South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/02/14

[Iceni]

Hi - well - being an Northeast Coast American, I have grown up figuring out when it is reasonable to travel, and, not with relation to weather. I watch the weather like a hawk when it is stormy, and, yeah, I am obsessed. Here with the nature of the train services in the UK, that is almost always a good idea if one does not want to be stuck. Post-Christmas, I wanted to wait a day or so for travel but was outvoted by my ever-optimistic family and we spent 16.5 hours on a train, being dumped repeatedly en-route along the way to catch another (full) train. I certainly think a bit of weather watching is prudent if plans can be shifted one way or another.  Hence the question put here to those who are super good at weather stuff (and very helpful)  - timing can make a difference between a good journey and a diabolical one.

 

 

Hi Susie - noticed your post and can say that NetWeather enabled me to pick the ONE decent long w/e for a Devon/Cornwall trip during one of the most dismal summers on record - think it was 2008, might have been 2009. This was about 3 weeks in advance as well as we had to organise a friend to house sit for us (the cats).

 

So you're in the right place for UK weather — there's lots of it. We must be the only place where you can experience 4 seasons in one day.

 

My husband was most impressed and now he's getting into weather (meteorology) too (although his 'thing' is hurricanes). Btw, could you let me know if there's a similar site for NW USA/Canada? I'm thinking of moving.

 

PS One tiny gripe... could Paul buy a bit more server space? When things get ansty or busy like when there's a storm or big weather event, this site slows up — takes just a bit too long to load the next page.

Edited February 7, 2014 by Iceni

[tinybill]

nasty  looking showers  heading  my  way  one  of  our rivers  burst its  banks  and  is in danger  of  flooding villages after  over  2 inches of  rain  last night

[Keraunic]

Just been out to the local shop and it is eerily quiet and still out there but quite nippy.

Southernman isn't online at the moment but he asked me to say that he has today bought a weather station, usb enabled, for the garden, it was half price at Maplins, for £49, might help someone, no good asking me about as I'm not very technical, but he says he'll come on here later tonight and say about it if anyone is interested. The idea was to have it working in time for these storms but I don't think it will be, still it can check how much rain falls next week instead.

I've been looking at weather stations on Amazon today. Saw a nice, inexpensive one with some very good reviews. Anyway, it's under £20.

[Iceni]

Just been out to the local shop and it is eerily quiet and still out there but quite nippy.

I've been looking at weather stations on Amazon today. Saw a nice, inexpensive one with some very good reviews. Anyway, it's under £20.

 

But do they hook up to a computer so you can read and record them on file? Husband says the cheapo ones are only for going outside and looking at. Is he right or wrong?

[Captain Shortwave]

That's the best I've got.

I call it a ramp for fleas  

[Iceni]

Our little barometer says the pressure is dropping like a stone, I tapped it a few minutes ago and it had fallen by 8 mb in 10 minutes now at 987.

 

Here we go!

Edited February 7, 2014 by Iceni

[JennyJane1]

 

 

That's the best I've got.

I call it a ramp for fleas  

They showed the flooding at Saffron Walden on the news, if you've not seen it.

[tinybill]

well not for people who  have got flood  problems

[HammerJack]

Hi Guys. Well that's my first full week at my new company over and done with. It's hard being the new boys, after being at my last company for 13 years. Anyway, they are a nice friendly bunch and the job has great prospects.

Just been catching up on this, and the last thread and a lot seems to of happened. Some good, some bad. I just want to add my best wishes to some of the posters on here who are having it hard of late....

Onto the weather, and it cold, clear and dry here at the moment..... Was meant to be going to our friends tomorrow night, to have dinner, and use some unused fireworks for a display for the children. Looking at the forecast, it's a safe bet to say that (the latter) won't be happening.....

Edited February 7, 2014 by LeighD

[Keraunic]

Aye......here she is.

[Snowangel-MK]

Just seen this on Facebook ...

Taken in Aylesbury earlier today !

And this one in Buckingham .....

[rubble79]

Evening all.

 

Hope everyone has had a nice week - despite the continued awful weather!

 

I'm due to travel tomorrow to Manchester. What time are we looking at this weather hitting? Is it the early hours of the morning? are the winds likely to be worse than the other day? it didn't seem that bad here other than a bit gusty from time to time. Thanks

 

Happy Friday!

[Captain Shortwave]

They showed the flooding at Saffron Walden on the news, if you've not seen it.

Darn missed it, will have to watch on iplayer later

Edit ah that's Thaxted road, that was the road I was told was flooded this morning.

Edited February 7, 2014 by Captain shortwave

[john pike]

 

theres the bugger

 

will do the fax charts soon

 

but taking a while to work out

 

while here heres gfs ensembles

 

 

still got that drop on the 17th onwards

 

but spread on the 12th so fi is there

 

can ignore gfs 12z run from 18th

 

seems to have gone ott there

 

ecm 00 ensembles

 

 

spread on the 12th there as well

 

ukmo for the 12th

 

 

13th

 

 

models struggling with the lows shown there

 

maybe small signs of more southerly tracking lows??

