Possible storm/wind event - 9th December onwards

[BurntFishTrousers]

Wild evening here more inland. Worse to follow later.

[Jan]

Gusts may reach 50mph along the coast, generally in the 40s inland, but not as bad as it will be further north.

Thanks Nick, I suppose 40+ is bad enough

[vladthemert]

According to the local weather station, Monkspath Weather Station, the top gust so far today here has been around 14.5 mph. Solihull has got a lot of work to do if it's wants to take the No. 1 spot in the top 10 'Top Gusts' chart (which seems extremely unlikely). 

 

monkspath wind speed & weater info.jpg

 

25 mph with gusts 39 mph here veranda rattling doubt sleep tonight.  Feel for those up in Scotland way and worst areas.  I think XCweather wind forecast is under estimated the winds.  Was only expected 30 mph gusts and 50 mph later in the week.

 

Just noticed dropped 25 hpa in six hours

Edited December 9, 2014 by vladthemert

[shetland islands]

Pretty wild up here now too.some of the outer islands are going to have an exceptional 36 hours.

[picog]

Pretty wild up here now too.some of the outer islands are going to have an exceptional 36 hours.

Good luck you exposed peeps!

Are you expecting powerouts in this storm or is it less predictable than that? The waves look pretty big already.

[Zenarcher]

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=current;type=maxw

 

Latest Top Wind Speeds

 

1. 62mph Great Dun Fell 2

2. 59mph Cairn Gorm Summit

3. 53mph Aberdaron

4, 45mph Cairnwell

5. 44mph Aonach Mor

6. 43mph South Uist

7. 43mph Mumbles Head

8. 43mph Bealach Na Ba

9. 39mph Capel Curig Saws

10. 38mph Prestwick Rnas

 

Top Gusts

 

1. 99mph Cairn Gorm Summit

2. 73mph Great Dun Fell 2

3. 73mph Aonach Mor

4. 66mph Aberdaron

5. 66mph Capel Curig Saws

6. 64mph Killowen

7. 63mph Aboyne

8. 63mph Glen Ogle

9. 63mph Cairnwell

10. 62mph South Uist

 

[The PIT]

Gusting into lower 40's here. Still got a bizarre wind warning for Friday with winds gusting to 40 mph on the local forecast.

[Spikecollie]

I've just driven back from near Burnley, getting very gusty out there and really buffeting the car in places. Parked up to do some shopping in Keighley and it was dry when I went into the supermarket - the car park was near flooded when I came out...very bizarre!

[Ross Andrew Hemphill]

Been constant gales here all day along with heavy rain too, got absolutely soaked walking to school, albeit a five minute walk. The rest of the working week is looking very interesting. Hope all those in the Islands stay safe along with everyone else on the mainland. Hope this is a memorable storm for all the right reasons.

[Nick F]

Thought I'd do a run down of events for the rest of the week in here. Sorry not able to post any charts for now.

 

A disturbed pattern is unfolding for the rest of this week, starting with an intense depression moving east between Iceland and Scotland over the next 24-36hrs, the centre between 945 and 950mb passing close to the Faeroe Islands Wednesday morning.

 

The depression is at its most intense phase this afternoon, but will slowly fill over the next 24-36hrs , as the jet strong westerly 180mph+ jet streak moves away to the south across the UK. However, it will still be a very deep depression as it passes to the north of the UK and with the Azores high pushing quite far north too, a tight pressure gradient will exist. Not only will there be a risk of severe gales from the Midlands and North Wales north from now until Thursday or storm force winds around western and northern coasts of Scotland – there will also be unusually high waves along Atlantic coasts of Scotland, with wave heights in excess of 15 metres (50ft) possible from now until late tomorrow. To put this into perspective, the average 2 storey house is around 8m high. Already we’ve see waves/surge breaching coastal defences across western Scotland.

 

We’ve seen strong wind gusts of 60-70mph today across northern areas along or near the cold front surging ahead of this deep low and sliding SE across northern Britain this afternoon. Winds will further strengthen overnight and through Wednesday as the pressure gradient tighten across northern UK as the low passes to the north. We could see wind gusts of 80mph+ in exposed parts of northern and western Scotland along with the north coast of N Ireland, 60-70mph widely across Scotland, NW England, N. Ireland and N Wales.

