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South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 01/03/14


Angelici Magiovinium
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Posted
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and hot summers
  • Location: Wallington/ Croydon

    Mk

    But will we see the snow like we did last year end of march/April ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)

    The spring has sprung the grass has riz

    I wonders where the birdies iz

    The birds are on the wing I heard

    Should not the wings be on the bird

    post-17085-0-62467800-1393699786_thumb.j

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    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

    Mk

    But will we see the snow like we did last year end of march/April ?

     

    in this region ?   I very much doubt it Posted Image

     

    ....and really would you want to now - I've got to the point of no return with winter and will happily move on to warmer and drier stuff  - thoughts of BBQ's and days out in the sunshine are filling my head Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex

    Yeah I'm thinking the same now - I walked out into the conservatory earlier in the glorious sunshine completely forgetting it's like 5'C outside and was annoyed I couldn't go sit in the sun with a beer.

     

    You watch though, I'll still be lamppost watching within 3 seconds of hearing there's a chance of seeing a flake of snow!

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    Posted
  • Location: gone for now
  • Weather Preferences: any weather
  • Location: gone for now

    So I win? I stated we'd get no lying snow for our region and it has come true.

    I am now a weather God.

    I will now enter the mod thread and announce my new found powers.

    I will allow a small group of members to touch my hem

    Edited by legrandefromage
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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    hi all

     

    hope you had a good day

     

    computer issues seem resolved so will do

     

    my updates in a little while

     

    back later

     

    john

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    do tonight for now

     

    easy one

     

    Posted Image

    a weak variable flow

     

    no rain

     

    temps

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    a cold night with frost quite widely felt

     

    fog and mist possible coastal and some rural regions

     

    a chance of some localised ice patches

     

    back soon with tomorrow

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Mk

    But will we see the snow like we did last year end of march/April ?

     

    If we do Daz, It really will not matter.To be honest I cant see it happening, Prime time past long ago,Any event now Would be a one day wonder.Based on current output....Time to move on and enjoy that lovely HP coming in...Dry out time and long may it continue,Well until  November this year. My post on twits stated this tonight.....Winter 2013/14, Don't brag..You were a non starter..As for a finisher well you need to start first. Hope you enjoyed your USA trip.

     

     

    Current flood risk.

     

    http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/31618.aspx

    Posted Image

    Edited by Jason T
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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Blimey we are in a pattern that's before Christ (BC) 

     

    0 BC - 350 AD
    " Roman expansion & domination "
    ~200 BC: Beginning of a notable upturn in temperature levels. A steady recovery (after the cooler late Iron Age) from now, right through the 'Roman-British' period, only petering out somewhere around 350 AD. Mean temperature levels based on 'middle' England would peak at around, or a shade below those of the 'Climatic Optimum' of the Early Middle Ages & precipitation amounts overall were declining - though adequate. The climate would become generally 'benign' by the time of early years of the 1st Century AD, and eventually villas became bigger and built on hillier sites in areas we would not normally construct 'high status' buildings (at least until very recent times). Southern Britain in particular self-sufficient in wine (a staple of Romano-British life, not a luxury), and there is evidence of export of same, implying very good conditions for growth / ripening.
    However, there are records (principally from the Roman occupation period), of 'severe / snowy' winters. This is a warning to us nowadays not to assume that a 'warmer' climate necessarily means we will not have 'severe' winters. Sea levels thought to have risen between 1 and 2 metres compared with before and after. 
    120 - 114 BC (but see body of this note re: dating): Either a 'great' storm, or a series of storms in the North Sea basin. Sea floods, which affected the coastlines of Denmark, the Netherlands & Germany - if so, these storms must also have affected the east coast of Britain. These events are supposedly consistent with the change in temperature regime, as it implies alteration and/or intensification of jet-stream patterns etc., which often accompany major changes of climatic type - but read on . . . . . In many texts, the so-called "Cymbrian (or Kymbrian) flood" of the coasts around the German Bight is reputed to be responsible for setting off a migration of Celtic tribes. [23] (This is quoted by Lamb with the date range given at the head of this paragraph; but there's something odd here: the source is the Greek writer Strabo (living in what was at the time part of the Roman Empire), who lived ~63/64BC to 24AD, who in turn was quoting earlier writers (also Greek). In particular, Strabo comments upon the writings of Clitarchus (or Cleitarchus), who tells the tale of horsemen not being able to outrun an incoming (?flood?) tide and who is credited with living in the 'last quarter of the third century BC', or before 300BC. This means that this so-called 'flood' must have been some two or more centuries before the date given here! The idea of a single flood event setting off a wholesale migration is also difficult to comprehend - more likely a series of damaging floods / storm events, in the area that we now know as the Dutch polder-lands. This timing [ i.e. latter part of the fourth century BC ] would also tie in well with the suspected downturn in climate fortunes, with increased storminess across NW Europe and general cooling

