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South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 16/01/13 06z ----->

A.J

By A.J
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Frank Trough Community Regular

Frank Trough

Posted
  • Location: Home: Bournemouth (Iford) Work: Eastleigh
  • Location: Home: Bournemouth (Iford) Work: Eastleigh
Posted

A little request.

where do i find (if there is anywhere) the temp, dewpoint, wind direction etc for my location (Bournemouth) for the February 4th event last year? i'm keen to see what it was like then compared to what is forecast for friday.

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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted

1mm rain =1cm snow,

15mm rain which is forecast for Frome = 15cm snow(if powder snow) if wet snow 3-1 ratio

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Karl83 Community Regular

Karl83

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
Posted

Sorry if posted already but I tweeted Ian to see what was likely to happen beyond the weekend. He replied 'we are watching developments early next week'. It gets better.

Wish I could like that 100 times!

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted (edited)

What regions do you reckon Will do well in the southwest?

On Friday, everywhere except Cornwall should see snow falling, with most places likely to see a certain degree of settling snow.

As Friday progress', some of the snow could turn back to rain from the SW. This all depends on the exact track of the front, and how quick the cold air can undercut.

I currently see areas north of Somerset seeing snow all day Friday before turning to rain Friday night everywhere apart from some areas of the north Cotswolds.

This just by realistic view though, this could still change.

Lets hope more of our region can keep snowfall and snowcover longer.

Edited by AWD
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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

What regions do you reckon Will do well in the southwest?

How long is a piece of string, alex. sorry.gif

That is, we can't yet fathom the unfathomable.

Stand by your regionals on Friday is the best advice I can afford.

A little request.

where do i find (if there is anywhere) the temp, dewpoint, wind direction etc for my location (Bournemouth) for the February 4th event last year? i'm keen to see what it was like then compared to what is forecast for friday.

Wunderground, I guess.

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kumquat Seasoned

kumquat

Posted
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
  • Location: Winterbourne, South Glos
Posted

Right...what's my chances of seeing any significant now on Friday and if yes what sort of time we looking at? Please x

Going by GFS 06z (if it panned out that way exactly) you'd be seeing 36hrs straight of snowfall from 3am Friday morning of varying intensity and at least 10cm of snow (that snow depth being conservative!) with more snow to come over the following days!

(But don't take my word for it LOL)

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted (edited)

06z NMM has the PPN as snow in Gloucs., Wiltshire and Dorset, and sleet/rain for Bristol/Somerset southwestwards by dawn Friday.

Hard to judge whet would happen as Friday progress' though, but could have been a better start.

Lets hope both the NAE & NMM show a better angle and westward correction later.

Edited by AWD
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Southern Storm Seasoned

Southern Storm

Posted
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather what else!
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
Posted

Very light snow here in Christchurch, nothing to shout about but a little unexpected!

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Buzz Community Regular

Buzz

Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
Posted

Can someone post a link please on how I find how much above sea level I am. Cheers

I use Google Earth - just hover over your location with the mouse cursor and the height will be shown at the bottom in metres.

I'm sure there are other methods online though.

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noonoo418 Explorer

noonoo418

Posted
  • Location: Dursley
  • Weather Preferences: 4 seasons please
  • Location: Dursley
Posted

I use Google Earth - just hover over your location with the mouse cursor and the height will be shown at the bottom in metres.

I'm sure there are other methods online though.

Get your Met Office local forecast and it will tell you ASL on there

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musician Rookie

musician

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted

I'm a long-term lurker as I have nothing of interest to add - but I just want to say I'm so excited!!! I'm even going to venture into the loft to locate and prepare the fleet of sledges (which will guarantee hours of rain).

Hudsons field?

I know I'min Stroud, but pass by frequently!

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lfcdude Accomplished

lfcdude

Posted
  • Location: Devizes Wiltshire
  • Location: Devizes Wiltshire
Posted (edited)

06z NMM has the PPN as snow in Gloucs., Wiltshire and Dorset, and sleet/rain for Bristol/Somerset southwestwards.

Hard to judge whet would happen as Friday progress' though, but could have been a better start.

Lets hope both the NAE & NMM show a better angle and westward correction later.

Any early snow on the ground could help keep temps cooler for somerset? I will be taking plenty of snow pics though smile.png

Edited by lfcdude
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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Here are Gibbys thoughts, based on yesterday's 12z suite.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/58354-in-depth-model-discussion-analysis-and-summaries/page__st__2040#entry2505772

Of course, he has also produced a detailed analysis on the 00z output as well, which you can read further down the page, on the link attached.

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Any early snow on the ground could help keep temps cooler for somerset? I will be taking plenty of snow pics though smile.png

Yeah, could do. I'm just stating what the NMM shows at face value.

Where's Ian with an update? :p

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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted (edited)

Posted 4 minutes ago

06z NMM has the PPN as snow in Gloucs., Wiltshire and Dorset, and sleet/rain for Bristol/Somerset southwestwards by dawn Friday.

Hard to judge whet would happen as Friday progress' though, but could have been a better start.

Lets hope both the NAE & NMM show a better angle and westward correction later.

Edited by AWD, A minute ago.

So a massive downgrade now then and not snow just rain and sleet for somerset. Damn, knew it was to good to be true.

Guess i should look out the window nearer the time...

Edited by gottolovethisweather
removed the funny formatting
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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted (edited)

Posted 4 minutes ago

06z NMM has the PPN as snow in Gloucs., Wiltshire and Dorset, and sleet/rain for Bristol/Somerset southwestwards by dawn Friday.

Hard to judge whet would happen as Friday progress' though, but could have been a better start.

Lets hope both the NAE & NMM show a better angle and westward correction later.

Edited by AWD, A minute ago.

So a massive downgrade now then and not snow just rain and sleet for somerset. Damn, knew it was to good to be true.

Guess i should look out the window nearer the time...

No, not a massive downgrade! blum.gif lol.

Just another model with a slightly different evolution.

Edited by gottolovethisweather
removed strange formatting
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divadee Enthusiast

divadee

Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Hot Sun (but not at the same time!) 57m asl
  • Location: Poole
Posted

Just in boscombe and it has just started snowing!!! Very lightly but it was definitely the white stuff!

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

the old snow bone is tingling right now!

Welcome aboard.

Can you please update your profile to show your location, when you get a second.

Cheers

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted

Ok AWD, phew , you had me changing my pants for a second there bad.gif

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Moleyroley Rookie

Moleyroley

Posted
  • Location: portland dorset
  • Weather Preferences: really cold or really hot ! extremes
  • Location: portland dorset
Posted

Hi newbie here been lurking a while but not really posted ! Just wanted to ask if I'm likely to get any snow on Friday , I'm Portland dorset so right on the coast ! If I'm right I think I'll probably miss out ? P.s really enjoy reading all your posts :@)

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