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South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 9th March 2013

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted (edited)

Metcheck going for 25cm!

http://www.metcheck.com/UK/dayforecast.asp?day=3&zipcode=#.UTscbnwgGSM

http://vejret.tv2.dk/vejr/id-2649622:faversham.html#w-1w

And here too!

Edited by willinkent44
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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted (edited)

Metcheck also going for 40cm in rye!

35cm brighton.....

21cm gravesend

14cm croydon.....

27cm ramsgate.....

30cm folkestone....

Edited by willinkent44
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anything-but Enthusiast

anything-but

Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
Posted

Metcheck also going for 40cm in rye!

I`m going to have to block you soon,my heart can`t take any more ramping!!! :D

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Tamara Maestro

Tamara

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
Posted (edited)

Liking these MOGREPS percentage possibilities as posted by Snowking on the MODair_kiss.gif I hope he doesn't mind me stealing themblush.png

SN.3.gif

Edited by Tamara Road
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Tamara Maestro

Tamara

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
Posted (edited)

Updated METO advisorysmile.png

A spell of sleet and snow is expected, starting in the early hours of Monday morning in southwest England, and affecting southern England more widely by the end of the morning. Snow will be accompanied by a strong easterly wind which will accentuate the very cold feel. Accumulations of 2-4 cm of snow could occur quite widely over southern counties, with a risk of 5-10 cm over Dartmoor.

The public are advised to be aware of the risk of localised disruption to travel.

That very much reflects what Ian F said on the MOD earlier this morning

Chief Forecasters assessment:

A low pressure system moving up from the Atlantic will come up against the influx of cold air from the north, bringing persistent sleet and snow. At the same time winds will increase, with gusts to 50 MPH on coasts and hills. At this stage there is uncertainty about how far north precipitation will push, and also the extent to which snow will settle on the recently warmed ground. This warning will be updated again during Sunday morning.

Edited by Tamara Road
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snowking Accomplished

snowking

Posted
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
Posted

And i'm sure this is a graphic that will please many in the S of this region:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=8&lon=0.53&lat=51.20&fcTime=1363046400

Highlighting the trend from the models this morning. Expect some chopping and changing of this for the next 48 hours still

SK

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted (edited)

http://www.localrags.co.uk/index.php/News/2013/3/9/roads-closed-and-pub-flooded-as-torrential-rain-hits-folkestone-area---photos/

Yesterdays rain was heavy but not this heavy here! Poor folk in folkestone!

And i'm sure this is a graphic that will please many in the S of this region:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=8&lon=0.53&lat=51.20&fcTime=1363046400

Highlighting the trend from the models this morning. Expect some chopping and changing of this for the next 48 hours still

SK

Its a coming! The next 24 hrs will be very interesting model watching!

Also met going for 20-30 mph winds gusting 50-55 mph drifting could be a big problem....

Edited by willinkent44
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Tom Quintavalle Maestro

Tom Quintavalle

Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snowy Weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
Posted (edited)

Hard to remember the last decent March snowfall in our area, probably my memory playing tricks.

The latest snowfall I can remember was the April 6th 2008 event.

Frontal system pushed down from the north and came to a halt, with a small low developing Kent/Sussex area.

Remember Nick F stating that the Tunbridge Wells area had a very decent fall, around 6" possibly?

Lets hope some of us get lucky on this occassion.

Rrea00120080406.gif

Edited by TomSE20
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Tom Quintavalle Maestro

Tom Quintavalle

Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snowy Weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
Posted

Metcheck also going for 40cm in rye!

35cm brighton.....

21cm gravesend

14cm croydon.....

27cm ramsgate.....

30cm folkestone....

Yamkin needs to have a look at that, shouldnt that be 140 cms Croydon!

Tom.

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Froze were the Days Accomplished

Froze were the Days

Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
Posted

Whose bellowing out these figures of 20 odd cms??...when the MetO say 2-4 cms! - too much ramping again as usual.

Metcheck...say no more!

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted (edited)

Whose bellowing out these figures of 20 odd cms??...when the MetO say 2-4 cms! - too much ramping again as usual.

Metcheck...say no more!

Metcheck taken directly from gfs..... But also

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/England/London/hour_by_hour.html

http://vejret.tv2.dk/vejr/id-2649622:faversham.html

Plus numerous charts.....

And even netweather forecast! http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=snowforecast;page=3;type=winter;ct=10806~Faversham;sess=#forecast

Edited by willinkent44
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Tamara Maestro

Tamara

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
Posted

Hard to remember the last decent March snowfall in our area, probably my memory playing tricks.

The most late winter snowfall I can remember was the April 6th 2008 event.

Rrea00120080406.gif

I've got my tupperware containers ready again and a space cleared in the freezertease.gif

food-and-drinks-refrigerators-and-freezers-421266.gif

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tight isobar Maestro

tight isobar

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
Posted

Well it was à theory of mine yesterday. And although plenty doubt remains!,the issue cannot be ignored, Channel lps, in à degree of mergence, with convective precip, incure from east,and timing is key.if we get the 850hpa,s timely,and also east component,alignment correct, then perhaps the most significant spell of snow this season may well end up,evolve,bang over most if not all our region.mean wind speed and chill factor just aiding poss fun/ games.......

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted

It was very heavy for a while, had half an inch in an hour from 3:30pm - 4:30pm and then mother half inch up to about 8pm. Didn't realise Sandgate had issues though! That is one of the problems of this town..it starts back on the slopes of the Downs and ends up by the sea so any heavy rain just pours down to those right on the coast.

This happened to a greater extent on March 12th 1996 when a storm gave us 125mm of rain in around four hours! Many homes and several businesses flooded in that one.

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ukpaul Aficionado

ukpaul

Posted
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Click on my name - sorry, it was too long to fit here......
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
Posted

I'm guessing London is marginal again this time?

The heat island effect doesn't help for London. Just checking the 06z runs and GFS and NAVGEM push things further north again compared to the previous run, NOGAPS doesn't but, hey, that's NOGAPS and it's being dumped next week. It's the UKMO mainly that doesn't have things up through Surrey and into the London fringes, this will obviously have an effect on what people think might happen.

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lottiekent Experienced

lottiekent

Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
Posted

Metcheck also going for 40cm in rye!

35cm brighton.....

21cm gravesend

14cm croydon.....

27cm ramsgate.....

30cm folkestone....

If I get 30cm of snow here I'll be shocked! Maybe 5cm at best :)

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WillinGlossop Maestro

WillinGlossop

Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
Posted

Actually netweather has 36cm for here!

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Tom Quintavalle Maestro

Tom Quintavalle

Posted
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snowy Weather
  • Location: Lee, London. SE12, 41 mts. 134.5 ft asl.
Posted

I've got my tupperware containers ready again and a space cleared in the freezertease.gif

food-and-drinks-refrigerators-and-freezers-421266.gif

Can you save some for me please Tamara, I think I'm going to struggle. You could throw in some eels too please!

Regards,

Tom.

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Tamara Maestro

Tamara

Posted
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
  • Weather Preferences: The most likely outcome. The MJO is only half the story!
  • Location: Fazendas de,Almeirim, Portugal
Posted

Can you save some for me please Tamara, I think I'm going to struggle. You could throw in some eels too please!

Regards,

Tom.

I think that the snow event this time just might last a bit longer than the April 2008 one. Its good to see that the METO reflect the continuing possibilities for our region through Tuesday as the low stays close enough by on the continent. I'm sure the North Sea is also coming into play by then too with convective possibilities. I might keep the tupperware, erm, on ice for a bit on that basiscold.gif

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