Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen
IGNORED

NOAA Winter outlook


knocker
 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 9
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

    Another warm winter likely for western U.S., South may see colder weather

     

    Repeat of last year’s extremely cold, snowy winter east of Rockies unlikely

     

    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20141016_winteroutlook.html

    does that mean we should expect a similar winter to last year?
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Exile from Argyll
  • Location: Exile from Argyll

    Another warm winter likely for western U.S., South may see colder weather

     

    Repeat of last year’s extremely cold, snowy winter east of Rockies unlikely

     

    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20141016_winteroutlook.html

     

    I'm not surprised by that; all the north American long rangers have some very positive anomalies for the winter quarter.

     

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/tmp2m_Seas2.html

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL

    From a link on the same page:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html

    How did they do with last year's forecast?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    From a link on the same page:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html

    How did they do with last year's forecast?

     

    I don't remember but they didn't predict the winter extremes. Judah Cohen gets a mention here.

     

    http://bigstory.ap.org/article/e7eb065f775943a6a1b0a1b5c2ac6c38/feds-dont-expect-winter-be-polar-vortex-redux

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Exile from Argyll
  • Location: Exile from Argyll

    From a link on the same page:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html

    How did they do with last year's forecast?

     

    I haven't got a copy of the written forecast but the MME speaks for itself! Only NASA was in any way close.

     

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/archive/2013100800/current/tmp2m_Seas2.html

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks.81 absl

    They forecast the southern U.S

    to be wetter than average!

    Southern tracking jet?

    Also the nw and ne warmer than average hlb?

    Edited by joggs
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow

    does that mean we should expect a similar winter to last year?

    I wouldn't have thought so if the NOAA forecast is anything close to being right, and it is easier to correctly forecast USA winter than UK.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)

    I wouldn't have thought so if the NOAA forecast is anything close to being right, and it is easier to correctly forecast USA winter than UK.

    is it?

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    is it?

     

    Easier to give a general forecast for big places in general by saying west-high pressure, east-low pressure. Within that though it's much more difficult to forecast the extreme west (i.e. Washington state) or a central state.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...