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Winter Model Discussion 12Z 15/02/13 onwards.


phil nw.

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Posted
  • Location: hertfordshire
  • Location: hertfordshire

I just don't know where the UKMO would go from T144 having seen it on wetter and I don't think anyone could be confident if we could see a T168. Ian ? acute.gif

Probably go the same way as the GFS but if we could dream of a stella run then the vortex drops down into

northern Europe high pressure over the top under cutting to the south and southeast and -16c uppers

working their way across the UK from the east/northeast. Simples really, I wish.

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Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

ECM comes out earlier on the site posted above,

168

GZ_PN_168_0000.gif

216

GZ_PN_216_0000.gif

They say initialised on Thursday 14th Feb on the bottom? :)

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Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl

ECM comes out earlier on the site posted above,

168

GZ_PN_168_0000.gif

216

GZ_PN_216_0000.gif

Hi Chris, nice charts but are they yesterdays?

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Posted
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl

ECM comes out earlier on the site posted above,

168

GZ_PN_168_0000.gif

216

GZ_PN_216_0000.gif

Might just be my cache, but its still showing initialised on Thursday at the bottom right of those for me, so they still look like yesterday's?

SK

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Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

ECM comes out earlier on the site posted above,

168

GZ_PN_168_0000.gif

216

GZ_PN_216_0000.gif

wrong, date at bottom is 14th 12z.
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Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

Might just be my cache, but its still showing initialised on Thursday at the bottom right of those for me, so they still look like yesterday's?

SK

Can't be cache for me as that's the first time I've been on that site lol

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Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Looking at a 24 hrs delay on the ECM from the 00z for cold incursion. High pressure also stronger to the Northeast but slightly further south than previously.

Edited by The Eagle
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Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

Looking at a 24 hrs delay on the ECM from the 00z for cold incursion.

Yeh thats what i was thinking!!i expected cold uppers of -8 to -10 to b across most of england by 120 hrs
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Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

I think the ecm is just getting worse run by run in my opinion'!!especially 850s wise!!this morning it was showing 850s of -8 to -10 around 144 hours amd now its just shlwing -6!!what the hells happening!!

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