west pacific Tropical Depression 02 W

[Somerset Squall]

A tropical depression has formed over the southern Philippines overnight. Sustained winds are at 25kts currently. The LLC is not very well defined but does have some persistant convection covering it. Land interaction is hindering development currently, but the upper level environment is favourable with low shear and good outflow. As 02W tracks over the Sulu Sea, it may briefly attain tropical storm status as land interaction ceases, but as 02W moves into the South China Sea, a northeasterly cold surge will increase shear over the system and cause it to dissipate.

[Somerset Squall]

02W remains a weak 25kt tropical depression. Shear has risen and is keeping the LLC ill defined and causing the convection to become increasingly disorganised. As the depression tracks further into the South China Sea, it will dissipate as the environment gets even more hostile.