North West England Regional Discussion 11/01/13 ------->

[Jan]

She's not a "coldie" then!

But seriously yeh, the amount of snow will be disruptive...I'd give a rough guess that places E of Wigan, Blackburn, Warrington (inclusive) etc. and much of Cumbria could get quite a dumping over the Mon event. Well, that's a complete guess cos it will change, but that's what often happens in these situations in my experience, but as I say this will change!

How about Merseyside and West Lancashire, I work in Skelmersdale and got stuck there in 2010, they normally do ok for snow

[Chris D]

No she just said monday morning rush hour significent and disruptive snow,no graphics shown

just carried on to say that there would be more details with Eno(who ever she is lol) at 1035

then her face looked like a kid who just had a smacked bum

C.S

Wanna see the forecast now!

How about Merseyside and West Lancashire, I work in Skelmersdale and got stuck there in 2010, they normally do ok for snow

Dec 2010 was nothing short of a properly extreme event. This event looks more marginal for extreme western areas...that being said, a shift of the the colder air could potentially have places such as W Lancs and Skem in the firing line. Best advice is to keep checking forecasts I suppose. Atm however, I'd say they are at low risk from disruptive snow i.e. it won't settle much or it'll be sleety/wet snow.

Similar sort of places that got hit in Feb 2012 I suppose.

Edited January 11, 2013 by Chris D

[Jan]

No she just said monday morning rush hour significent and disruptive snow,no graphics shown

just carried on to say that there would be more details with Eno(who ever she is lol) at 1035

then her face looked like a kid who just had a smacked bum

C.S

OOPS sorry mods put a naughty word in that post

edited out now

LOL!!

[UV-RAY]

Was just about to say NW is not looking hopeful. Putting Diane's words in context - did she also utter things like 'hills' 'well inland' 'possibly' 'potentally' and such words??

Not sure , but I've just seen her at the Chemist with her prescription for Prozac.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Very similar situation to 04 Feb 2012 guys, I did very well that day 9cms, but was so uncertain right up to the event, and the snow started at 1pm warmest part of the day

so think how you all did snow wise that day

[Snow free zone]

Very similar situation to 04 Feb 2012 guys, I did very well that day 9cms, but was so uncertain right up to the event, and the snow started at 1pm warmest part of the day

so think how you all did snow wise that day

Thanks - rained here

[Chris D]

Thanks - rained here

I know...Southport didn't get anything too! (from what I've been told)

Can anybody see anybody's location in their profile by the way? It all went t*ts up when Netweather got overwhelmed the other day for me...

Edited January 11, 2013 by Chris D

[SnowObsessor90]

Very similar situation to 04 Feb 2012 guys, I did very well that day 9cms, but was so uncertain right up to the event, and the snow started at 1pm warmest part of the day

so think how you all did snow wise that day

SoI suppose more freezing for here then, BT claims otherwise though.

Edited January 11, 2013 by Anonymous21

[cheshire snow]

Wanna see the forecast now!

Dec 2010 was nothing short of a properly extreme event. This event looks more marginal for extreme western areas...that being said, a shift of the the colder air could potentially have places such as W Lancs and Skem in the firing line. Best advice is to keep checking forecasts I suppose. Atm however, I'd say they are at low risk from disruptive snow i.e. it won't settle much or it'll be sleety/wet snow.

Similar sort of places that got hit in Feb 2012 I suppose.

Thing that really gets me is that when people say not looking good for the west

West what?scotland,ireland,wales,and unless i am wrong we are the NORTH WEST and proud of it.....unless it RAINS LOL

RANT OVER

Looking forward to a good 18z

EDIT

The begining of that post is not directed at anyone in this thread,just someone today has really got on

my wick

[Chris D]

Thing that really gets me is that when people say not looking good for the west

West what?scotland,ireland,wales,and unless i am wrong we are the NORTH WEST and proud of it.....unless it RAINS LOL

RANT OVER

Looking forward to a good 18z

EDIT

The begining of that post is not directed at anyone in this thread,just someone today has really got on

my wick

I know what you mean...because most of the time on forecasts when they say west they actually mean Wales and the south west, but when they say North West, they mean W Scotland, NI and possibly Cumbria the majority of the time! I don't really see the North West of England mentioned here - oh well, they like to ignore us on national forecasts lol.

