South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 25/11/13

[Sussex Jules]

You do kinda wonder what would follow on from GFS 384 chart. Some very nice eye candy to see but yes I agree with you John looks less snowy on the pub run, still plenty of time for upgrades!

[john pike]

ramp 1

 

 

and this from the same run

 

[john pike]

2

 

 

 

3

 

[john pike]

4

 

 

[john pike]

6

 

not bad above

 

lets see what the ensembles show soon

[alexisj9]

gfs has gone nuts lol, hopefully this stays into reliable.

[john pike]

hi alexis

 

long way to go but starting to look promising

[john pike]

seen worse

 

 

 

[Flaked Queen]

Am still trying to work out what zonal means looked in main thread and that's all they are saying "zonal" please help a thick woman donations given to blonde moments . Org

[john pike]

hi snowy

 

zonal is atlantic weather from the west

 

in my eyes i cannot see that at present

 

 

hi bjaykent

 

sorry mate slightly lost count there

 

ok heres no.5 then

 

not perfect but would be interesting

 

 

[Flaked Queen]

Jp to the rescue ty:)

So zonal= cold westly ?

[john pike]

hi snowy

 

yep

[Flaked Queen]

hi snowy

 

yep

Brill ty jp night all

[Bluebreezer54]

Hi JP. Not so sure about cold westerlies to be honest, I always thought the Atlantic driven systems tend to deliver more in the way of wet and windy, but milder weather ? 

[john pike]

hi blue

 

snowy asked what zonal was

 

its normally weather driven in from the west or poss a south west

 

the mod thread that were talking about zonal was from a westerly

 

i think

 

although i must admit i have lost track of the mad thread recently

but you are correct as well

[Flaked Queen]

Hi JP. Not so sure about cold westerlies to be honest, I always thought the Atlantic driven systems tend to deliver more in the way of wet and windy, but milder weather ? 

And there was me just to go to sleep thinking I understood something

[john pike]

hi snowy the easiest way is this

 

westerly this time of year can be cool cold if it is sourced via a northerly area

 

south westerly would normally pick up warmth from being from a warmer direction

 

both would normally be wet though

 

although i cannot see any weather from either of them locations at present

 

sorry if confusing

Edited November 26, 2013 by john pike

[Flaked Queen]

hi snowy the easiest way is this

 

westerly this time of year can be cool cold if it is sourced via a northerly area

 

south westerly would normally pick up warmth from being from a warmer direction

 

both would normally be wet though

 

although i cannot see any weather from either of them locations at present

 

sorry if confusing

Ok I'm getting there and sorry if I'm causing u a headache lol so if they say zonal at this time of year is that a good sign for us ? Snow wise

Ty jp

[john pike]

hi snowy

 

its ok to ask

 

think i am brain dead with all them ramp charts

 

when zonal is mentioned it is normally bad for us in winter

 

would normally mix up with warmer air and cause rain

 

however in mid winter if we can get an undercut that can be really good

 

that is a low pressure coming in under a block and giving us a good dollop

 

best to look out for the word undercut as i like that word

 

some of the posts recently on the mad thread re zonal have confused me as

 

the charts showing at present have nothing like that in them.

 

stick in here snowy as although i ramp you will see me pick up trends via the ensembles

 

also when the fax get close they are normally more reliable than all the other runs

 

hope that helps

 

regards

 

john

[Flaked Queen]

Since joining (about a yr ago ) I have been a avid fan of urs jp . It's coast in the morning and urs at night that I look out for also tarmara sorry if missed anyone :/ I don't understand some of the charts if any tbh but what I do like is that you all put it in ways that us not as knoligable as yourselfs understand and ty for that and the time you all take sharing it with us

Kindest regards

Andrea .

[john pike]

hi andrea

 

thankyou

 

you will get there soon

 

its all complicated but once you learn the basics you will be doing your own forecasts

 

if you need any info either message here or pm me and i am sure i should be able to help

 

if not

 

i can always guess

[Flaked Queen]

One step at a time jp me forecasting ?? Will let u in on a secret I have quite a few blonde moments LOL

Once again ty for taking the time to answer am going to take in what you have taught me and prob dream of charts now night

[john pike]

night snowy

 

time for my bed as well

 

goodnight all

[Bluebreezer54]

Sorry folks. I didn't mean to throw a spanner in the works.

[john pike]

Hi bb

No worries

You was right as well

I should be asleep

Goodnight again