Upcoming Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - w/c 12th May

[NUT]

You would think with the showery type of cloud around we have had today, would and should have perhaps been pummlled with showers possibly storms but we only had a few the wind's so light that's why things are barely moving perhaps

[Cheshire Freeze]

Oh God, here we go again!! lol.

 

Exactly what I was thinking. The west looks favoured yet the east gets them again. Cursed I tell ya, cursed.

There are a few cells over Northern France which have produced lightning, what would be the chance of them reaching us as they are moving northwards?

 

On a scale of likely to slim I would say non existant.

[Cloudwatcher]

Just had a sharp (but brief) shower of hail about 15 minutes ago. That's cause for excitement in these storm starved parts!

[Kain]

Not looking good here, convection seems to have halted and everything looks abit flat really.

 

Booo

[Coast]

Amusing. Max CAPE isn't generated until late afternoon and into early evening, i.e. 6-7pm, so have a little patience. Same thing from the same members year in, year out. Good grief.

 

But everyone seems to be having fun at least!!

[Kain]

Amusing. Max CAPE isn't generated until late afternoon and into early evening, i.e. 6-7pm, so have a little patience. Same thing from the same members year in, year out. Good grief.

 

Convective weather does it to people, but its the same year in year out that people moan about people moaning

[Karl83]

Amusing. Max CAPE isn't generated until late afternoon and into early evening, i.e. 6-7pm, so have a little patience. Same thing from the same members year in, year out. Good grief.

Couldn't agree more. And there you go, showers now developing in Warminster.

 

EDIT: Ok its looking alright for my area at the mo but I'm sure most will get something.

Edited May 16, 2013 by Karl83

[Supacell]

Well i've just been for a short walk. Lovely and pleasant with sunshine although i can see distant showers towards Wales from where I am.

 

Some tall Tcu's appearing on the southern horizon.

Edited May 16, 2013 by Supacell

[+++Thunderstorm+++]

Going really well isn't it. Not a single lightning strike detected in the UK yet. Whoa,. This place is fast turning into Florida...

Amusing. Max CAPE isn't generated until late afternoon and into early evening, i.e. 6-7pm, so have a little patience. Same thing from the same members year in, year out. Good grief.

These "free for all" convective situations are rubbish here, CAPE doesn't guarantee thunderstorms either BTW, at least here the dewpoint and humidity seems really low, and also there needs to be some kind of defined lifting mechanism it seems to get a thunderstorm here. Otherwise they all develop in the usual favoured places like the cheshire plain, manchester, and the midlands.

Edited May 16, 2013 by Coast

[Allseasons-Si]

our first storm in the uk has just kicked off NE of lincoln.

 

i am keeping an eye on those echos SE of sheffield that is heading this way.

Edited May 16, 2013 by allseasons-si

[Staffordshire]

Connvective activity is going mad right now, cells popping up everywhere, 6-7pm prime time

[AWD]

A rash of cells have quickly developed along the M4 corridor.

[Wilxy]

Some strong cells now showing to the south of us getting alot darker now too.

[Liam Ellis]

Clouds seems to be more potent now with a few developing into larger towering cumulus. There's also a larger cell towards the SE, Bristol area I think, which has developed into a Cumulonimbus. Hopefully these will get even more strength in the next hour or so. 

[Ben Sainsbury]

What an earth is going on near hull, look at that cell and can confirm many hail showers near south Bristol at the moment!

[AWD]

Clouds seems to be more potent now with a few developing into larger towering cumulus. There's also a larger cell towards the SE, Bristol area I think, which has developed into a Cumulonimbus. Hopefully these will get even more strength in the next hour or so.

That cell is currently over me now giving some moderate rainfall (large raindrops).

[Liam Ellis]

Some strong cells now showing to the south of us getting alot darker now too.

That's the one I might see from here - I'll try and get some pictures! 

[Convective]

It's going to be pretty hit and miss but anyway, here we go! Cells really getting going now! Beautiful colours on the radar now!

[Coast]

[Karl83]

Look at that one cell near Westbury!

[AWD]

Look at that one cell near Westbury!

Heading right for us.

[Supacell]

Lincoln gets the first lightning of the day then. However, cells popping up everywhere now including one just south of Shrewsbury that I have my eye on. 

[Wilxy]

Looking dark towards the lansdown hills now might take a drive up there gunna sit back and wait a bit longer yet.

[samadamsuk]

Powerful cells going up to my E (I Think it's E!), here in Cirencester -  

[A.J]

currently at Frankley Services on the M5 Southbound just south of Brum....messy convection here.....looks a bit better visually to the north of Brum.......Ironic that I'm here, that back home in Wilts things are develpoing nicely on radar...lol.......still...I'm dropping down on the M40 to Warwick, review, and then drop onto th Fosse Way (A429) as the heavy showers breaking out over the home counties/wilts/oxon should drift north westwards in that direction

Edited May 16, 2013 by ajpoolshark