Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 14/01/13, 12z onwards

Coast

By Coast
in Regional

 Share

Recommended Posts

SupaSnowy Apprentice

SupaSnowy

Posted
  • Location: Fareham Hampshire
  • Location: Fareham Hampshire
Posted

Well that's see what the GFS says for Friday, better? worse? Soon find out. I think we got a good chance. Still a tad to far out to be more certain. That's hope it stays where is it, good chance of snow then. Wonder if the warmer air will get delayed anymore.

All to play for. Wednesday will be good as it will creep into the NAE, NMM etc..timeframe. IF it stays the same of cause.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jethro Accomplished

jethro

Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Posted

Here are the various fronts moving through and expected times:

LOC_20130114_0900.png

That's pretty, not a bleeding clue what any of it means.....

Today has been one of those when I wished I could be a gardener in the Southern Hemisphere; it's cold, wet and blinking horrible under foot.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

friday is too far away, can bet changes before then, best to not go past 48h even the 72h range has been changing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

post-15177-0-37625500-1358176950_thumb.j

Source: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/wintry-weather-continues

Those showers across Wales may filter down across Somerset in to Dorset as there is some strong-ish PVA projected across these areas later on, obviously it depends on dew points and such ..

Link to comment
Share on other sites
gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

friday is too far away, can bet changes before then, best to not go past 48h even the 72h range has been changing.

Indeed but even then I'd say it's best not to go even 24 hours out IMHO, when it comes to snow.

But as I countlessly suggested, without a chance, we have no chance. Without a lottery ticket, you cannot win the lottery.

THE GFS 12z IS NOW ROLLING GUYS N GALS. OF EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANCE WILL BE THE GEFS ENSEMBLES AND THEN THE ECM AND METO OUTPUT.

Will there be a short-term upgrade in the meantime, will Thursday/Friday night's low remain in the same area, will the weekend and beyond get up to near seasonal temperatures for all or will it stay cold.

GAME ON.

Edited by gottolovethisweather
Link to comment
Share on other sites
offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted

Has Ian F reported anything on potential upcoming events?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted

Has Ian F reported anything on potential upcoming events?

The only thing i've seen, is a response he sent to someone asking if we are due snow at the weekend:

Ian Fergusson â€@fergieweather"@LittleGardenCom: are we in line for a dump of the white stuff @ the weekend? Have heard yes and no!" It has potential....uncertain

We will need to wait a few days as the front could easily not reach us at all or go too far east and turn to rain again. Something to keep an eye on anyway.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Has Ian F reported anything on potential upcoming events?

This was the last post on the reliable timeframe from what I can see.

http://forum.netweat...00#entry2493871

Edited by gottolovethisweather
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Current GFS up to Wednesday night looking pretty damn rubbish if you ask me.

-2 / -4 uppers at best

Atlantic very close by.. I can only see rain from this so far.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jethro Accomplished

jethro

Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Posted

Snow showers & some accumulations expected circa midnight Brendon Hills, Quantocks & Mendips.

yahoo.gifyahoo.gifyahoo.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
fergieweather Maestro

fergieweather

Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
Posted

Snow showers tonight as mentioned coming from small-scale baroclinic feature(s) running SSE across Wales down into W Country.... WBFL associated with this circa 400m but we expect some settling anywhere 200m+ beneath these. Good support in 4km modelling.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted (edited)

GFS Looks good out to +72

The low seems to be heading SE

gfs-0-72.png?12

Uppers to to shabby either

gfs-1-72.png?12

-8 uppers anyone?

gfs-1-90.png?12

Edited by karlos1983
Link to comment
Share on other sites
gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Current GFS up to Wednesday night looking pretty damn rubbish if you ask me.

-2 / -4 uppers at best

Atlantic very close by.. I can only see rain from this so far.

Yes in your back yard, that is pretty much bang on, over the next 48 hours. So I suppose that spells near average/ slightly below Temps by day and frosts by night. Futher East though, the uppers are near -9, so lets hope that continues and eventually we can feed into it. Looking further ahead in the run, just what will it do with that precipitation come Friday?

Edited by gottolovethisweather
Link to comment
Share on other sites
karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

All quiet in mod thread, nothing for ten mins!!!

Probably because if the charts verify, the SW looks to benefit for a change rather than the SE.........

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted

All quiet in mod thread, nothing for ten mins!!!

All the easterners are busy in the regional threads ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

GFS is fine regarding Friday, snowfall across much of West Country.

Again, Friday is shown to be a significant snowfall day.

Haven't got time to post charts, but relax, GFS is fine up to Saturday.

Don't look at detail, look at the trend and the trend is the same.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...