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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 17th July 2013 onwards

Coast

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in Storms & Severe Weather

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Never a good time to start a new thread, the old one was creaking a bit though!

 

Please continue your convective storm chat, observations, opinions and forecasts here please!

 

Posted Image

 

Old 'fred' here:

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77030-convective-storm-risk-discussion-21st-june-2013-onwards

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Hopefully this is thread will be filled with observations of severe thunderstorms and photographs of amazing lightning strikes. Seems ages since the last good thundery outbreak but we may (i stress "may") just be on the cusp of something now. The heat has been building for over 2 weeks and if we can get that low to sit over Biscay it will draw in very hot, humid air with plenty of thunderstorms. Some of the charts are a throwback to the old style of summer, with big storms lasting all night long - lets hope it comes off this time.

Edited by Supacell
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UKSupercell Enthusiast

UKSupercell

Posted
  • Location: East Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Supercells n snow
  • Location: East Hants
Posted (edited)

Just snapped these on the Iphone4 in South Bucks looking east towards London - surely these are potential storm cells....?

post-8427-0-17001800-1374077311_thumb.jp

post-8427-0-07221600-1374077361_thumb.jp

post-8427-0-76240400-1374077383_thumb.jp

Edited by UKSupercell
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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

GFS seems to be hinting at something elevated pushing N across W areas from Sunday night onwards. Could be some overnight lightning displays as that plume pushes steadily N.

Edited by CreweCold
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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Looks like the Cap is at breaking point South and East of Reading, Lets see how these guys get on in the next hour or so!

 

Or indeed on August 20th? Posted Image Posted Image

Rumbles reported!!!

 

Sorry about that, is it teatime yet? 

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

looks like one of my old stomping grounds is getting a heavy downpour/thunderstorm now, over at RAF Odiham, Hants, nr Basingstoke, bright echoes on radar....around 40 or so miles to my east

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Boom - West of London!

 

post-6667-0-66495100-1374078379_thumb.jp

 

 

 

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Jax Veteran

Jax

Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
Posted

Wow, superb, storms today...Gotta say , this inbound iberian low early next week should cause mayhem, it stalls west of brest, then sinks to spain, then comes back up to us again..plumecity...

Posted Image not hear that kind of talk outside the '70's Posted Image

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poseidon Aficionado

poseidon

Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
Posted (edited)

 

What's the chance of Essex getting in on the action? Slim I reckon!

 

Some very tall clouds going up north of me and wind has picked up noticeably. Can't see anything on radar yet though.

Edited by poseidon
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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

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The watcher Contributor

The watcher

Posted
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland (20m asl, near coast)
  • Weather Preferences: Any weather will do.
  • Location: Bangor, Northern Ireland (20m asl, near coast)
Posted

So long as we can get a Low/shortwave close to the UK (from W/SW) we'd surely have storms spark quite widely. Currently that's what I'm looking for, especially in respect to what Ireland can achieve from this.

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Paul R Enthusiast

Paul R

Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
Posted

Afternoon, and nice to be back after about 12 months away. Can see TCU and a CB to the east; guess it's the cell on radar. Not heard thunder yet but still in work so will give an update in about 30 mins time.

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Moisty Newbie

Moisty

Posted
  • Location: Micheldever, Hants - north of Winchester
  • Location: Micheldever, Hants - north of Winchester
Posted

Earlier clouds south and west from me have cleared but 15 miles to the east looks like a storm getting going around Odiham

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted

Definite Clear Convergence Zone now showing on radar, straight line from West of London to West Norfolk, looking good!

Paul,which way would the steering winds push these cells?

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

they'll be very slow moving, and looking at the 850 wind profiles they'll drift slightly WSW

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

Yep, latest radar has them drifting to the west of London.

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Paul R Enthusiast

Paul R

Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
Posted

Rumble of thunder here ...5.40pm

Yip, hearing rumbles in the centre of Basingstoke now as well.

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DAVID SNOW Veteran

DAVID SNOW

Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
Posted

Looks at the moment to be Southwards or South South Westwards on radar, we really need the ones up near cambridge to push southwards towards the London area ideally.

Looking on XCWeather there does seem to be some wind convergence to our N and NE.

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