Texas panhandle and Oklahoma Slight risk 3/4/19

[matty40s]

Theres a few chasers lurking around, mainly large hail and strong gusts the warning but there could be a few tornados if the daytime heating is enough.

 

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EASTERN TX/OK PANHANDLES AND WESTERN OK... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are most likely across the eastern Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles into western Oklahoma between 4 to 10 PM CDT. Large hail and severe wind gusts should be the primary hazards. ...TX/OK Panhandles and western OK... Primary changes are to increase wind probabilities to account for severe gust potential and add a significant severe hail area for the most probable discrete supercell location

[matty40s]

It is looking more tasty now....still not many chasers in the  area.

 

[Allseasons-si]

Thanks Matty40s for the heads up,Mark Drees is onto something.

https://livestormchasing.com/map

thats a nice cell developing now and is slightly rotating.

[Allseasons-si]

Nice.

[matty40s]

The next week is looking like the start of the season proper.

Although only showing slight chances of severe, the synoptics are increasingly for storms in the South to produce large hail and possible tornado.

[nsrobins]

‘‘tis the season and all that.

I’m of course always targeting maximum tornado potential, but just as good is amazing structure (like Weds for example) and I’d swap that for a tornado bust anytime.

[matty40s]

It looks like the interesting weekend and start of week will be superseded by a storm system on Tuesday/Wednesday driving through and giving the whole South some tornado worries as the rising heat of the Gulf will get sucked up.

[matty40s]

The warning has now been stepped up to Enhanced risk, some very strong winds will be generated.

[matty40s]

Quite a large area under the spotlight.

[Paul Sherman]

Big old Messy MCS with embedded spin ups and mainly a wind risk in the enhanced area.

We tend to stay away from that load of crap, so today like most chasers would focus on the 66/1 outsider and the triple point in Western Oklahoma for example

Wednesdays storm system has some big issues, Capping to the south and where the severe is expected in the Central High Plains, moisture return will not be quality and by the time it rattles through snow will be the big namemaker on the back edge as it clears from west to east.

One or two more cold frontal passages to come this spring before we heat up proper I think

[matty40s]

Interesting to see that Brandon Clement has introduced a drone to his footage this year, could be good in areas of limited visibility and warn of threats from areas not expected from ground levels. will be interesting to see what wind speeds he allows it to fly up to.!!