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Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14


phil nw.

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Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

A brand new thread for the new season.

 

This is where to post any moans or to have a ramp about the model runs/charts or more general chat that would stray off topic in the Model Discussion thread.

 

As in all threads please keep content polite and friendly.

 

OK carry on when ready.

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Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

There is too much trust in the mid to longer range modelling, best to just take it one run at at a time, normally something good pops up in FI, cold and snowy weather will come because it's winter, patience grasshopper.

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Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

I am wishing the Euro high would build further north towards Scandinavia next week.

Maybe then with some help from a southerly jet we get some cold from the east.

It is frustrating to see the block currently expected to set up too far south.

I hope for some better charts for cold before too long.

Edited by phil nw.
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Posted
  • Location: High Wycombe
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold.
  • Location: High Wycombe

There is too much trust in the mid to longer range modelling, best to just take it one run at at a time, normally something good pops up in FI, cold and snowy weather will come because it's winter, patience grasshopper.

 

I predict a GEM of a GEM 12Z lol.

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Posted
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex

Models not looking to cleaver at the moment but we were in this situation a few weeks ago, where we thought we were trapped in a bad patch but it changed rapidly, this situation can and will change.

Ps just messaged exacta weather on there predictions and lets just say they didn't take well to it, I think I lost them when I described there winter forecast as drivel written by a 5 year old.

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Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

Sheeesh, so much negativity in here today.  I know the charts aren't pretty for us coldies to look at, but keep the faith (as Bon Jovi said), good things come to those who wait.  The GEM could be the only model heading in the right direction so before we get hung up on the next two weeks trends, lets wait a few more runs to see which model gives way.

Yeah just 11 weeks of winter to go, i'm sure the models will start showing wintry charts before Feb 28th.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds

Found this in the GEM suite..... what am i looking at lol..

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

Lovely! Shame it's in FI though. Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Swansea
  • Weather Preferences: snow, snow and more snow
  • Location: Swansea

i think i will hibernate until the charts start showing something remotely interesting and wintry.  could be a long wait ...and probably won't happen until late spring when its too late knowing our weather patterns.

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

Latest from Joe B...

 

"Winter mainly over continent of Europe next 2 weeks, but blocking developing means UK may have widespread white Christmas!

Great ill stock up on grit and strawsPosted Image Posted Image Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland
  • Location: Kildare, Ireland

Latest from Joe B...

 

"Winter mainly over continent of Europe next 2 weeks, but blocking developing means UK may have widespread white Christmas!

Emphasis on the word "may"

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Posted
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heatwave, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London

Does Joe B have his own secret model and knows something we don't or just a crystal ball? Lol

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Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent.
  • Location: Orpington Kent.

Latest from Joe B...

 

"Winter mainly over continent of Europe next 2 weeks, but blocking developing means UK may have widespread white Christmas!

Thats saved me a tenner ;)

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Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans

 

Latest from Joe B... "Winter mainly over continent of Europe next 2 weeks, but blocking developing means UK may have widespread white Christmas!

 i think thats a couple of days old. typical joe. things have moved a little bit east since he made that tweet.
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Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.

Latest from Joe B... "Winter mainly over continent of Europe next 2 weeks, but blocking developing means UK may have widespread white Christmas!

That tweet was posted on here a day or two back.More upto date data available now.
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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

Does Joe B have his own secret model and knows something we don't or just a crystal ball? Lol

App he watches"the day after tom"every day!!Anyway as tb said it looks like a case of sitting tight and waiting in the wings till something pops ups in the longer outlook"unless a slack continental feed floats your boat"ete.Dry and settled it is then Posted Image

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Well what a fantastic exciting first half of winter coming up. Really great ..........

I know its frustrating but try to be patient, who knows what will happen down the line.

Most of the best winters in the 70's and 80's only got going post christmas so things may look very different in a couple of weeks time,im hoping it wont look this poor anyway!!

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

I know its frustrating but try to be patient, who knows what will happen down the line.

Most of the best winters in the 70's and 80's only got going post christmas so things may look very different in a couple of weeks time,im hoping it wont look this poor anyway!!

Good advice there.On another note can you remember the last spell of northerlies in the uk?they seem to be getting as rare as easterlies in the mo.

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Posted
  • Location: Cheshire
  • Location: Cheshire

Well what a fantastic exciting first half of winter coming up. Really great ..........

At least look to be turning Zonal (yet....), that's about only straw to clutch at the moment.

Edited by SnowObsessor90
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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield

The weather is just stagnant atm and with the pv position and the euroish high its not looking like changing.dry and hopefully bright is the best we can expect imoPosted Image

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