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Tropical Storm Barry


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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Invest 93L in the NW Caribbean has developed a closed LLC and enough organised convection to be designated a 30kt tropical depression, the second of the Atlantic season. 02L is very near the coast of Belize so doesn't really have time to strengthen any further. After landfall, 02L will obviously weaken but is expected to emerge into the southern Bay Of Campeche; as the upper level environment is expected to remain favourable then 02L might become a tropical storm before a second landfall, this time on the Mexican coast. Heavy rains are the primary concern from this cyclone.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Excellent. Given it's early depression status i would not be surpised if it actually copes on land fairly well and intensifies more than forecast in the Gulf.

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    Posted
  • Location: s yorks
  • Weather Preferences: c'mon thunder
  • Location: s yorks

    Great, I`m just off out with the dogs then it`s a dram in the glass for the 10pm hunter aircraft recon show! Posted Image

    Starting out focusing on the area 80miles due E off the Belize coast:

    C. 17/1700Z

    D. 17.0N 87.0W

    Be interesting what the obs are but TD2 has between 200 & 350 mile landtrack before entering the BOC so lay ya bets for a TS or not?

    woops. Recon mission aborted for today!

    Bay of Campeche recon sched Tues & Weds:

    C. 18/1645Z D. 19.0N 92.5W

    C. 19/0800Z D. 19.5N 94.5W

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    02L appears to be making landfall or will do so in the next hour or two. The depression is messy, and NHC notes the LLCC is hard to locate. Ridging to the north is set to remain in place and I do wonder just how long 02L will have over the Bay Of Campeche (BOC). NHC mentions the possibility that 02L may dissipate over the Yucatan and not emerge into the BOC at all. Additionally, if the depression's track edges any further south it may never reach water again. A lot hedges on just how well this already fairly disorganised depression fares over the next 36hrs.

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    Posted
  • Location: s yorks
  • Weather Preferences: c'mon thunder
  • Location: s yorks

    Showing signs of a remnant Low now BUT appears to have taken slightly more veer so maybe more time of the BOC now?

    We`ll see what it does later tomorrow but Recon cancelled again today, although I don`t think we can totally strike this system off altogether in what is a hotspot for regeneration soon as it clears the state of Campeche and utilises the warm GOM waters.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Looks like it has survived and will soon be over water, center is south of the main batch though so a shift in the center to the north west would not be a surprise..

     

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    18N, 90W.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Now back over water and the LLC already looks like it's tightening up again, also the system seems father north than forecast. I now think 02L has a good shot at becoming a tropical storm prior to second landfall.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Now back over water and the LLC already looks like it's tightening up again, also the system seems father north than forecast. I now think 02L has a good shot at becoming a tropical storm prior to second landfall.

     

    Can't get better timing to come offshore really, the suns just about to set so there will be a nice durinal minimum.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    35mph, convection over the center and moving WNW, soon to be declared a TS i think.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: s yorks
  • Weather Preferences: c'mon thunder
  • Location: s yorks

    Former TD2, Having already rejuvanated over the Bay of Campeche, has now been upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry and is looking organised with 45mph surface est winds with ongoing recon obs (currently approaching estimate centre here from SW) and ESP readings of 1005mb.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Former TD2, Having already rejuvanated over the Bay of Campeche, has now been upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry and is looking organised with 45mph surface est winds with ongoing recon obs (currently approaching estimate centre here from SW) and ESP readings of 1005mb.

     

    Are we sure this only 40mph?

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

     

    Tropical Storm Barry formed off Mexico's Gulf Coast on Wednesday, prompting Mexican authorities to ready hundreds of shelters.
     
    The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said the Atlantic hurricane season's second tropical storm was drenching areas in its path with up to 10 inches of rain in some places, raising the threat of flash floods. In the late evening, Barry was about 40 miles (60 kilometers) northeast of Veracruz, Mexico, and was expected to make landfall near that port city Thursday morning. The center predicted Barry would strengthen slightly before making landfall but said it would weaken soon after.
     
    Veracruz state Civil Protection Secretary Noemi Guzman said 2,000 shelters had been readied in the state with mattresses, blankets, water and canned food. She said the shelters at schools and recreation centers could house up to 306,000 people. The port of Veracruz was closed to small vessels because of the strong winds, Guzman said. The storm had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 kph). It formed as a depression off the coast of Belize on Monday and began moving north.
     
    A tropical storm warning was in effect on the Mexican coast from Punta El Lagarto to Tuxpan, in Veracruz state.

     

     

    http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/tropical-storm-barry-forms-off-mexican-coast-19442670#.UcK2xOemj4s

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    Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......

    Looks like a wet 48hrs in S. Mexico then?

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Barry is now a 40kt tropical storm closing in on landfall on Veracruz, Mexico. Primary concern, as GW highlights, is the high rainfall totals from Barry for Southern Mexico. Barry should make landfall very soon, and will rapidly dissipate over Mexico, but the heavy rains may continue for a few days yet.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Looks pretty nice and tight, shame it was not headed north or something may have come from it. Movement has also slowed to a trickle although it is about to make landfall.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    NHC have declared landfall at 40KT. Weirdly though the radar for 3 hours after above shows it stronger than ever with the center offshore.

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

     

    Tropical Storm Barry weakens to depression, but still dumping rain on southern Mexico
     
    VERACRUZ, Mexico -- Tropical Storm Barry weakened to a depression after hitting Mexico's Gulf Coast on Thursday and forcing the evacuation of four towns near a rain-swollen river.
     
    The second tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season had maximum sustained winds near 55 kph in the evening and tropical storm force gusts were possible along the coast of eastern Veracruz state. The government of Mexico discontinued the storm warnings for Veracruz but state authorities moved about 1,000 people from towns along the Rio Bobos in the northern part of the state, which was being hit by more than seven inches of rain, sending the river's level rising by more than two feet.
     
    Benito Garcia Velasquez stands with his family outside of their flooded home after heavy rains caused by Tropical Storm Barry in the city of Veracruz, Mexico, Thursday June 20, 2013. Classes were cancelled around the state but flights were operating normally out of the main airport in the city of Veracruz and schools were expected to reopen Friday.  Veracruz state Civil Protection Secretary Noemi Guzman said 2,000 shelters had been readied in the state with mattresses, blankets, water and canned food. She said the shelters at schools and recreation centres could house up to 306,000 people.
     
    The port of Veracruz was closed to small vessels because of the strong winds, Guzman added. The storm had formed as a depression off the coast of Belize on Monday and began moving northward, dumping heavy rains on parts of that country and northern Guatemala before entering the Gulf of Mexico off Mexico's Bay of Campeche and strengthening somewhat over warm Gulf waters. The storm was expected to begin breaking apart Friday as it crosses southern Mexico, the hurricane centre said.

     

     
     
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    Posted
  • Location: s yorks
  • Weather Preferences: c'mon thunder
  • Location: s yorks

    Last Advisory Issued prior to dissipation later today/tonight but up to 10" of rainfall was the biggest headliner the 2nd named storm of the season was ever going to make due to it`s path (contrary to SB`s wishes Posted Image) but its looking ominous for the sucessors Chantal & co.?

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