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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 17th July 2013 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Never a good time to start a new thread, the old one was creaking a bit though!

     

    Please continue your convective storm chat, observations, opinions and forecasts here please!

     

    Posted Image

     

    Old 'fred' here:

     

    http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77030-convective-storm-risk-discussion-21st-june-2013-onwards

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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    Hopefully this is thread will be filled with observations of severe thunderstorms and photographs of amazing lightning strikes. Seems ages since the last good thundery outbreak but we may (i stress "may") just be on the cusp of something now. The heat has been building for over 2 weeks and if we can get that low to sit over Biscay it will draw in very hot, humid air with plenty of thunderstorms. Some of the charts are a throwback to the old style of summer, with big storms lasting all night long - lets hope it comes off this time.

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    Posted
  • Location: East Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Supercells n snow
  • Location: East Hants

    Just snapped these on the Iphone4 in South Bucks looking east towards London - surely these are potential storm cells....?

    post-8427-0-17001800-1374077311_thumb.jp

    post-8427-0-07221600-1374077361_thumb.jp

    post-8427-0-76240400-1374077383_thumb.jp

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    GFS seems to be hinting at something elevated pushing N across W areas from Sunday night onwards. Could be some overnight lightning displays as that plume pushes steadily N.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

     

    Or indeed on August 20th? Posted Image Posted Image

    Rumbles reported!!!

     

    Sorry about that, is it teatime yet? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    looks like one of my old stomping grounds is getting a heavy downpour/thunderstorm now, over at RAF Odiham, Hants, nr Basingstoke, bright echoes on radar....around 40 or so miles to my east

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Boom - West of London!

     

    post-6667-0-66495100-1374078379_thumb.jp

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    Wow, superb, storms today...Gotta say , this inbound iberian low early next week should cause mayhem, it stalls west of brest, then sinks to spain, then comes back up to us again..plumecity...

    Posted Image not hear that kind of talk outside the '70's Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)

     

    What's the chance of Essex getting in on the action? Slim I reckon!

     

    Some very tall clouds going up north of me and wind has picked up noticeably. Can't see anything on radar yet though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

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    Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland (20m asl, near coast)
  • Weather Preferences: Any weather will do.
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland (20m asl, near coast)

    So long as we can get a Low/shortwave close to the UK (from W/SW) we'd surely have storms spark quite widely. Currently that's what I'm looking for, especially in respect to what Ireland can achieve from this.

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    Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants

    Afternoon, and nice to be back after about 12 months away. Can see TCU and a CB to the east; guess it's the cell on radar. Not heard thunder yet but still in work so will give an update in about 30 mins time.

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    Posted
  • Location: Micheldever, Hants - north of Winchester
  • Location: Micheldever, Hants - north of Winchester

    Earlier clouds south and west from me have cleared but 15 miles to the east looks like a storm getting going around Odiham

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.

    Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

    Paul,which way would the steering winds push these cells?

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    they'll be very slow moving, and looking at the 850 wind profiles they'll drift slightly WSW

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.

    Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

    Yep, latest radar has them drifting to the west of London.

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    Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants

    Rumble of thunder here ...5.40pm

    Yip, hearing rumbles in the centre of Basingstoke now as well.

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    Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.

    Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

    Looking on XCWeather there does seem to be some wind convergence to our N and NE.

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