South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/09/13 ------------>

[john pike]

As I always say, thanks for great updates JP. What's the weekend looking like? We have quite a few outdoor things planned. Cheers mate

 

hi leigh

 

at present looks ok

 

i will update the fax charts for the weekend when they come out

 

somewhere around 10

[Anvils in the Sky]

Lets hope it stays that way and happens mate. Knowing our luck in this regional thread, it will turn out as drizzle

Yep. The voice of bitter experience is ensuring I'm keeping my feet well and truly on the ground, when it comes to Thursday's possibilities.

[Iceni]

A very breezy but sunny day here. It's the first time I've needed a jumper for gardening. Got a bed weeded and worked hard, but still needed that jumper.

[john pike]

still waiting the fax charts

 

ecm shows this for the weekend

 

 

 

 

looks dry

 

but temps around 14-16 degrees

 

 

 

sunday

 

dry and temps around 16-18 degrees

 

cloudy and poss misty early

 

sunny spells later

 

 

will update the fax charts later if not too late

[john pike]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/203837.shtml?basin#contents

 

 

wheres tom

 

 

[Tom Jarvis]

Dam the weather forcast showed all the heavy and possibly thundery rain hitting the south east and missing us

[HammerJack]

I went out around 8pm for an hour or so, and the breeze was very previlent. Just popped outside a few minutes ago, and it's as still as anything. Fickle thing is this weather.... Goodnight

[Mark Neal.]

Wind has picked up through the evening. Possibility of some heavy thundery rain moving up from the south during early hours. Off to bed, night all.

[john pike]

got sunday but not saturday

 

 

sunday

 

looks dry

 

however i feel this may be cloudy as being slap bang in the middle of the high

 

temps around 18 degrees

 

update tomorrow

Edited October 1, 2013 by john pike

[Mark Neal.]

Rather damp start here, Heavy Rain overnight, but cloudy with patchy light rain at moment. On the mild side here in Oxford again this morning; 14.2c. 

[HammerJack]

Morning all. Been awake since 5.30 (yawn) because of the very heavy rain battering against the windows. Looks like it's clearing now, which is good for the school run 😄

Have a great day guys

[Paul Ashford]

Raining cats and dogs here.....

[ZONE 51]

Take a look at the lifted index charts for Thursday... I posted some just now in the convective thread, yellow and a splodge of orange for our regions... at midnight in Oct!!! check out the dew points and temps for night-time.

So what is possible is some summer type thundery action for us later tomorrow, changes of times can be but risk is a large window something like 12 - 15 hrs!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Thundery rain looks to miss us now! This is like I don't want to walk to work in or walk back in so Ims happy

[ZONE 51]

When?

You mean this mornings risk we had?

[Coast]

Raining cats and dogs here.....

 

Just water here, lots of water.....

 

[Coast]

Then there's tomorrow......

 

UK weather: Flooding fears as torrential rain is forecast

 

Met Office forecasts that as much as a third of the monthly average rainfall for October could hit the parts of England in a single day

 

Weather warnings have been issued as some areas face more than a week’s rainfall tomorrow. Storms are likely and drivers have been told to expect hour-long bursts that could cause flooding. Motorists have been warned to take extra care as downpours could lead to surface level road floods. The Met Office said. 50mm of rain could fall in just one day - a third of the monthly average.

 

A spokesman said: “We could see 20mm in one hour.  you consider we get 150mm in October on average, it’s quite a lot.†The South of England, Wales, the Midlands and North West could all be hit.  the Met Office said: “It should clear by 

 

 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-heavy-rain-forecast-2329119#ixzz2gXvX0AMs 

[Mesoscale]

Morning all, had a bit of rain over night, nothing prolonged or heavy though.Dull and misty right now. Lucky I get to sit in side all day stairing at a computer.

[Coast]

Animated version of the latest NMM shows the extent and intensity of the expected rain tomorrow for our region, not good if it pans out like this:

 

Edited October 2, 2013 by Coast

[snow raven]

Wet Wet Wet here - well, the rain has stopped, so I guess it's actually more damp, damp, damp!

 

Tomorrow if the projection Robin has posted above comes off may well cause problems for the region by the looks of it - we can't control the total rain amounts, so therefore, I hope there is a rumble or 50 of thunder to accompany it!

[Snowangel-MK]

Morning all,

Wet here also - good excuse to stay in bed for a bit longer though ..... Not that I need the weather as an excuse !

[Captain Shortwave]

Morning all

Not sunny here this morning 

[Lauren]

Was lovely to hear the heavy rain last night, very few sounds in life more relaxing than that.

 

I'm hoping the weather clears enough for my flight tomorrow morning, I hate taking off straight into cloud so you see nowt.

[Bogman]

Aunties weather forcast for tomorrow showed the rain not getting this far east tomorrow. Who knows?

[Reefseeker]

The grey continues here, unbroken into the distance with no view past the M40 and the air traffic control tower at Heathrow only partially visible as we drove past; no sign of the rain that some of you have experienced plentifully. 16 degrees on the car temperature gauge, up 3 degrees on yesterday morning. Hard to say much about it really as my last posts over the past few days have reported almost the same weather, over and over, repeatedly, again and again, day in day out, never changing.....

Edited October 2, 2013 by Reefseeker