south pacific Tropical Cyclone Haley

[Somerset Squall]

Tropical Cyclone Haley has formed in the South Pacific, ending the week long lull in tropical cyclone activity worldwide. Haley is located roughly 300 miles west of Bora Bora, Society Islands, and is at about 22° S. Because of Haley's high lattitude, the cyclone doesn't have long to strengthen as cooler water is not far away on the southeastwards track. Intensity is 45kts currently, and Haley has a small central dense overcast feature obscuring a tightly wound LLC. The small size of Haley will mean it should succumb quickly to the negative effects of increasing shear and cooler sea temps, both of which could impact Haley from as early as tonight.

[Somerset Squall]

Haley's LLC remains well defined this evening, but convection has reduced dramatically, leaving it exposed to view. Haley will weaken further tonight and tomorrow as sea temps continue to decline along track, and shear also rises.

[Somerset Squall]

Haley has degenerated into a remnant low this morning. The LLC is elongating under increased shear, and cool sea temps and dry air have completely dissipated the remaining shallow convection from last night. Regeneration is not expected.