Chase Day 7 Discussion - NW Texas

[samadamsuk]

looks like it's game over for those 2 cells - from the feeds I can see it looks like just mammatus and no rooted bases for these storms - hope I'm wrong though!

[samadamsuk]

I'd be pushing ENE right now

[Arron]

Nice little LP cell this one just south of Leuders, TX, seems to be pulsing a bit though.

[chionomaniac]

It looked like it was losing oomph a while back, Arron, so good to see it has picked up again as there is nothing else around currently.

[samadamsuk]

Nice one Arron. Yes we saw it pulse - I guess you guys are waiting for it to move into better moisture and transition from LP - wont be long I think

[samadamsuk]

still not much on the NW cam - Stephen Jones has a perfect view of that cell though - http://www.chasertv.com/

[samadamsuk]

Looks like the team might be pushing ene ?- a good call imo if so

[NL]

Great call from Nick F earlier mentioning greatest potential for tornadic activity east or Northeast of Witchita Falls, storm around that area is now tornado warned and is currently dropping 2" hail. Reports now coming in of baseball sized hail.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  TORNADO WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  525 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...    NORTHERN MONTAGUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    * UNTIL 615 PM CDT    * AT 525 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES NORTH OF    STONEBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.    * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...    NOCONA AROUND 550 PM CDT...    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...    MOVE TO AN INTERIOR BATHROOM...CLOSET...OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST  FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING. COVER YOURSELF WITH BLANKETS...PILLOWS...OR A  MATTRESS FOR PROTECTION.    IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL UP TO SOFTBALLS AND DAMAGING   WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. 

Edited May 15, 2013 by NL

[samadamsuk]

Yes a perfect call there. David Mathias streaming live from that Cell now. Effective shear still higher as you go south, so I'd imagine that cell near Mineral Walls may get interesting

[NL]

Tornado watch looks imminent for NW/NorthCentral Texas and southern Oklahoma going by the latest MD from the SPC.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0647  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  0540 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013    AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL/CENTRAL TX AND SOUTHERN OK    CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 160...    VALID 152240Z - 152345Z    THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 160  CONTINUES.    SUMMARY...DAMAGING WIND/SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL CONTINUES ACROSS  SEVERE TSTM WATCH 160...WITH THE LARGEST HAIL POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS  OF NORTHWEST INTO NORTH-CENTRAL TX. SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL EXISTS AS  WELL MAINLY ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL TX...MONITORING FOR A  PARTIAL TORNADO WATCH UPGRADE.    DISCUSSION...DISCUSSION PRIMARILY CONCERNS NORTH-CENTRAL TX...WHERE  SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL EXIST INTO THIS EVENING. SOUTH OF A  CLUSTERING BAND OF STORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX...CU FIELD CONTINUES  TO DEEPEN WITH TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN VICINITY OF LOW-LEVEL  CONFLUENT/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AXIS THAT EXTENDS FROM EAST OF  WICHITA FALLS SSW TO GRAHAM AND BROWNWOOD AREAS. STORMS MAY CONTINUE  TO DEVELOP WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR AND SPREAD EAST-NORTHWARD TOWARD  SOMEWHAT COOLER SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. MODEST TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT  SPREADS AND MODERATELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ARE NOTED NEAR/EAST OF  THE CONFLUENT AXIS...WITH A RECENT TREND OF BACKING LOW-LEVEL FLOW  /SOUTHEASTERLY/ AND AS MUCH AS 150-175 M2/S2 OF 0-1 KM SRH PER  MODIFIED FORT WORTH WSR-88D VWP. THIS SUPPORTS THE NOTION OF AT  LEAST SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL INTO THIS EVENING...SUCH THAT A TORNADO  WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY.

Edited May 15, 2013 by NL

[samadamsuk]

a nice looking overshooting top visible from where the team are. Not sure whether it's sweetwater way, or east though!

[davehsug]

How are you seeing these Sam? stream hasn't worked for me for an hour?

[samadamsuk]

HI Dave.

 

Using: http://www.chasertv.com/

Charles Edwards has an absolute beast in front of him - I think this is Mineral Wells direction

[davehsug]

Thanks Sam

[Arron]

Well this has caught quite a few chasers out! Now hauling it east to try and get up close and personal with the cells around Mineral Wells. Lovely looking anvils and over shooting tops, Sheeesh!

[samadamsuk]

No probs Dave

 

I'd say there's a good chance of those cells going tornado very soon! some intense shear on those

[NL]

Tornado observed by spotters and doppler radar Comanche Hamiliton and Mills Counties N/central texas.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  TORNADO WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  617 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...    SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    WEST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    NORTH CENTRAL MILLS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    * UNTIL 700 PM CDT    * AT 617 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO    OVER NORTH CENTRAL MILLS COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.    * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...    PRIDDY AT 630 PM CDT    POTTSVILLE AT 640 PM CDT 

[samadamsuk]

Stephen Jones heading towards the same cell - that looks MEAN!

[NL]

Developing tornado heading straight towards Mineral Wells

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  TORNADO WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  624 PM CDT WED MAY 15 2013    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...    EAST CENTRAL PALO PINTO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    CENTRAL PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...    * UNTIL 715 PM CDT    * AT 624 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A    DEVELOPING TORNADO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MINERAL WELLS...MOVING EAST    AT 20 MPH.  THIS DEVELOPING TORNADO IS HEADED RIGHT INTO THE HEART   OF THE CITY OF MINERAL WELLS...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!    * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...    MINERAL WELLS AROUND 630 PM CDT...    COOL...MILLSAP AND MINERAL WELLS STATE PARK AROUND 640 PM CDT...    WEATHERFORD AND HUDSON OAKS AROUND 715 PM CDT...

[nsrobins]

Well this has caught quite a few chasers out! Now hauling it east to try and get up close and personal with the cells around Mineral Wells. Lovely looking anvils and over shooting tops, Sheeesh!

Surprising alignment considering the initial set-up, but it happens and thankfully just an hour maybe to re-position.

One for the locker to re-analyse LOL.

[NL]

Cells over North/central Texas looking good from visible satellite image.

 

[samadamsuk]

They look pretty potent there. I would say if the Mineral Wells TN stays on the ground, it might go through the northern suburbs of Fort Worth - hopefully wont hit directly!

[nsrobins]

Mineral Wells cell has done minor damage from snippets of JR Hehnlys stream qand signature looks decent on radar now.
 

[samadamsuk]

I think I can see the TN on JR Henley's cam

[anniedreamer]

stream still not working