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The GFS count-down to Christmas


Cloud 10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

What will the weather be like on Christmas day this year?

 

The GFS has churned out its first charts for the big day today at the extreme range of +384 hrs,so 

just for fun and taking the 12z chart at face value over the coming two weeks,we will see....Posted Image 

 

 

 

So then,the 12z gfs chart for christmas day at 384 hrs..

 

 

 

Nothing very festive about that chart!  A strong west/south westerly wind across the country

and pretty mild to go with it with some wet weather in the North-west.

 

Hopefully better tomorrow.Posted Image 

 

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

I wonder how many different charts you will complie in the 384 hours?

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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

What will the weather be like on Christmas day this year?

 

The GFS has churned out its first charts for the big day today at the extreme range of +384 hrs,so 

just for fun and taking the 12z chart at face value over the coming two weeks,we will see....Posted Image 

 

 

 

So then,the 12z gfs chart for christmas day at 384 hrs..

 

Posted Imagegfs-0-384.png

 

 

Bank Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

I wonder how many different charts you will complie in the 384 hours?

 

16.Posted Image 

 

Hopefully some of them won't be zonal!

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

16.Posted Image 

 

Hopefully some of them won't be zonal!

hows it looking?

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

What will the weather be like on Christmas day this year?

 

The GFS has churned out its first charts for the big day today at the extreme range of +384 hrs,so 

just for fun and taking the 12z chart at face value over the coming two weeks,we will see....Posted Image 

 

 

 

So then,the 12z gfs chart for christmas day at 384 hrs..

 

Posted Imagegfs-0-384.png

 

 

Nothing very festive about that chart!  A strong west/south westerly wind across the country

and pretty mild to go with it with some wet weather in the North-west.

 

Hopefully better tomorrow.Posted Image 

If you get a worse chart than that tomorrow I'm emigrating Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Todays 00z update from GFS

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

And for those of us heading to the boxing day sales, football matches or Horse racing a ridge of high pressure is shown to build

 

Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

GFS 06z has a north south split coldest in the north mildest in the south for Christmas day, no 180mph super winds though

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

From Matt Hugo on twitter

 

Latest EC32 highlights a general 'typical' +NAO pattern for Xmas Day with a SW'ly air flow over the UK

 

Posted Image

 

EC32 850mb temp anoms for Xmas Day currently look around avg. Might not tell the whole story, but not that 'warm'

 

Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Today's chart for christmas day from the 12z gfs,now at "only" 360 hrs.Posted Image 

 

 

 

A very similar theme to yesterday's although perhaps wetter with an active

front crossing the country.

 

Festive Fun Factor = 0/10

Edited by Cloud 10
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Posted
  • Location: Batley, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Heat and Snow
  • Location: Batley, West Yorkshire

Very windy, cold and unsettled on todays 12z

 

Posted ImagePosted Image

 

Certainly not mild! Posted Image

Edited by Barry95
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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Today's chart from the gfs 12z at T336 hrs...

 

 

 

A very unsettled christmas day with rain or showers in many areas

and gales in the north with no better than average temperatures.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 3.5/10 due to cooler temps and jet stream heading south.

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Today's update for Christmas day from the 12z gfs at T312 hrs.

 

 

 

Yet another very unsettled chart with wind and rain across many

parts of the UK,really quite stormy looking.

 

Festive Fun Factor = 2/10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Down to 288 hrs now....

 

 

 

Still a very unsettled Christmas day showing on today's 12z gfs,but much colder

with a strong westery wind across much of the UK with any showers likely to have 

a wintry flavour to them.

 

Festive Fun Factor = 8/10 Posted Image 

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Down to 264 hrs now,has anyone spotted a trend?Posted Image 

 

 

 

A very similar theme to previous charts with an unsettled and fairly cold christmas day.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 4/10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

T240 hours and counting....

 

 

 

 

Quite a difference in the chart for christmas day today from the 12z gfs,with high

pressure having more of an influence although still unsettled in the north,otherwise 

breezy with temperatures into double figures for many.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 0/10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Today's update now a 216 hrs...

 

 

 

 

Very much back to a cold and unsettled looking christmas day on today's chart,with 

the coldest weather over Scotland with lying snow likely here,although milder and wetter 

for Southern and South-Western areas as a LP moves in.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 7/10Posted Image 

 

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Only 8 days to go now...192 hrs...

 

 

 

 

The generally cold and unsettled theme for christmas day continues on this evening's

update,with gales also likely in the North-West of the UK.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 6.5/10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Only a week to go until the big day now...168hrs..

 

 

 

 

 

The theme is pretty much the same on today's update,with a chilly and unsettled christmas day

although actually quite a benign picture compared to the two days either side of it!

 

Should be able to give some more detail from tomorrow when we get to the 6 day range.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 4/10

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Posted
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl
  • Location: Catchgate, Durham,705ft asl

Down to day 6 now...144 hrs...

 

 

 

 

 

 

A cold and unsettled christmas day across much of the UK,especially so in parts of Scotland where a white christmas is a distinct possibilityPosted Image

 

Some potent showers around Southern and Western coasts also with some of these

perhaps containing hail and thunder.

 

 

Festive Fun Factor = 7.5/10

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