     

     ~2200BC  'Major VOLCANIC eruption'. (possibly in/around Iceland, disrupting the North Atlantic and/or Arctic circulations). 
    Bitterly COLD winters & indifferent, occasionally poor summers.

     

    http://www.booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/histclimat.htm

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    Posted
  • Location: gone for now
  • Weather Preferences: any weather
  • Location: gone for now

    I, yes, I am the new weather God, bow down unto me!

     

    I will bring in a Spring that has never Sprung before!

     

    Daffodils in abundance! Primroses to make you weep!

     

    Weather so balmy it will bring a tear to a potatoes eye!

     

    Follow me weather citizens!

     

    <runs off down the corridor in nowt but a stolen bath sheet - nobody follows, nobody is that stupid...>

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    tomorrow

     

    Posted Image

    a more noticeable but not too strong south west wind

     

    rainfall

     

    Posted Image

    tomorrow morning looks dry

     

    early morning mist fogg bits clearing quickly leaving a nice chilly but bright morning

     

    by lunchtime

     

    Posted Image

     

    looks likely we will see light drizzly cloudy conditions moving in

     

    around 5pm expect  rain to move in

     

    Posted Image

    some heavier bursts likely late in the evening

     

    temps

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    will reach around 8-10 degrees

     

    but will cool down later when the rain arrives

     

    tomorrow night looks wet

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    not too cold when the rain is here

     

    will actually get colder as we head towards monday morning rush hour when the rain clears

     

    be back a little later with more

     

    johnPosted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    14. If the history of Earth were compressed to a single year, modern humans would appear on December 31st at about 11:00pm.

     

    Posted Image

     

    http://www.distractify.com/geek/trivial-facts/12-astonishing-facts-that-will-warp-your-perception-of-timeforever/

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    Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)

    I've just watched The Storms That Stole Christmas. They mentioned some 'effect' which causes the Jet Stream to move faster when something moves west to East instead of East to West. I didn't quite catch what that 'effect' was.

    Anyone know, please?

    It's blooming cold here and sky very clear.

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    tomorrow's weather system. It will move SE towards us bringing rain, high winds, large waves and tidal surge

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Brecon Beacons, South Wales
  • Location: Brecon Beacons, South Wales

    I've just watched The Storms That Stole Christmas. They mentioned some 'effect' which causes the Jet Stream to move faster when something moves west to East instead of East to West. I didn't quite catch what that 'effect' was.Anyone know, please?It's blooming cold here and sky very clear.

    Not sure, but it might be Rossby waves.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)

    Not sure, but it might be Rossby waves.

    Ah, thanks, CR. I just looked that up and it mentioned a guy called 'Arvid'. That was it....The Arvid Effect. :) I knew it had been named after someone. Edited by Keraunophile
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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    I've just watched The Storms That Stole Christmas. They mentioned some 'effect' which causes the Jet Stream to move faster when something moves west to East instead of East to West. I didn't quite catch what that 'effect' was.Anyone know, please?It's blooming cold here and sky very clear.