 

A cold front bringing a band of rain and gales, currently passing down across southern Scotland and EIRE, will clear the south coast of England Wednesday morning followed by an increasingly cold and showery polar maritime flow. These showers have set in this afternoon across Scotland and will spread further south across northern England, N Ireland, north Wales and north Midlands. Showers will fall as snow increasingly to lower levels by the end of the night across Scotland, settling above 150m and perhaps temporarily at lower levels. Further south, snow mainly confined to the hills. Some of the showers maybe accompanied by hail and thunder. These wintry showers continuing on Wednesday across Scotland, Northern Ireland, northern England, north and west Wales, snow settling to lower levels across northern Scotland, but to the south mostly over the hills. Some significant accumulations likely across higher ground. Temperatures on Wednesday struggling to around 4-6C across Scotland, N Ireland and northern England, 7-9C further south. The wind chill making it feel a lot colder though.

 

The wintry showers continuing through Thursday over the same areas, with snow settling over the hills and to lower levels across northern Scotland. Cloud and rain spreading across England and Wales as a warm front / stratiform cloud spreads in from the Atlantic. A more active wave and associated frontal system pushes in from the Atlantic early Friday, spreading heavier and more persistent rain in from the west across EIRE, N Ireland, England, Wales and southern Scotland. Potential for snow on the northern flank of the rain area of this system though some differences from model guidance to  where this may occur. 12z GFS has snow on northern flank across N Ireland/EIRE. North Wales, northern/central England. 00z ECMWF and UKMet were pushing rain a lot further north across Scotland, with only southern Scotland likely to see snow.

Edited December 9, 2014 by Nick F

[shetland islands]

Good luck you exposed peeps!

Are you expecting powerouts in this storm or is it less predictable than that? The waves look pretty big already.

Shetland is very exposed and we don't have anything to break the wind in the form of many buildings or trees, so the winds can cause power cuts. The worst thing for us is that our connections to the mainland can be lost for a few days, which can cause disruption and a lack of food in the shops. Edited December 9, 2014 by shetland islands

[texel]

big thanks to whoever provided the link for the Shetland webcams, had it on all day full screen with the music whacked up.

thanks again what a brilliant site!

[Cookie]

do they close it when to bad ??...

 

Yeah was closed for a few hours 

[Polar Maritime]

Me to Texel 

[shetland islands]

Me to Texel 

The Sumburgh cams are good. There for the puffins during the summer. Expect the airport to close tomorrow.

[Polar Maritime]

Yes Shet, Although a little dark atm.. Will be interesting to view tomorrow. In the meantime the music will do nicely.

[texel]

Fantastic stuff and logged in my all-time favourites.

as gunna crack open a bottle with this music lol.

[Rustynailer]

The long period waves shook and are shaking Iceland currently. The length of the period X height of the wave= what equivalent in tons TNT or Atom bomb megatons anybody?

 

The reason I ask is, just look at the borehole strain meters in Iceland, eg:-   Not surprised we lost 10 meters of some cliffs extensively at/on/in the Isle of Wight in the last winter storms.....

Edited December 9, 2014 by Rustynailer

[Boro Snow]

I agree i am watching those web cams will be good viewing tomorrow, first gust over 30mph here at 31mph

[Polar Maritime]

Had a gust touching 43mph a short while ago here.

[texel]

got a 38mph here but I can hear the wind roaring higher up.

[Zenarcher]

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=current;type=maxw

 

Latest Max Wind Speeds

 

1. 56mph Great Dun Fell 2

2. 54mph Cairn Gorm Summit

3. 45mph Cairnwell

4. 44mph Aonach Mor

5. 42mph South Uist

6. 40mph Malin Head

7. 40mph Mumbles Head

8. 40mph Capel Curig Saws

9. 39mph Aberdaron

10. 37mph Lake Vyrnwy Saws

 

Latest Top Gusts

 

1. 83mph Cairn Gorm Summit

2. 72mph Cairnwell

3. 70mph Aonach Mor

4. 66mph South Uist

5. 64mph Aberdaron

6. 64mph Great Dun Fell 2

7. 59mph Lake Vyrnwy Saws

8. 58mph Glen Ogle

9. 58mph Tiree

10. 57mph Malin Head

 

Satellite image taken today you can see the large area of low pressure just to the South East of Greenland,

 

Edited December 9, 2014 by weathermaster

[TonyH]

Nothing much down here today as expected, max gust 37mph.

[ChezWeather]

Fairly gusty here now, radar looking nice, line to the west heading this way 

[TonyH]

25 mph with gusts 39 mph here veranda rattling doubt sleep tonight.  Feel for those up in Scotland way and worst areas.  I think XCweather wind forecast is under estimated the winds.  Was only expected 30 mph gusts and 50 mph later in the week.

 

Just noticed dropped 25 hpa in six hours

Are you sure? Only 15mbar in 18 hours here, steadied this evening.

Edited December 9, 2014 by TonyH