Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

The Midlands Regional Discussion 21/03/13 09z ------->


A.J

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

ok, please continue your discussions of the impending 'jeez, holy smokes, we're buried under mountains of snow' stuff here.... biggrin.png

old thread here ----------->

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nottingham
  • Location: Nottingham

Is Nottingham still in the firing line because some views on here appearing to be contradicting what I heard on both the Radio & TV this morning that said its game on for the Nottingham & the East Midlands being one of the worst areas to be hit ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate, snow winter, sunny summers
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl

Very difficult to estimate accumulations from this. Peak district got to be looking at well in excess of a foot in parts, especially further north. As for brum and surrounding areas that's more difficult. I was up near Hexham over weekend and there we had heavy snow for about 6 hours in evening, very marginal temps, still had around 12cms in that time.

Much of this weekends snow is forecast overnight which will help accumulations, expecting less Friday day in particular. So based on all the above I'd expect around 15-20cms for brum and surrounding areas, 20-25cms south and central staffs + Shropshire, 25cms for north staffs. More on locally higher ground. Areas south of brum far less, but still potentially up to 15cms for areas within 20 miles south of brum, lickeys/malverns should do well.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow. Cold
  • Location: South Leicestershire

Is Nottingham still in the firing line because some views on here appearing to be contradicting what I heard on both the Radio & TV this morning that said its game on for the Nottingham & the East Midlands being one of the worst areas to be hit ?

I'm not so sure about East Mids being "worst hit", looks like areas around the Pennines will be worst hit, northern areas in general.

That said, still the potential for Nottingham areas to see up to 20CM if precipitation charts are to be believed. Midlands generally could be fairly badly hit.

06z GFS impressive with regards to precipitation totals. A bit worried about it's placement of snow, it has many of us (Brum, leics, derby, notts) down for rain with snow up further north.

Edited by kmanmx
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando

When do the Met Office usually update their warnings? Is it usually around late morning?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl

Spare a thought for those of us forecast rain!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Leicestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow. Cold
  • Location: South Leicestershire

When do the Met Office usually update their warnings? Is it usually around late morning?

11am - midday.

Yes, I too usually find they update between about 11am and about 1pm.

Edited by kmanmx
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

Very difficult to estimate accumulations from this. Peak district got to be looking at well in excess of a foot in parts, especially further north. As for brum and surrounding areas that's more difficult. I was up near Hexham over weekend and there we had heavy snow for about 6 hours in evening, very marginal temps, still had around 12cms in that time.

Much of this weekends snow is forecast overnight which will help accumulations, expecting less Friday day in particular. So based on all the above I'd expect around 15-20cms for brum and surrounding areas, 20-25cms south and central staffs + Shropshire, 25cms for north staffs. More on locally higher ground. Areas south of brum far less, but still potentially up to 15cms for areas within 20 miles south of brum, lickeys/malverns should do well.

20-25cms for me? bloody 'eck, bit optimistic? 06Z does suggest decent snow friday night into Sat morning

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando
  • Location: Telford, Shropshire, Orlando

11am - midday.

Thought so. Im sure some of us are going to see a Red warning.

Edited by villaman
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nottingham
  • Location: Nottingham

I'm not so sure about East Mids being "worst hit", looks like areas around the Pennines will be worst hit, northern areas in general.

That said, still the potential for Nottingham areas to see up to 20CM if precipitation charts are to be believed. Midlands generally could be fairly badly hit.

06z GFS impressive with regards to precipitation totals. A bit worried about it's placement of snow, it has many of us (Brum, leics, derby, notts) down for rain with snow up further north.

In fairness the guy on Radio Notttingham from the Met said he expected warnings to be issued for my area today. The comment about the East Midlands came from the bloke on the BBC so he probably meant areas of the peak district in derbyshire rather than Notts/Leics.

If we get a covering I will be more that happy when we're this close to April

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

The forecast for most in the midlands will see 36 to 48 hrs of very heavy snow plus blizzards over high ground friday / saturday,

Snow amount will differ depending on elevation and what part of the midlands you live but quite widely most will see 10 to 15 cm.

Then a bitter easterly for three days.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow! Severe storms.
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL

Wow winter's tail, for sure. Looking forward to some white stuff here, am thinking the Malverns might start off with rain but then get snow later on as that front moves further south. Or that's how it appears on the forecast, who knows!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl
  • Weather Preferences: extreme weather
  • Location: Stratford Upon Avon 82m asl

The forecast for most in the midlands will see 36 to 48 hrs of very heavy snow plus blizzards over high ground friday / saturday,

Snow amount will differ depending on elevation and what part of the midlands you live but quite widely most will see 10 to 15 cm.

Then a bitter easterly for three days.

I don't think some of the Midlands will see much - the south midlands look like mainly rain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

Maybe at first friday that is, but as friday evening / saturday morning rolls on even parts of the south midlands will see snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
I don't think some of the Midlands will see much - the south midlands look like mainly rain.

Still time for that to change, Serendipity. Only a very slight shift required good.gif

Bish

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Continental climate, snow winter, sunny summers
  • Location: Wythall, Worcestershire, 150m asl

20-25cms for me? bloody 'eck, bit optimistic? 06Z does suggest decent snow friday night into Sat morning

Yes that's what I'd expect based on consensus of current output, bit lower for lower lying areas but 25 cms certainly possible for areas higher up. Not dissimilar to accumulations seen on 8th dec 1990, another heavy but very wet snow event. This one set to last nearly twice as long as that event, though snow probably not quite as heavy and stronger solar output and daytime warming now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl
  • Location: Newcastle under lyme 160m asl

Likes like stokes going to get battered . This will be the 2nd time this winter that my area looks good for snow . 18th of jan was great with about 13cm falling but i heard the 25th of jan was good i was in finland. The difference between jan and now is that we have an established cold source now so it should stick around for a few days

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

Steve murr just posted an image of snowfall accumaltions around the uk on the mod thread!!it showing 10-15cms widely across the midlands and even 20cms in a few places!!that is scary!!best thing is the weather will only get colder once the front retreats back south which means the snow could stick around for quite a while!!thank god its not one of those snow events where its gone next day due to rainfall!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall

Agreed. I think some are overlooking this because of snow. My area forecast between 40-70mm of precip. Mainly rain. This could cause some severe flooding.

Yep, 50mm quite possible here in Cornwall whilst the North Midlands sees snow. Central Midlands a mix but I would be surprised to see a little more rain involved than expected.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

13032300_2106.gif13032306_2106.gif

Looking at the NAE even the south midlands will see plenty

Just a little food for thought last night on the mod thread Ian Fergusson said

the BBC weather tv graphics are a raw modified version of the NAE.

Also i just carn't believe whats showing above and its coming on to the end of march

hope it comes to frutition.

Edited by dancer with wings
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...