Southwest and Central Southern England - Weather Chat

[Mark Neal.]

Lovely clear skies here at moment, 10c and a light NE Breeze. Rather pleasant. 

[MidnightSnow]

It's been lovely all morning, sunshine and a chilly 9.5c

Really hope to see some ground frost soon, it's been too long!

[Andy Bown]

This is more like it! A gentle ESE breeze and almost unbroken sunshine after low cloud gradually cleared through the morning, after a fresh start it's a pleasant 12.0c at present.

[gottolovethisweather]

It's been lovely all morning, sunshine and a chilly 9.5c

Really hope to see some ground frost soon, it's been too long!

 

Welcome to netweather MidnightSnow. I am your friendly regional host and should not be brave enough (like many others during this time of year) to enter the boiling cauldron, I will copy my latest thoughts from said thread below.

 

This was in response to one of our more seasoned contributors, John Holmes.

 

Thanks John, intriguing as this is taken from my post from three days ago and summarised the BBC News 10-day forecast which is presented on each evening, in that the weather presenter suggested either of the following scenarios were likely (see below).

For those wanting to know what might happen in our small patch of the globe in some six to seven days (FI probably as close as t+96 right now I'd suggest) tonight's 10-dayer from the Beeb hinted at two scenarios for next weekend.

 

• Firstly scenario one was where the omnipresent trough remained positioned a few hundred miles due West of Ireland with a blocking Euro HP cell over central parts of Europe. End result near average Temps and some largely dry conditions around for a few.

 

• Second scenario offered up at t+168 hours plus was a trough positioned due SW of the UK, more like over the Bay of Biscay area and the HP blocking due North of the UK between Greenland and Iceland - End result a potential Northeasterly flow from Scandinavia, yes please!

Should John's analyses be near the mark, we might well see a NH pattern resolution falling between the two in a few days time. I also hear what Old Met Man is saying in his thoughts longer term too, same general idea as me.

So somewhere in between is where we should reside as we head into the next seven to ten days then. The 6-15 day outlook from UKMO yesterday, also upgraded the coldies hopes slightly too, with a view to looking East much later in the month. Granted, the far SW will probably get effected by some further nuisance rain and towards the far NW they could see hill snow, much later into la la land. One constant theme remains though, stubborn block to our East transferring slowly NE and a stubborn trough close to Western parts, in time drifting towards Southwestern Europe perhaps. All of this is shown in conjunction with a far from rampant Jet and a relaxed PV which is under pressure for now. This could certainly lead to a fascinating pattern in a week or so's time for sure.

Edited November 18, 2014 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

This is more like it! A gentle ESE breeze and almost unbroken sunshine after low cloud gradually cleared through the morning, after a fresh start it's a pleasant 12.0c at present.

 

Blimey Andy, clear and sunny here rather joyously too. However, in my well sheltered location, the Temp is hovering around 8.4c now, so quite nippy in fact.

[MidnightSnow]

Thank you gottolovethisweather. Let's hope for the second scenario

I've been a lurker for a while now and finally decided to sign up. I just have a feeling it's going to get interesting soon. :cold:

[Zephyr]

Crazy mild at the moment have Cornflowers and Ammi flowering! 

Thank you gottolovethisweather. Let's hope for the second scenario

I've been a lurker for a while now and finally decided to sign up. I just have a feeling it's going to get interesting soon. :cold:

 

Welcome to the forum MidnightSnow! Love the name!

[Gibby]

Overcast but dry this morning at 7.6C currently. Full data here:-

 

http://www.norton-ra...o.uk/index.html

[ARTDEMOLE]

Broken Cloud. Weak sunny periods ..10.1c. Dry. No rainfall yesterday.

[Dorsetbred]

Thank you gottolovethisweather. Let's hope for the second scenario

I've been a lurker for a while now and finally decided to sign up. I just have a feeling it's going to get interesting soon. :cold:

Welcome to NW, and in particular to the folks out south & west.

We would never see you around here, as they turn the street lights off @11:30, oh well , welcome  & enjoy....

[Mark Neal.]

Lovely afternoon here in the shire, unbroken sunshine with some high level cloud to the East.

[knocker]

Clearance here around 1300. Hardly any cloud, temp 12.5C and wind NW 12mph. we are just peaking out on the 1245 Modid. Courtesy Dundee satellite.

 

[Mapantz]

Not a bad day, mostly cloudy but some sunny spells at times. Temp peaked at 13.4°C

Here's a couple of vids I took while fishing at Durlston in Swanage. Although it was calm on Saturday, a swell stopped us from getting down to the rocks to fish, we had to retreat to the higher ledges.

[MP-R]

Has come over rather dark in the last two hours (besides the sun getting lower) and have had rain for the last hour. In fact I wasn't expecting the rain to be so dynamic this afternoon; it's been pretty intense for the last ten minutes and it looks like a core of torrential rain heading up the Bristol Channel at present.

[ARTDEMOLE]

Maxed out at 11.4c At 13:41..... Only a few spots of rain.. 9.9c...

[egret]

Not a bad day, mostly cloudy but some sunny spells at times. Temp peaked at 13.4°C

Here's a couple of vids I took while fishing at Durlston in Swanage. Although it was calm on Saturday, a swell stopped us from getting down to the rocks to fish, we had to retreat to the higher ledges.

Most disappointing - I thought this would have been a video showing 8 pounders being landed in the surf! Did you get anything?

[somersetsnow]

Hate this time of the Year, waiting for the Weather to 'sort it's self out'.......come on!!!!.......  I would love some Snow  next Month.......Just a bit....Pleeease!!

[Dorsetbred]

Cant add anything at the moment \s my outdoor sensor has thrown it's life in the bin, and decided to reduce it's transmission range to about 10ft (tried reset & new batteries at both ends).

Hope to back next week.

Meanwhile a drop of rain overnight  has left damp surfaces this morning, with a cool 9C.

[Gibby]

Not a bad start to the day here and despite the prospect of days of cloudy weather forecast for much of this week we have had a reasonable amount of sunshine at times and this morning despite a generally cloudy forecast loks brighter than expected. Currently 6.9C (the minimum all night). Full Data here:-

 

http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/index.html

[Mapantz]

Morning. Mainly cloudy again, currently 10°C on the nose.

[Andy Bown]

Not a bad start to the day here and despite the prospect of days of cloudy weather forecast for much of this week we have had a reasonable amount of sunshine at times and this morning despite a generally cloudy forecast loks brighter than expected. Currently 6.9C (the minimum all night). Full Data here:-

 

http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/index.html

I totally concur Gibby, it has been a stunning morning to be out working under almost clear blue skies with a very balmy feel to the air. In fact it's only clouding over now.

[ARTDEMOLE]

Was a good dry day again today, Overcast now with some mist on the hills.  8.8c. 

[MP-R]

A very usable day despite being cloudy and dull for most of it,bar a few interludes of brightness early afternoon. Felt chilly and quite seasonal despite a maximum of 9C.

[ARTDEMOLE]

LIGHT RAIN FALLING.. Humidity  92%rh.   temperature 6.5c.

[Gibby]

A grey and overcast start with some light rain falling. Currently feeling chilly at 6.9C. Full data here:-

 

http://www.norton-radstockweather.co.uk/index.html