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Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Poll: July 2015


reef

Poll: Arctic Sea Ice Extent Minimum Poll 2015  

10 members have voted

  1. 1. What will the NSIDC daily sea ice extent minimum be in 2015 (in millions km2)

    • Greater than 7.0
      0
    • 6.8 to 7.0 (80s average)
      0
    • 6.6 to 6.8
      0
    • 6.4 to 6.6 (90s average)
      0
    • 6.2 to 6.4
      0
    • 6.0 to 6.2
      0
    • 5.8 to 6.0
      0
    • 5.6 to 5.8
      0
    • 5.4 to 5.6 (2000s average)
      0
    • 5.2 to 5.4
      0
    • 5.0 to 5.2 (2013)
      2
    • 4.8 to 5.0 (2014)
      0
    • 4.6 to 4.8
      0
    • 4.4 to 4.6 (2010s average so far)
      2
    • 4.2 to 4.4
      1
    • 4.0 to 4.2 (2007)
      0
    • 3.8 to 4.0
      1
    • 3.6 to 3.8
      0
    • 3.4 to 3.6
      1
    • 3.2 to 3.4 (2012)
      1
    • 3.0 to 3.2
      0
    • 2.8 to 3.0
      1
    • 2.6 to 2.8
      0
    • 2.4 to 2.6
      0
    • Less than 2.4
      1


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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

From BFTV in other thread: 

 

We're at the end of June and things are looking mixed in the Arctic.

 

After a large May melt phase, including about 3 weeks up to the first week of June as the lowest extent on record, declines began to slow just as previous years declines accelerated. This means we've gone from lowest on record to about 6th or 7th lowest over the last 3 weeks or so, and we're now about 600k above 2012.

 

PIOMAS volume is still down around 6th lowest up to the end of May, while the DMI's new volume measures have us closer to the bottom 3 on record.

 

At the moment it appears all to play for, but if we don't see a serious acceleration in the melt rate this month, the chances of a bottom 3 finish will be very slim.

 

Below are the September daily lows up to 2014

KTt6NbV.png

 

As always, votes are set to private

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Thanks very much, reef.

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

I predict the Minimum Of Arctic Ice this year will be less then 2.km.  The bad news from the Arctic never ends these days.  So much for the cooling North Atlantic.

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Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

I predict the Minimum Of Arctic Ice this year will be less then 2.km.  The bad news from the Arctic never ends these days.  So much for the cooling North Atlantic.

 

If the Arctic goes less then 2km this year , I walk down any high street you choose in a dress singing 'I've got a lovely bunch of coconuts'

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