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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 23rd July 2013 onwards

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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tara303 Newbie

tara303

Posted
  • Location: Templeglantine, west County Limerick, Ireland
  • Location: Templeglantine, west County Limerick, Ireland
Posted

Wow, in the last 10 minutes or so the wind has suddenly really got up in here - West Ireland - all me chickens have gone in to roost and dogs are under the kitchen table....

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

It's the most interesting thing we've witnessed this week haha! Hence the pics! :-)

 

Too true lol. Got a feeling we'll see some heavy showers breaking out in an area Chester-Liverpool-Manchester this afternoon. I may be too far S.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Yeah, little cell just popped up at the mouth of the Dee Estuary on the Wirral.

 

Oh yes just seen that. Exactly where I thought things would initiate.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

That's good to hear and I agree. Which direction will cells be traveling in today?

I really like the look of tonight for here. We can do well often out of those set ups. A bit of CAPE around this afternoon as well.

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted (edited)

Looks like a nothingness day here today. Just wondering when the next big risk is for just a day of bog standard storms? Saturday seems to be slipping away already from what looked like a great opportunity for severe activity :(

Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
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nitro_deluxe Contributor

nitro_deluxe

Posted
Posted

Case of watching things develop further out west, Irish Sea etc - another night on radar patrol lol - see how the area of precip expands and intensifies before letting rip :)

May throw up a few surprises for some, wouldn't say severe storms, more likely flashes and rumbles possible in heavier bursts.

Good luck all.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

That's good to hear and I agree. Which direction will cells be traveling in today? 

 

Broadly West to East I think

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Oh dear, well nout's going to develop over the sea is it. That maybe me buggerd.

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Bobby Seasoned

Bobby

Posted
Posted (edited)

Tonight looks better on the 06z GFS and the 06z NMM

 

Decent levels of shear and vorticity and a jet streak

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

Some intense rain, looks to be mainly convective at first but then less so, so Cornwall/Devon, SW-S Wales probably most likely for something thundery

 

Posted ImagePosted Image

Edited by Bobby
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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

Tonight looks better on the 06z GFS and the 06z NMM

 

Decent levels of shear and vorticity and a jet streak

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

Some intense rain, looks to be mainly convective at first but then less so, so Cornwall/Devon, SW-S Wales probably most likely for something thundery

 

Posted ImagePosted Image

I'll take that after the disappointment we've had recently, and this will be the first rain since the 4th of July !
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Karl83 Community Regular

Karl83

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
Posted

Some really nice convection kicking off here at the moment!

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carl1980 Experienced

carl1980

Posted
  • Location: St Helens, Merseyside 46m asl
  • Location: St Helens, Merseyside 46m asl
Posted

Some really nice convection kicking off here at the moment!

. Same here clouds shooting up
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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Same here I think, masses of insolation, and very strong insoltion here as well. It also feels hotter and more thundery than it has all week ironicly.

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tsr Newbie

tsr

Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Anything dramatic!
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted (edited)

Updated warning's from the met-office.

 

Met Office: UK: severe weather warnings

 

Joy. Just when I won't be in Surrey.

 

At this range, I think these warnings will probably be fairly conservative, as is often the case. They do show they're taking the threat to actual, y'know, land (as opposed to just the Channel) quite seriously, though!

Edited by tsr
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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

Updated warning's from the met-office.

 

Met Office: UK: severe weather warnings

 

I'm literally out of that warning tomorrow by 2 miles

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Light rain started here.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Interesting warning their by the MO for tomorrow.

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

Nothing for the south west on the Met office warning page, a bit surprised by that.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

The situation here....

 

post-10987-0-31734400-1374667727_thumb.j

 

Looking SSW

Edited by CreweCold
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