On the odd occaison, I hear Lancashire, Gtr Manchester and Merseyside mentioned. Yes, ON THE ODD OCCASION lol.

Edited January 11, 2013 by Chris D

[Jan]

Thing that really gets me is that when people say not looking good for the west

West what?scotland,ireland,wales,and unless i am wrong we are the NORTH WEST and proud of it.....unless it RAINS LOL

RANT OVER

Looking forward to a good 18z

EDIT

The begining of that post is not directed at anyone in this thread,just someone today has really got on

my wick

I've just found me flat cap gona take yon whippet out now

[cheshire snow]

I've just found me flat cap gona take yon whippet out now

just spat my tea out LOL

I thought your post said going to whippet it out now

C.S

EDIT

As our locations have dissapeared i am in Northwich,south cheshire

Edited January 11, 2013 by cheshire snow

[cfallon]

just spat my tea out LOL

I thought your post said going to whippet it out now

C.S

EDIT

As our locations have dissapeared i am in Northwich,south cheshire

You just made me spit my pint out! Lol

[Chris D]

My word this thread is getting a bit err..odd tonight...C.S it was your fault haha!

[SparkleS]

I dont rate the bbc weather at all, its been showing snow a few days ago for monday, then the snow went and showed sunny, then just cold and now its showing heavy rain! Brilliant!!! http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2644547

Mind you i always find them way off!

[Jan]

just spat my tea out LOL

I thought your post said going to whippet it out now

C.S

[cheshire snow]

I dont rate the bbc weather at all, its been showing snow a few days ago for monday, then the snow went and showed sunny, then just cold and now its showing heavy rain! Brilliant!!! http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2644547

Mind you i always find them way off!

I use to take them as gospel many years ago,dont even bother looking at them now

to sum up the next 96hrs

cold to very cold possibility of a -7 somewere tomorrow night

plus a couple of decent snow oppertunities

after 96hrs FI not worth commenting on but if you believe the UKMO staying cold and more snow chances

And the latest fax chart for monday the mild sector has done one....for now

C.S

[feb1991blizzard]

Some good news wrt to the snow event early next week, ECM op although nowhere near outlier territory was slightly milder than the mean, -6 850hpa line only a hundred miles further West but that might make all the difference.

EDIT : probably more like 50 miles but still good, particularly in conjuction with good 72 FAX and good reports from MOGREPS and Fergie's forecast on BBC points West which i watched live.

Edited January 11, 2013 by feb1991blizzard

[davacr123]

For those wanting to see snow in the forecast which is based off the gfs model see this link

http://www.metcheck.com/UK/

Edited January 11, 2013 by davacr123

[iand61]

9.30 weather update on BBC News 24 didn't look that inspiring for snow on Monday over much of the region.

There was plenty of snow on display but mainly down the central spine of the country and eastwards, the usual set up really.

Still time for changes but looking at the forecast, we need a westwards correction to bring the majority of the NW in the firing line.

[SP1986]

If it misses us we have a point to prove as a region... and that is, that we don't get snow.. we know that but I think other areas think we just feel sorry for ourselves here.

ps I got no snow here in February 2012. Usually Backtrack gets more snow than I do, so if he didn't get it.. here has no chance!

Edited January 11, 2013 by SP1986

[SnowObsessor90]

Is it just or has there been an upgrade for us on this run?

[Cheshire Freeze]

Is it just or has there been an upgrade for us on this run?

Nope if the 18z verifies it's very much a Manchester eastwards event. West of the M6 (me included) it's far too modified and marginal; especially with that flow off a warm Irish sea and the low elevation involved!

Edited January 11, 2013 by CreweCold

[cheshire snow]

Nope if the 18z verifies it's very much a Manchester eastwards event. West of the M6 (me included) it's far too modified and marginal; especially with that flow off a warm Irish sea and the low elevation involved!

Still time to change though CC

but yes i agree on this run west of manchester rain/sleet at best

C.S

[NickyB]

At this point in time I would be overjoyed to see sleet falling from the sky :-(