

The Frantic Atlantic

Bores of the Azores

Bouts of Mania from Scandanavia

Frigid air from over there

Spanish Plume - from Spain, you prune

Polar low - generally, no

and....

Weather Forum, let's not bore'em!

[Great Plum]

I'm sure I sang a hymn like that at church today AS... Hills of the North...

[greenhithe]

hello everyone

No snow this week i think in my area but lets see how cold it will get as at moment its too warm for it

[Jason T]

I have no idea. Totally confused.

Its the next one showing later on FI, Back on the roller coaster. As for this week ,tomorrows runs will be key (Mayhem)

[john pike]

I will post charts later

The charts are overdoing the atlantic as per normal. The so called warm up keeps getting pushed back. The charts are getting to grips that the block to our east is building. The longer this goes on the more likely outcome is the atlantic will not go barging through as was shown 2 days ago. Not sorted yet. But things improving all the time

Back later with fax update.

[Keraunic]

Hi, Greenhithe and welcome to NW. Can you please tell us your location (on your profile page) for your future updates.

[Ice Day]

Amazing snow cover through Europe; just needs to move 200 miles North West then we're in business.

Edited December 9, 2012 by Ice Day

[greenhithe]

s4c ...... possible snow on the 21st

accuweather no snow only rain

netweather ....... only rain

metcheck...... only rain

met office cold but clear .....

so i cant see it snowing this side of Christmas what everybody else think ?

[Ice Day]

s4c ...... possible snow on the 21st

accuweather no snow only rain

netweather ....... only rain

metcheck...... only rain

met office cold but clear .....

so i cant see it snowing this side of Christmas what everybody else think ?

I really wouldn't get too bothered by the snow forecast charts. In my experience, they've never nailed a snow event more than 24 hours out!

[A Wintry Mix]

s4c ...... possible snow on the 21st

accuweather no snow only rain

netweather ....... only rain

metcheck...... only rain

met office cold but clear .....

so i cant see it snowing this side of Christmas what everybody else think ?

Don't think anyone knows whats going to happen past Thursday let alone xmas!

[john pike]

48 shows dry but bitterly cold

potential is still there

if it stays dry it will still be very cold

i am not saying either way here as i do not know

nor does anyone else

[A Wintry Mix]

How about a game, guess the weather in 7 days time!

[Ice Day]

How about a game, guess the weather in 7 days time!

No idea about the weather, but I guess we'll all still be here getting excited about a potential easterly at T240!!!!

[john pike]

the ukmo charts above show precipitation on tuesday

i still think this might be a surprise for some

remember the other day when snow hit with no warning

i cannot be sure but the ingredients are there for up to thursday

tomorrow will probably be showers of rain

tuesday to thursday best chance

only true reading will be radar watch

[john pike]

lets have a look at the 120 charts

mind numbing

i am calling fi 96 now

i guarantee these will be different again tomorrow