August 2017 C.E.T. forecasts

[Roger J Smith]

August CET averages and extremes
 

(all of these are mean daily values, the average of daily max and min)

 

24.9 ... warmest August day (1st, 1995)

19.2 ... warmest August, 1995

18.9 ... second warmest August, 1997

18.7 ... third warmest August, 1975

18.6 ... fourth warmest August, 1947

18.3 ... fifth warmest Augusts (tied 1747 and 2003)

18.2 ... seventh warmest August, 1911

18.1 ... eighth warmest August, 1955

18.0 ... ninth warmest August, 1990

17.6 ... 2004 mean

17.1 ... 1991 mean

17.0 ... 2002, 2016 mean

16.9 ... 2013 mean

16.8 ... 2001 mean

16.6 ... 2000, 2009, 2012 mean

16.5 ... average of 1987 to 2016 and also 1991 to 2016 (emerging 1991 to 2020), 1996 mean

16.4 ... average of 1981-2010 and 1986-2015 and 2001-2016

16.2 ... average of 1971-2000, 2005, 2008 mean

16.1 ... 1999, 2006 mean

16.0 ... 1994 mean

15.9 ... 1998, 2015 mean
15.8 ... average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-2000
15.64 ... average of 1659-2016
15.4 ... average of 1801-1900, 2007, 2011 mean

15.3 ... 1992, 2010 mean
15.1 ... average of 1659-1700

14.9 ... 2014 mean
14.6 ... 1993 mean

13.7 ... coldest August since 1956 (1986) -- tied 16th coldest

13.6 ... tied 10th coldest (six years)
13.5 ... coldest August since 1912 (1956) -- tied 5th coldest with 1674, 1683, 1844, 1845

13.3 ... fourth coldest August (1725)
13.0 ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,95)
12.9 ... coldest August, 1912

 9.5 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1888) ... earliest sub-10 value in August

 8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816

_________________________________________________________

new this month, I have gone back to 1990 for monthly values, 1990, 1995 and 1997 are in the warmest section.

 

Enter by the end of the day Monday 31st July without penalty, or before end of Thursday 3rd August with increasing time penalties.

[Weather26]

16.3C Please

[NorthYorksWeather]

16.7c cheers.

[Radiating Dendrite]

17c for me please. 

[simshady]

15.7c please.

Edited July 20, 2017 by simshady

[AcCas]

14.7

[Lettucing Gutted]

Rest in pieces summer 2017!  21.5C    Last sub 13C August in 1912.  Last sub 14C August in 1986.  Last sub 15C and last sub 15.5C August in 2014.

[JeffC]

16.7C for me please

 

[Dami]

17.8 for me please

[SteveB]

17.4c Please

[Relativistic]

14.1C. It's hopeful given the way this year has hitherto gone.

[Bobd29]

16.4 for me please

[Mapantz]

17.3°C

Thank you please!

[alexisj9]

15.6 please.

[Coldie24]

16.6 for me please

[summer blizzard]

16.4C for me. 

Although it looks like July will finish a little above average i am hopeful that August will be the month to break the mold. Not least when one considers that normally the second half of the month is noticeably worse than the first. 

[Typhoon John]

16.6C please

[virtualsphere]

17.2C please.

[Timmytour]

I'm thinking this will be a pretty ordinary first week or so followed by a quite exceptional two and a half weeks  as the heat out in Europe corrects westward significantly, and ending in a week that turns out to be by far the coldest period of the month.

The thought of that week at the end has me downgrading my guess to ** 17.9C ** for this month, though I wouldnt be surprised to see it to peak at 18.5C or above during the second half before it falls back

[Sunny76]

I'm predicting a poor august, following on from what was a good early to mid summer for 2017, and probably the best summer weather since 2014 in the southeast region. 

 

[damianslaw]

My hunch not based on any particular logic, just feeling is August will return our first below average month in a long time, and the outlook at least for the opening days suggests a rather below average start.. so I might be onto something.. will give thoughts on Monday next week.

[DR(S)NO]

16.5 c please

[Summer Sun]

17.4c for me please

[Dancerwithwings]

My feelings tell me it'll be the same as July, so my guess won't change either....17c please

[Man With Beard]

18C