South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>

[AWD]

Looking at a few high res models quickly, there could be a localised band of thunderstorms during the early hours for Southernmost counties.

After this evenings rainband has passed through, look out for any squall like features, if your awake of course.

[AWD]

Further to my post above, this is what caught my eye;

Something similiar also similiar on the NMM too.

Severe flood warnings for the Cornish coast;

http://ow.ly/scUXB

Take action level, eeek!

Edited January 2, 2014 by AWD

[Mapantz]

You guys take it easy down there and don't be silly and go filming along the seafronts. Mapantz et al

I may pop down to Swanage on the 9:50am high tide, I can see that seafront & road being breached. Safety first of course, I've just repaired the punctures in my swift II dinghy. LOL

[Stormyking]

Had a couple of nice heavy hail showers this Afternoon, getting ready for the next wave of rain and winds to come in, I really dont dont how much more this Island can take!

[knocker]

Flood warnings

 

http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/142151.aspx

[Coast]

 

Typically:

 

 

http://warnings.severe-weather-centre.co.uk/southwestengland-index.html

[Coast]

SKYWARN UK SEVERE WEATHER WARNING #001

 

ISSUED: 1530UTC THURSDAY 2ND JANUARY 2014

 

SKYWARN UK HAS ISSUED A WARNING FOR SEVERE WEATHER AS FOLLOWS:

STRONG, POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS - WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SCOTLAND, NORTHERN IRELAND & IOM, NORTHERN ENGLAND, WALES,

 

HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO A RISK OF LOCALISED FLOODING - WESTERN SCOTLAND, NORTHWEST & SOUTHWEST ENGLAND, SOUTHEAST ENGLAND

 

IN EFFECT UNTIL 0900UTC SATURDAY 5TH JANUARY 2014

 

DEEP LOW PASSING CLOSE TO THE NORTHWEST, GENERATING SEVERE GALES AND DAMAGING GUSTS

 

DISCUSSION:

 

THERE IS GOOD MODE AND PARTNER AGENCY CONFIDENCE IN THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEVERE WEATHER RISKS THROUGH THE PERIOD. OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY, A SUB-950MB LOW APPROACHES IRELAND BRINGING 40-50MPH MEAN WINDS WITH GUSTS ABOVE 80MPH TO COASTAL NORTHERN IRELAND AND MUCH OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SCOTAND, ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN ISLES. DURING FRIDAY DAYTIME, THE UNSTABLE POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT MOVES ACROSS IRELAND AND THE REST OF THE MAINLAND BRINGING MEAN WINDS OF 40MPH AND GUSTS ABOVE 70MPH THOUGH MAINLY AROUND COASTS AND HIGH GROUND. GIVEN THE TIMING OF HIGH TIDES, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF COASTAL FLOODING DURING THE WARNING PERIOD FROM OVER-TOPPING WAVES.

 

GENERALLY AROUND 10-25MM OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD, AWAY FROM THE EAST, THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS MAY INCUR HIGHER AMOUNTS OWING TO OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT. MANY AREAS COULD SEE SOME FLASH FLOODING DEPENDENT ON RIVER AND GROUNDWATER LEVELS. DURING THE EARLY HOURS OF SATURDAY, A FURTHER WAVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE WAKE OF THIS LOW MAY DELIVER SOME HEAVY CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED BURSTS OF RAINFALL TO AREAS OF SOUTHERN ENGLAND, WHICH FURTHER ENHANCES THE FLOOD RISK. THIS WARNING MAY BE UPDATED. PLEASE MONITOR WEATHER AND TRAVEL INFO AS NECESSARY.

 

 

http://www.skywarn.org.uk/

 

[Erbyskerby]

Oh dear - those warnings are concerning. Hope folks in Wadebridge and possibly Padstow take heed. Will it ever stop?

[somersetsnow]

How much more can we have thrown at us!!!!!?????????

[Costa Del Fal]

Cornwall really looks like taking a battering. I know parts around Commercial Road in Penryn and possibly areas around the Princes of Wales Pier in Falmouth may particular see flooding issues.

[egret]

Ian Ferguson was not joking when he said (a week before Xmas if I remember right) tat we were about to experience noteworthy weather. Meto spot on!

Hope not too much damage - keep safe

[BARRY]

we got the sand bags out at the shop in kingsbridge can't do no more it's all in the lap of the gods now

[tinybill]

keep safe  don't do any thing stupid  in  the  storm  heading your  way

http://www.eyeballhq.tv/surfcheck/westward-ho/

should  be good  to watch  later

Edited January 2, 2014 by tinybill

[AWD]

It's raining here again!

[Nights King]

It's raining here again!

 

As above..

[Andy Bown]

I collated all my 2013 stats today and was reminded of not only how dry it was until late September but of how many people on Net Weather said they wanted rain. Well I hope those people are happy now we're in the midst of such an Atlantic onslaught.

 

There were bouts of wind and rain lasting 10 days to 2 weeks in October and November, but nothing to the extent we are now seeing and look set to continue experiencing! This current period started 3 weeks ago in which time I have recorded 239mm which is the wettest 3 weeks since I started recording rainfall in 2005!

[BARRY]

raining here to and the barometer is dropping like a stone, wind is now at gale force 8 gusting 9

[AWD]

A little bit of interest approaching for Saturday;

[Rammie]

At least it looks as though tonights rain will be short lived.

[tinybill]

Lands End to St Davids Head including the Bristol Channel

Strong winds are forecast

24 hour forecast: Wind South 6 to gale 8, veering southwest gale 8 to storm 10. Sea state Moderate or rough at first in east, otherwise rough or very rough, becoming high or very high later. Weather Rain then squally showers. Visibility Good, occasionally poor.

Outlook for the following 24 hours: Wind Southwest 7 to severe gale 9 decreasing 4 or 5, then increasing 6 or 7 later. Sea state Rough or very rough in east, otherwise high or very high becoming very rough later. Weather Rain or squally showers. Visibility Good, occasionally poor.     be  careful

[BARRY]

At least it looks as though tonights rain will be short lived.

 

It's not the rain which is the problem it's the wind

[RCT]

Worst I have seen it! Also others people stating that it's the highest they have ever seen it. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151905768641902&set=a.10150681563521902.398430.7404691901&type=1&theater

[Rammie]

Yes. I am aware of that. :-)

It's not the rain which is the problem it's the wind

[legritter]

rain here not so hvy so far ,but gusty last hour ,expecting some hvy downpours tomorrow ,take care out there tonight ,  hvy rain now hitting windows .

[Nights King]

A little bit of interest approaching for Saturday;

image.jpg

 

Might be white on top of Exmoor then..

 

Lets hope it upgrades.