South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th August 2013>

[Jax]

Despite the temperatures, it has felt thoroughly autumnal 

Really? it has felt far from it here today, very warm this afternoon.

[john pike]

heres something i have not done for a while

 

ukmo at 144

 

ecm

gfs

 

all different

 

do not go further than this as anything after is unreliable

 

i think we are looking at average temperatures maybe a shade above from the 20th

 

however i am not convinced on a long warm spell after ( hopefully i willl be wrong)

[Summer of 76]

John, you maybe correct as the met office six day onwards seems to have moved back slightly from the effects of high pressure spreading up the country today

[Snowangel-MK]

Just to make you all feel nice and cool

I'm reliably informed it maxed out at 39 deg c here today - I think I was unconscious under a parasol at the time -all I know is I had to drink my cocktails quick before the ice melted !

Hope everyone is ok :-)

[HammerJack]

Evening all. It's been a dull breezy and sticky day here today. As soon as I went out for my run tonight around 6.30, the clouds broke and had bright sunshine. Still have perfectly clear skies here now. I'm hoping for a cooler night, but after seeing the BBC weather forecast looks like another sticky one. Might have to kick Mrs LeighD into the spare room tonight, so I can have the windows open..... I know what the reply will be though 'sleep in the garden, if you want fresh air' ha. Good evening all...

[john pike]

John, you maybe correct as the met office six day onwards seems to have moved back slightly from the effects of high pressure spreading up the country today

 

hi chris

 

at present i am not sure after 144 so i am being cautious

 

got a feeling the jet may cause a problem but best option is follow the fax charts to see where it goes

 

i am away in brandon again on the 24th so i would like it to be nice

 

time will tell on this

Just to make you all feel nice and cool

I'm reliably informed it maxed out at 39 deg c here today - I think I was unconscious under a parasol at the time -all I know is I had to drink my cocktails quick before the ice melted !

Hope everyone is ok :-)

 

 

have a nice holiday

[HammerJack]

Just to make you all feel nice and coolI'm reliably informed it maxed out at 39 deg c here today - I think I was unconscious under a parasol at the time -all I know is I had to drink my cocktails quick before the ice melted ! Hope everyone is ok :-)

Sounds like your having a great time.... Enjoy, but drinking cocktails too quickly only ends in one thing 😵 well for me anyway 😄 Edited August 15, 2013 by LeighD

[Jan_Bromley]

Hi everybodies,

 

Well despite a lot of cloud it has been a very warm and humid day today. Seems to be cooling off comfortably now though

[john pike]

CET: (Aug 1-13): 17.1°C (+0.3 degC) E&W Rain: (Aug 1-13): 29.4mm ( 93 per cent) E&W Sun: (Aug 1-13): 84.4hr (101 per cent)   © Philip Eden (If you wish to use or copy these figures, please acknowl

 

http://www.climate-uk.com/

 

these surprised me

[Summer of 76]

Just to make you all feel nice and cool

I'm reliably informed it maxed out at 39 deg c here today - I think I was unconscious under a parasol at the time -all I know is I had to drink my cocktails quick before the ice melted !

Hope everyone is ok :-)

I can't compete with those temperatures here alhough after some early rain it has been a reasonable day.

 

Have a great holiday only another 16 days before the start of autumn

[john pike]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/144135.shtml?basin#contents

 

heres where the models get into confused mode

Edited August 15, 2013 by john pike

[stun12]

CET: (Aug 1-13): 17.1°C (+0.3 degC) E&W Rain: (Aug 1-13): 29.4mm ( 93 per cent) E&W Sun: (Aug 1-13): 84.4hr (101 per cent)   © Philip Eden (If you wish to use or copy these figures, please acknowl

 

http://www.climate-uk.com/

 

these surprised me

 

 

It was certainly a bit drier - at least here - than the 93% for the CET average, I would have thought. I'd also imagine that the mean temp was pulled down by some quite cool overnight lows - down to 8.5c the night before last here, and quite a few 10s and 11s in the first half of the month, such that the 24-25c highs were only generating a 16-17c average. Just guessing, mind...

[john pike]

It was certainly a bit drier - at least here - than the 93% for the CET average, I would have thought. I'd also imagine that the mean temp was pulled down by some quite cool overnight lows - down to 8.5c the night before last here, and quite a few 10s and 11s in the first half of the month, such that the 24-25c highs were only generating a 16-17c average. Just guessing, mind...

 

hi stun

 

your probably right

 

i thought it may have been slightly higher above than 0.3

 

suppose it shows how poor our previous summers have been

[Tamara]

Hi everybodies,

 

Well despite a lot of cloud it has been a very warm and humid day today. Seems to be cooling off comfortably now though

Hi Jan - Yes I was conscious of that as I sat under my shady eaves this evening

[Eskimo]

Would love an ex-hurricane to come batter our land, we need some new wood for a our log fire! 

[john pike]

fax charts for monday and tuesday

 

 

monday

 

a weak west to north west flow

 

dry and should be sunny

 

temps around 24-25

 

tuesday

 

a weak westerly flow

 

should stay dry although maybe a tad more cloud

 

temps around 24-25 again

 

watch the lows to our west and south west as they will confuse things

 

lets see what tomorrow brings

 

goodnight all

[stun12]

hi stun

 

your probably right

 

i thought it may have been slightly higher above than 0.3

 

suppose it shows how poor our previous summers have been

 

Is Philip's anomaly data year-on-year or against some average of CET? I think the CET data from the MetO which you can download seem to be an all time anomaly from a few centuries back....

 

Edit...night JP.

Edited August 15, 2013 by stun12

[john pike]

Is Philip's anomaly data year-on-year or against some average of CET? I think the CET data from the MetO which you can download seem to be an all time anomaly from a few centuries back....

 

Edit...night JP.

http://www.climate-uk.com/page5.html

 

goodnight mate

[Tamara]

Is Philip's anomaly data year-on-year or against some average of CET? I think the CET data from the MetO which you can download seem to be an all time anomaly from a few centuries back....

 

Edit...night JP.

Night stun boy

 

*cue Waltons theme tune*

Edited August 15, 2013 by Tamara Road

[john pike]

Night stun boy

 

*cue Waltons theme tune*

night tam girl

 

got to go now

 

nite nite

[Tamara]

night tam girl

 

got to go now

 

nite nite

 

Night John - and thanks for keeping the summaries going

[Bluebreezer54]

Morning all. Strewth this weather is doing nothing to lift my mood, slate grey skies and quite a breeze making it feel nothing like August. Suprisingly though it is very mild, and the overnight temperature didn't fall below 16.8c at Heathrow.

 

Have a good POETS day folks.

[Coast]

Morning all. Strewth this weather is doing nothing to lift my mood, slate grey skies and quite a breeze making it feel nothing like August. Suprisingly though it is very mild, and the overnight temperature didn't fall below 16.8c at Heathrow.

 

 

Morning Martin, morning all.

 

Grey sky here too but no rain so far, although that doesn't look like it will stay that way through the whole day:

 

 

At least it seems to be holding off down here until later this afternoon:

 

[snow raven]

Morning all,

Cloudy and crappy sums up this morning so far. On the plus side at least it's Friday!

[Coast]

A spot of thunder later this afternoon over the London area?

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77496-convective-storm-discussion-5th-august-onwards-2013/?p=2769238