 

more runs needed of course

 

anyway back soon

[abruzzi spur]

800,000 year old footprints discovered on the Norfolk Coast, apparently wandering rather aimlessly. I love this link back to ancient times but they were probably looking for somewhere out of the gale to put up the windbreak....

 

I think I must have misread Yamkin's post earlier, and as a result have been awaiting a load of fat middle aged blokes racing by in inappropriate sports cars.  Surely that can be the only explanation for 100mph guts?

 

AS

Edited February 7, 2014 by abruzzi spur

[HammerJack]

Hi JP - what's your take on tomorrow's storm?Cheers fella

800,000 year old footprints discovered on the Norfolk Coast, apparently wandering rather aimlessly. I love this link back to ancient times but they were probably looking for somewhere out of the gale to put up the windbreak.... I think I must have miisread Yamkin's post earlier, and as a result have been awaiting a load of fat middle aged blokes racing by in inappropriate sports cars.  Surely that can be the only explanation for 100mph guts? AS

Really hope all went well today mate. And your mum is okay. ATB

[abruzzi spur]

Hi JP - what's your take on tomorrow's storm?Cheers fellaReally hope all went well today mate. And your mum is okay. ATB

Hi Leigh, you've quoted me but I suspect you meant to refer back to someone else about their Mum?

[Keraunic]

But do they hook up to a computer so you can read and record them on file? Husband says the cheapo ones are only for going outside and looking at. Is he right or wrong?

Yes, Iceni...I think he's right. The one I was looking at is just for outside. Don't think it hooks up to a computer. I'll have a gander at those and see what they cost.

[Eskimo]

A realistic look at what to expect here ...

image.jpg

Why, thank you!

[Snowangel-MK]

Why, thank you!

I was waiting for you to post it Paul ..... You need to get your skates on mate :-)

[john pike]

tonight

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/

 

winds start light south westerly

 

will turn to turn stronger just around midnight

 

will get stronger as the isobars tighten overnight to 40-50 mph most areas

 

50-60 mph coastal and rural locations not shielded from the wind

 

rainfall

 

heavy rain moving in from midnight onwards

 

but some showers around ahead of the main rainband now

 

some very heavy downpours especially south of the thames

 

still raining as we get to rush hour

 

temps

 

cool first

 

warmer when rain arrives

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

 

 

winds strong and gusty

 

south westerly

 

50 mph poss higher gusts the norm

 

60mph poss higher coastal and rural

 

rain

 

 

 

 

showers some heavy being driven in through the day on the very strong wind

 

there will also be a fair amount of dryer spells too

 

temps

 

 

 

 

500 temps

 

 

 

temps around 6-8 degrees

 

however in any heavy showers temps could really drop very quick

 

i can see hail and poss the odd clap of thunder too

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

this is where i see the strongest winds

 

isobars very tight now

 

so 50-60 mph generally

 

60-80 mph coastal and rural areas

 

rainfall

 

 

some clear spots and showers rattling through overnight

 

more general persistant rain incoming early morning poss early morning wintry bits but will not lay if it does and would only be patchy in the heavy bits

 

should clear before the following lunchtime

 

temps

 

 

500 s

 

not too cold unless you see some clear spots

 

unlikely you will see that as the rain will be hear at daybreak

 

around 6 degrees but if out will feel raw

 

winds should ease down around 4 ish in the morning

 

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[john pike]

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

sunday

 

winds a more westerly and cold direction

 

will be breezy but not strong

 

rainfall

 

 

actually looks mainly dry

 

however there is a slim chance of some patchy wintry showers around

 

temps

 

 

500 s

 

cold around 5-6 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

sunday night

 

 

a weak north westerly flow

 

rainfall

 

barring the odd shower it looks mainly dry

 

temps

 

500s

 

 

if we avoid mist and cloud a frost is likely

 

will be a local thing though

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday

 

 

a weak west to north west and cold flow

 

trough over us and under 528 dam air

 

rainfall

 

some around in the afternoon and may be heavy for a time

 

temps

 

 

500s

 

 

to my eyes this has a rain to snow event showing here

 

temps 5-7 degrees

 

but dropping as we go through the day and certainly in any heavy showers

 

 

thats it from me until later

 

 

john

[Sidsnake]

Right that's it.... I'm having my say.... Appalling scenes down in Somerset... What a bloody shambles that the future King of England gets down there wading about before the Environment Secretary. Whilst not a Ukip supporter I must agree with Mr Farage that money currently earmarked for foreign aid must go to people affected by this terrible weather. Truly upsetting seeing that Farmer on Breakfast Time having to get rid of her cattle, her business and life's work is now gone forever. Tonight on BBC News I saw a woman's life shattered by one phone call telling her the floods were now in her home.

For the good of the country I now feel it necessary that all the MP's set aside any political differences and work together to help these people get back on their feet. We cannot control Mother Nature but let's see some of that Dunkirk Spirit come from Government as MPs from all sides come together to alleviate the suffering that is going on in these flooded areas.

Sorry if I've gone off topic but as the week goes on things get worse and worse....

[john pike]

that post was so big i couldnt fit it on 1 page

[fluid dynamic]

Great , detailed forecast JP. Thanks

Now glued to ice road truckers