atlantic Major Hurricane Gonzalo

[Allseasons-Si]

a band of rotating supercells heading wnw towards the island just ahead of the eye wall   

Have you any ID/info on that BS.

[Boro Snow]

reed timmer posted this on twitter

 

 

 

Edited October 17, 2014 by Boro Snow

[Allseasons-Si]

reed timmer posted this on twitter

 

 

 

Ah!!,right,thanks BS.

 

he's a storm chaser isn't he?

[Boro Snow]

Ah!!,right,thanks BS.

 

he's a storm chaser isn't he?

he is mate yeah on tvn

 

serious weather now on the web cam, i hope everybody is in a safe place 

Edited October 17, 2014 by Boro Snow

[Allseasons-Si]

he is mate yeah on tvn

I watch that very often in the storm season.

Edited October 17, 2014 by Allseasons-si

[Boro Snow]

I watch that very often in the storm season.

i always do aswell midweek was great viewing in the southern states

 

front eye wall within 80km now of the island

Edited October 17, 2014 by Boro Snow

[Allseasons-Si]

i always do aswell midweek was great viewing in the southern states

last may (2013)was intense with the el reno f5,my thoughts go out to that chaser that died.

 

back to speedy gonzales lol

 

when does it reach Bermuda

Edited October 17, 2014 by Allseasons-si

[Boro Snow]

last may (2013)was intense with the el reno f5,my thoughts go out to that chaser that died.

 

back to gonzarlis

 

when does it reach Bermuda,it's getting dark.

i would say within the next 2 hours looking at the radar

 

http://www.weather.bm/radarLarge.asp

Edited October 17, 2014 by Boro Snow

[Allseasons-Si]

i would say within the next 2 hours looking at the radar

 

http://www.weather.bm/radarLarge.asp

Cheers mate,i have a few hours spare

[AderynCoch]

The eye should be passing over the island soon.

 

Will be interesting to see calmness briefly take over.

[Allseasons-Si]

The eye should be passing over the island soon.

 

Will be interesting to see calmness briefly take over.

Yeah,and the winds go the opposite direction.

 

i see we are all waiting for this mast to fall,shame on you all

 

no,not funny

 

can we view the harbor now please.

Edited October 17, 2014 by Allseasons-si

[AderynCoch]

I might be wrong, but I think this is where the webcam is on Google Maps (turn to the left and you'll see the mast and cannons):

 

https://www.google.co.uk/maps/@32.3288854,-64.8320047,3a,75y,74.85h,86.19t/data=!3m5!1e1!3m3!1sLJi8vv-u1BUAAAQYLF8Nog!2e0!3e11

 

This is on the NW tip of the island facing east, so it should be getting the worst of the winds right now.

[Allseasons-Si]

The mast has no leaves or branches so it should still stand,hopefully.

[Thunder Snow]

Just watching the latest look for the weather for the week ahead and if the remains of this hurricane stay to the north of the jet we could be in for some action

[Allseasons-Si]

What's with the flashing lights!

[AderynCoch]

Uh-oh, technical difficulties...

[Allseasons-Si]

Uh-oh, technical difficulties...

Back on now

[summer blizzard]

Looks like landfall round about now.

[Allseasons-Si]

Something has broke on the mast,not quiet sure what though,mast still standing.for now.

[AderynCoch]

Looks like the webcam is in the eye now. The winds have died down and the harbour is pretty calm.

[AderynCoch]

Pretty much dead now.

[AderynCoch]

Picking up again. Those birds/insects/whatever they are are in for a nasty surprise.

Edited October 18, 2014 by AderynCoch

[summer blizzard]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
800 PM AST FRI OCT 17 2014

...BERMUDA IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LARGE EYE OF DANGEROUS
HURRICANE GONZALO...
...DAMAGING WINDS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE EXPECTED
AGAIN AFTER THE EYE PASSES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 64.9W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

PEOPLE SHOULD NOT VENTURE OUT INTO THE CALM PERIOD OF THE EYE SINCE
STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL RETURN QUICKLY AFTER THE EYE PASSES
TO THE NORTH OF BERMUDA IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE
GONZALO WAS LOCATED BY THE BERMUDA RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A CONTINUED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE EYE OF GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
BERMUDA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GONZALO IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST
AFTER GONZALO MOVES PAST BERMUDA TONIGHT. FASTER WEAKENING IS
FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY ONCE GONZALO MOVES OVER COOL WATERS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 98 MPH...158 KM/H AND A GUST TO
134 MPH...215 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION
SITE AT COMMISSIONER'S POINT BERMUDA.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 90 MPH...
145 KM/H AND A GUST TO 130 MPH...209 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT
AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION SITE AT ST. DAVIDS BERMUDA NEAR THE AIRPORT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM AN
AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR ON BERMUDA IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME ON BERMUDA IN AN
HOUR OR TWO AFTER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL PASSES NORTH
OF THE ISLAND. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON
THE WINDWARD SIDES OF HILLY TERRAIN ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT
STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE...AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS CAN BE
EVEN GREATER.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN BERMUDA. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.

RAINFALL...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND BERMUDA. SWELLS WILL
SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS
WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[summer blizzard]

 

Quiet for now. Apparently the museum has stellar winds again.

[summer blizzard]

Still sounds a bit windy on cam now.

 

Looks like Bermuda got the worst of it. Unlike some systems whereby stations are in the wrong position or land interaction prevents readings matching official intensity estimates, Gonzalo did indeed provide confirmed readings of 110mph sustained and 145mph gusts. The south eyewall turned out to be worse than the north which is unusual however it also appears that like Katrina 05, the prior eyewall replacement cycles gave this storm extra venom with in effect a double eyewall structure due to the lingering vorticies.

 

http://www.southalabama.edu/publicrelations/pressreleases/2007pr/blackwellresearchpaper.pdf

 

http://www.southalabama.edu/publicrelations/pressreleases/2007pr/factsheet.pdf

 

Best hurricane to watch for me since the 04/05 seasons. Plenty more between now and then but rarely strong hits on a place with accurate observations, webcams and no mountains to screw the wind field.