July 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts

[Roger J Smith]

CET averages and extremes

 

25.2 ... 29th, 1948, warmest daily mean

19.7 ... 2006 (warmest July)

19.5 ... 1983 (2nd warmest)

18.8 ... 1783 (3rd warmest)

18.7 ... 1976, 1852 (tied 4th warmest)

18.6 ... 1995 (6th warmest)

18.3 ... 2013 mean (tied 9th warmest)

17.7 ... 2014 mean (tied 31st warmest)

16.7 ... average for 1981-2010 and 2001-2015

16.6 ... average for 1986-2015

16.5 ... average for 1971-2000

16.1 ... average for 1961-1990, also for 1901-2000 and 1701-1800

16.0 ... average for all years 1659-2015

15.9 ... 2015 mean

15.8 ... average for 1801-1900

15.6 ... average for 1659-1700

15.5 ... 2012 mean

14.0 ... 1965 CET (tied 11th coldest)

13.6 ... 1879 (4th coldest)

13.5 ... 1695,1802 (tied 2nd coldest)

13.4 ... 1816 (coldest July)

8.7 ... 20th (1836) coldest daily mean

____________________________________________________________________________________________

 

Enter your July forecast by end of the day Thursday 30th June without penalty,

or during the first three days of July with increasing time penalties.

Edited June 19, 2016 by Roger J Smith

[SteveB]

17.2c please

[simshady]

16.4 please.

[summer blizzard]

Pencil me in for 17.7C. A wet month but a warm one due to minima.

[Mapantz]

17.1°C

Thank you please.

[LetItSnow!]

I shall go for 15.3C. 

[Relativistic]

Let's go for 14.7C.

[geoffw]

17.7 please 

[DR(S)NO]

Yawn, nothing to see here , I'm afraid.. A thoroughly average 16.5 c please

[sundog]

16.9c for me please.

[Summer Sun]

17.0c please

[Weather26]

16.8C please

[Lettucing Gutted]

La Nina is gonna screw us over 1949 style from now on after El Nino has finally ended...  22C    Last sub 14C July in 1922.  Last sub 15C July in 1988.  Last sub 15.5C July in 2011.

Edited June 22, 2016 by Lettucing Gutted

[Dancerwithwings]

16.7c cheers.

[JeffC]

16.6 for me please.

[damianslaw]

Very few predictions - must be the summer slumber.. Not expecting a particularly cool or warm month,a near average 16.4 degrees, with a marked NW-SE divide, different to how June has played out, a cool start everywhere, becoming quite warm for the south before mid month, and staying warm through until the end, but often cloudy which will supress maxima, it will be the minima which holds the temp up. The NW predominantly average or cool, a plume event could occur mid month, but it will be shortlived. Not expecting the chill of late July last year - that was shockingly cold for the time of year.

Another indifferent summer beckons I feel.

[virtualsphere]

16.8C for me please

[BlueSkies_do_I_see]

Cant be worse than much of June.

 

17.3C

[easy-oasy]

16.2°c for me, thanks

[I remember Atlantic 252]

contender for one of the wettest ever, low pressure dominated start to finish, 15.3C

[Matthew.]

The first week of July looks to be on for a CET of 13-14c. If it were to keep this up the coldest July on record wouldnt be out of the question

[Methuselah]

According to my tea leaves, it'll be 17.1C. Thanks. 

[Ravelin]

Pure guesswork, 16.3C

[summer blizzard]

Lower me to an average 16.7C.

[Man With Beard]

I'll start off with 16.5C.

Flat as a pan - no block to the east to stop lows ploughing through, no shape on the jet to allow more than a day or two of warm weather from the south at a time. May change by mid-month but by then it will be too late to swing things far one way or another. So I'm going for average average average ... and if I were betting one way or the other, slightly below.