Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 17th July 2013 onwards

[Coast]

Never a good time to start a new thread, the old one was creaking a bit though!

 

Please continue your convective storm chat, observations, opinions and forecasts here please!

 

 

Old 'fred' here:

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77030-convective-storm-risk-discussion-21st-june-2013-onwards

[Supacell]

Hopefully this is thread will be filled with observations of severe thunderstorms and photographs of amazing lightning strikes. Seems ages since the last good thundery outbreak but we may (i stress "may") just be on the cusp of something now. The heat has been building for over 2 weeks and if we can get that low to sit over Biscay it will draw in very hot, humid air with plenty of thunderstorms. Some of the charts are a throwback to the old style of summer, with big storms lasting all night long - lets hope it comes off this time.

[UKSupercell]

Just snapped these on the Iphone4 in South Bucks looking east towards London - surely these are potential storm cells....?

[Cheshire Freeze]

GFS seems to be hinting at something elevated pushing N across W areas from Sunday night onwards. Could be some overnight lightning displays as that plume pushes steadily N.

[Paul Sherman]

Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

[UKSupercell]

Rumbles reported!!!

[Coast]

Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

 

Or indeed on August 20th?  

Rumbles reported!!!

 

Sorry about that, is it teatime yet? 

[A.J]

looks like one of my old stomping grounds is getting a heavy downpour/thunderstorm now, over at RAF Odiham, Hants, nr Basingstoke, bright echoes on radar....around 40 or so miles to my east

[UKSupercell]

More rumbles of thunder from this beast

[Coast]

Boom - West of London!

 

 

 

 

[storm1080]

Wow, superb, storms today...Gotta say , this inbound iberian low early next week should cause mayhem, it stalls west of brest, then sinks to spain, then comes back up to us again..plumecity...

[Wet'n'Dry]

What's the chance of Essex getting in on the action? Slim I reckon!

[Jax]

Wow, superb, storms today...Gotta say , this inbound iberian low early next week should cause mayhem, it stalls west of brest, then sinks to spain, then comes back up to us again..plumecity...

not hear that kind of talk outside the '70's

[poseidon]

 

What's the chance of Essex getting in on the action? Slim I reckon!

 

Some very tall clouds going up north of me and wind has picked up noticeably. Can't see anything on radar yet though.

[Paul Sherman]

Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

[The watcher]

So long as we can get a Low/shortwave close to the UK (from W/SW) we'd surely have storms spark quite widely. Currently that's what I'm looking for, especially in respect to what Ireland can achieve from this.

[Paul R]

Afternoon, and nice to be back after about 12 months away. Can see TCU and a CB to the east; guess it's the cell on radar. Not heard thunder yet but still in work so will give an update in about 30 mins time.

[Moisty]

Earlier clouds south and west from me have cleared but 15 miles to the east looks like a storm getting going around Odiham

[DAVID SNOW]

Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

Paul,which way would the steering winds push these cells?

[Paul Sherman]

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

[A.J]

they'll be very slow moving, and looking at the 850 wind profiles they'll drift slightly WSW

[DAVID SNOW]

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

Yep, latest radar has them drifting to the west of London.

[Kiwi]

Rumble of thunder here ...5.40pm

[Paul R]

Rumble of thunder here ...5.40pm

Yip, hearing rumbles in the centre of Basingstoke now as well.

[DAVID SNOW]

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

Looking on XCWeather there does seem to be some wind convergence to our N and NE.