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Posted
  • Location: The Netherlands
  • Location: The Netherlands
Posted (edited)

After a lull of about 20 days, a new subtropical depression has developed to the north of Puerto Rico. The system consists of a well-defined curved band to the north of the system, but convection is limited to non-existent over and to the south and east of the center. 

 

vis0-lalo.gif

Visible satellite image of 07L

 

STD 07L is forecast to move northward and intensify into a weak tropical storm, before getting abosorbed into a frontal system.

 

Source:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/

Edited by Vorticity0123
  • Like 1
  • Replies 7
  • Created
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Posted (edited)

Sustained winds up to 70mph now, and no longer subtropical. I'm starting to wonder if it might make hurricane status before getting absorbed into a cold front. While vertical shear is still high, SST's are quite warm so we might get lucky and see a weak Category 1 from Fay.

Edited by Sainsbo
Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

I'm wondering that too Sainsbo. It may npt be a pretty hurricane if it does make it, or a conventional looking one, but then neither were Bertha or Cristobal. Only a 5kt increase in wind is needed so it's possible.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

Fay has remained in a steady state over the last 24hrs. Winds remain at 60kts. An imminent rise in shear is expected, which should cause some weakening before it becomes absorbed by a front.

Posted
  • Location: The Netherlands
  • Location: The Netherlands
Posted (edited)

Even though it is only for the statistics, Fay has reached hurricane strength. it has to be noted that the "cloud pattern" (if one can call it a pattern) is loosely organized at best. With this upgrade, Fay is really invigorating the streak of ugly Atlantic hurricanes this season  :wink: .

 

vis-animated.gif

Visible satellite loop of Fay

 

Source:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters.html

Edited by Vorticity0123
  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

Indeed, so much ugliness this season! Wonder if Gonzalo will be different?

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

In 24hrs, brutal levels of shear have reduced Fay from a hurricane to an open trough. Fay has been racing eastwards today as it became involved with a cold front. Regeneration is not expected.

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