Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen
IGNORED

December 2014 CET forecasts (start of 2014/15 contest year)


Roger J Smith
 Share

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    CET averages and extremes

    12.9 ... warmest daily mean, 12th 1994

    8.1 ... warmest Decembers 1834 and 1974
    7.7 ... third warmest 1852

     

    6.3 ... Dec 2013

    5.1 ... average for 1971-2000

    4.8 ... Dec 2012
    4.7 ... average for 1961-90
    4.6 ... average for 1981-2010, also 1901-2000
    4.5 ... average for 2001-2013
    4.1 ... average for 1659-2013
    4.0 ... average for 1801-1900
    3.9 ... average for 1701-1800
    3.4 ... average for 1659-1700

    -0.5 ... third coldest 1676
    -0.7 ... second coldest 2010
    -0.8 ... coldest December 1890

    -10.8 ... lowest daily mean 25th 1796

    _______________________________________________

     

    Enter your forecast for Dec 2014 in this thread.

    Edited by Roger J Smith
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

    CET averages and extremes

    12.9 ... warmest daily mean, 12th 1994

    8.1 ... warmest Decembers 1834 and 1974

    7.7 ... third warmest 1852

    6.3 ... Dec 2013

    5.1 ... average for 1971-2000

    4.8 ... Dec 2012

    4.7 ... average for 1961-90

    4.6 ... average for 1981-2010, also 1901-2000

    4.5 ... average for 2001-2013

    4.1 ... average for 1659-2013

    4.0 ... average for 1801-1900

    3.9 ... average for 1701-1800

    3.4 ... average for 1659-1700

    -0.5 ... third coldest 1676

    -0.7 ... second coldest 2010

    -0.8 ... coldest December 1890

    -10.8 ... lowest daily mean 25th 1796

    _______________________________________________

    Enter your forecast for Dec 2014 in this thread.

    There is one number missing on that list: 5.9C

    Mentioned this before in past December CETs threads but there has never been a 5.9C CET for that month.

    I wonder if this is the nearest value to a long term average that has never been recorded?

    Think about it, two 8.1Cs have been recorded for December which is at least 3.0C above the December long term average and yet a value between 1C and 2C above the long term average has never been recorded. Against, the 1971-2000 average, it is only 0.8C above. A strange stats quirk,

    Edited by Weather-history
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

     Rest in pieces 2014!  8.5C :(

    Edited by IHaveNoTrueFriendsNow!
    • Like 8
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Winter=Gloomy Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: Winter=Gloomy Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

    4.5 please.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

    5.2C :)

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    3.3C :)

    Increasingly becoming colder albeit drier as we near the mid part of the month. White Christmas this year wouldn't discount? With the warming projected in the stratosphere, volatile output.

    post-19153-0-08507100-1416662377_thumb.j

    Edited by Daniel*
    • Like 4
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    5.5C

    My winter forecast went wet with temperatures near or slightly above average. Expect deep Atlantic troughing regularly encroaching on the UK.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

    I'm thinking 3.6C

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Coatbridge, North Lanarkshire (this lockdown) Freuchie, Fife (normally)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Coatbridge, North Lanarkshire (this lockdown) Freuchie, Fife (normally)

    4.2C - a month of 2 halves...

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    6c for me

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts

    There's only a sample of six years going back to 1700 to choose from in winters where both the August CET was below 15C and the November was above 8C.

    I'll go for the average December those years have produced being 3.6C

    • Like 3
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: halifax 125m
  • Weather Preferences: extremes the unusual and interesting facts
  • Location: halifax 125m

    Am going average at 4.2 deg.

     1981 coldest here at -1 deg beating 2010 at -0.7deg

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

    3.9 for me please

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I think I'll hold fire in the hope that, this time next week, there's a clearer indication of how things'll pan out. The now, it all looks as clear as mud!

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now
     Share

    • August thunderstorms bring the risk of flooding and disruption

      Any rain should be welcome looking at the parched ground but intense downpours aren't enough. Thunderstorms bring the risk of flash flooding as the rain hits the hard, dry ground. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2022-08-16 06:11:14 Valid: 16/08/2022 0600 - 17/08/2022 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - TUES 16TH AUG 2022 Click here for the full forecast

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2022-08-15 07:58:06 Valid: 15/08/2022 0600 - 16/08/2022 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - MON 15TH AUGUST 2022 Click here for the full forecast

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather 1
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...