    I'd have thought the extreme temperature contrast over N America would've played some part! Think it was something crazy with 10c uppers South of Montreal, and then just 100 miles North was -25!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Brecon Beacons, South Wales
  • Location: Brecon Beacons, South Wales

    I'd have thought the extreme temperature contrast over N America would've played some part! Think it was something crazy with 10c uppers South of Montreal, and then just 100 miles North was -25!!

     

    Exactly.

     

    http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~dib2/climate/midlatitude.html

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    monday

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    very wet

     

    very blustery

     

    poss storms

     

    hail

     

    cold when heavy showers are here

     

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------

     

    monday night

     

    Posted Image

    a real variable flow

     

    rain

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    getting cold

     

    rain

     

    sleet

     

    wet snow

     

    take your pick of the above

     

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     

    tuesday

     

    Posted Image

    a weak westerly flow

     

    rain

     

    Posted Image

    looks dry

     

    temps

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

     

    looks a chilly one

     

    around 6-7 degrees

     

    may cloud over later in the afternoon

     

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     

    wednesday

     

    Posted Image

    some very weak showery bits early and late

     

    a weak westerly flow

     

    looks mainly dry though

     

    temps

    Posted Image

     

     

    around 10 degrees

     

    cold overnight with risk of fog increasing

     

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     

    thursday

     

    Posted Image

     

    a weak west to north west flow

     

    looks mainly dry

     

    temps

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    about 7-9 degrees

     

    feeling a lot cooler than of late

     

    sunny intervals likely

     

    and again another pretty cold evening

     

    ukmo at 144

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

     

    dry breezy and feeling cold

     

    mainly sunny but low cloud likely sout coastal regions

     

    seen worse Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    london ecm ensembles

     

    Posted Image

    temps still cool

     

    warms up around 8th-10th

     

    but dont expect too warm

     

    around 10-12 degrees

     

    wind

     

    Posted Image

     

    breezy but nothing ott

     

    gfs customary high wind in fi

     

    rain

     

    Posted Image

     

    some rain tomorrow night

     

    then a lot dryer Posted Image

     

    gfs from the 9th can be ignored for now

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    Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham

    Morning peeps, had some rain bout 30 mins ago but cleared up now. Enjoy your Sunday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Good morning everyone. Damp and drizzly outside, A whopping 4c and overcast.Nice to see much needed improvement in the output for warmer and dryer weather to follow later on next week.

     

    Posted Image

     

     

    Going to try and spoil you all with some pics again later. Have a lovely Sunday.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dartford Kent
  • Location: Dartford Kent

    Morning all,, looks a nice, clear and sunny morning here in dirty Dartford. Today's the day of the great Leeds Castle wedding fair, just wonder how much this visit is going to cost me :-). The loving couple came round to visit us yesterday, and my cunning plan of suggesting a midweek wedding, was considered at least for 10 seconds before being rejected, it would have saved so much money. Her indoors told me not to be such a tight so and so, oh well, I'm sure it must be a common site to see father of the bride crying at these sort of events, mind you I'm the farther of the groom, I wonder if you can throw yourself of the parapet into the mote :-). Oh and it appear she the future bride, has changed her mind and fancies the main castle for the wedding, and reception. Help.......

    At least it seems it might be a nice day to find out you are going to be bankrupt. In all seriousness they are a lovely couple and they deserve a good wedding day, they like all youngsters struggled to get their foot on the property ladder, and he's trying so hard to make a go of his oven cleaning business. I'm led to believe its always been her dream to have a fairy tale wedding, well that's hope that we can make her dreams come true.

    Have a great day, shame I won't.

    Edited by Charltonkerry
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    Posted
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)
  • Location: Stevenage - Herts (110m ASL)

    Aww CK, I am sure you are the perfect Fairy Godfather. :)  I hope the day goes well for you today.

     

    Currently 6.3c here this morning which is quite warm compared to of late.  It's been raining at some point as my windows are wet.

     

    Today we are going out for Sunday lunch today, so looking forward to no washing up afterwards. :)

     

    Have a good day everyone.

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