Sleet or snow

[smithyweather]

Ok. So thursday is coming, not really sure what to expect. I wish to achieve a PROFESSIONAL opinion.

Nae. (Which is accurate) has snow over me.

Uppers are -8c

Dam is 530

Dew point is -3c

950 temp is -1c

Gfs Says rain or sleet but sure. Surely with -8c uppers and negative dews the dam will not matter?

I wish to see some wet snow on thursday night; that is all this is concerning.

First chart is uppers

Second is 950

Third is rain snow

Fourth is dews

Fifth is dam

Edited December 3, 2013 by smithyweather

[Sussex Jules]

Look at what the met office is saying

[smithyweather]

Look at what the met office is saying

They are never right.It is weird, i dont think i have experienced high dam and low uppers like this before Edited December 3, 2013 by smithyweather

[Sussex Jules]

I take it you are basing this data on GFS? Within this sort of range I find them highly inaccurate and prefer to stick to Met O predications sure they can change but not usually by much within a few days. NAE can also give a guideline but in my own experience I have been under a bright pink blob and got rain exactly as Met O predicted. Although I tend to stick to their text forecast rather than specific town ones.

[smithyweather]

No I am using nae. I prefer to get an opinion rather than use their forecast because it looks very on edge.

Don't know what to expect tbh

[Sussex Jules]

Lol expect the worse which I take it from your point of view to equal rain, then you can't be disappointed! Just checked the latest text from Met O and they are talking about rain and gales on Thursday clearing to scattered showers so maybe the intensity won't be there to get the snow, if you know what I mean. Try not to get too disappointed there is a long way to go with Winter yet!

[cheshire snow]

Catch a plane to Manchester LOL 

 

We have an indoor ski centre called Chill Factor for 365 days a year the Temp is set at -5 and there is real snow falling 

in there everyday,not sure have they do it but all clever stuff I even had a snowball fight in there in July

 

C.S

[smithyweather]

Well it says snow tomorrow on the 300m forecast which is odd.

Tbh i'm expecting rain but a bit of wet snow if the showers are heavy late at night. It was actually looking good on the 0z we were to have 522dam and then it slowly edged away to 530dam. Sigh

[smithyweather]

Ok this is my forecast for friday.

Edited December 3, 2013 by smithyweather

[Sussex Jules]

Maybe it's the strength of the winds that have forced the heaviest precipitation away. The current concern seems to be the strength of the winds now rather than snow.

[smithyweather]

Just have to wait and see. Nobody wants to give an opinion. Hopefully next run pushes 528 back west.

[Sussex Jules]

Can't see much of a correction west at this stage but you never know.

[smithyweather]

It keeps going north and east every single run. Grr

Them scottish ones are getting all excited and we have just rain. Spoilt brats, dread to see their pics on friday.

Edited December 3, 2013 by smithyweather

[Sussex Jules]

It's ok they'll have their bbq's out next week!

[Nick L]

It keeps going north and east every single run. GrrThem scottish ones are getting all excited and we have just rain. Spoilt brats, dread to see their pics on friday.

 

There's no need for posts like this. The weather, the Met Office, forecasters in general etc. haven't got some vendetta against you. Drop the tone please.

Edited December 3, 2013 by Nick L

[J10]

The fact is Scotland on average gets more snow than the rest of the UK, I don't begrudge them any of it, after all if there is any left over this can send it down to us.

In reply to the Opening poster, given those "numbers", a wintry mix is more than possible, especially given those the upper temps and dew points, But without local knowledge it is difficult to be more detailed than that.

 

Unfortunately this thread needs to be closed, we can't have everyone asking if it will snow in their location, if we did there would be hundred of threads.

 

That is what regional threads are for.