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July 2013 CET Forecasts / Competition


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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

18.3 please

 

Now that's a cracker (incidentally 1995 was an analogue i chose to discard) however i'm just curious as to whether your data indicates July being a one month wonder or collapsing in August ala 2006.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

According to the 0z GFS op run, the CET for the first 4 days of July would average about 16.8C.

 

FI would have us in the 19s by the 12th...

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Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.

although some moddels saying it might be a hot month and there's the mets updates for avrage summer weather, im gona go for. 16.5c.

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Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Location: Shrewsbury

Looking at the models and thinking we're overdue a warm summer month I would guess 17.5; however this is the post-2006 era and June has failed to produce any heat despite seemingly good synoptic, so I'll revise that down to a mediocre 16.1C

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Posted
  • Location: Exile from Argyll
  • Location: Exile from Argyll

Looking at the models and thinking we're overdue a warm summer month I would guess 17.5; however this is the post-2006 era and June has failed to produce any heat despite seemingly good synoptic, so I'll revise that down to a mediocre 16.1C

 

This is what bothers me. I was saying to Pete about not being surprised to see a hot July but I'm not sure if these great charts will even verify let alone live up to face value promise.

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

16.5c

 

A bang on average month well over due , with days getting shorter

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Recent July's since the infamous hot one of 2006 have been very dissapointing temperature wise, with far too much chilly wet weather for what is on average the month most likely to deliver heat.

 

I don't foresee a particularly warm July, but do expect it to deliver the warmest conditions of the year perhaps with a mini heatwave or two more so for the south (my definition of a mini heatwave is a period of about 3-5 days with temperatures over central england in the mid-high 20's with favoured spots hitting the 30 degree or just over mark - the best this country on average usually should come to expect). 2 week spells of temperatures in the high 20's, low 30's are not certainly not what this country should expect to see in the summer - and are more the exception.

 

My estimate for July is a slightly above average month at 16.8 degrees. I think it will see average rainfall, with perhaps one or two proper thundery spells.

 

It will be a marked improvement on recent July's but certainly a far cry from the heady heights of the likes of July 83, 89, 90, 95, 06.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Recent July's since the infamous hot one of 2006 have been very dissapointing temperature wise, with far too much chilly wet weather for what is on average the month most likely to deliver heat.

 

Easy to forget, but July 2010 had a CET of 17.1C, despite plenty of cloud, rain and no significant warm spells. 

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

17.2 for me

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Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

16.4C for me :)

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Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)
  • Weather Preferences: Unseasonably cold weather (at all times of year), wind, and thunderstorms.
  • Location: Edinburgh (previously Chelmsford and Birmingham)

14.5C.

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

A close to average 16.7C

Edited by reef
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Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow

Put me down for 16c please

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Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

18.0ºC for me please.

Edited by Polar Gael
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